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Satria Muda vs Bali United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 104-74
25-17 22-27 24-12 33-18
Position#4
Record17-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game76.0
Satria Muda 🏆
Indonesia
vs
Bali United
Indonesia
Position#11
Record5-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game81.9
IndonesiaIBL· BritAma Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Satria Muda v Bali United
13 Jun 2025
SATR104
BALI74
03 Mar 2024
SATR101
BALI88
08 Jul 2023
SATR75
BALI67
31 Jan 2023
SATR85
BALI65
10 Mar 2022
SATR57
BALI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Satria Muda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bali United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Satria MudaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuda
Date
Competition
Hangtuah
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
72avg 85
A12/04
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
109-53
109
53
+56
111avg 85
A16/04
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 85
A24/04
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
98-66
98
66
+32
108avg 85
A27/04
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 85
A07/05
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 85
H17/05
IBL
Dewa United
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
91avg 85
H18/05
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
W
125-90
125
90
+35
133avg 85
H21/05
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 85
A24/05
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
88-69
88
69
+19
91avg 85
A07/06
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
21-21
17-20
19-15
29-17
31-15
25-4
24-17
19-17
20-21
14-21
27-6
28-17
25-14
19-25
26-10
28-31
34-16
11-25
11-15
19-14
15-19
19-27
21-20
32-28
20-19
18-24
23-19
31-25
33-16
35-21
26-28
20-19
22-20
22-14
15-28
32-12
15-15
20-15
21-27
166.4Avg total
90.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.376.0165.3+13.274%
Season at home (11)92.075.7167.7+16.391%
Season away (12)86.876.3163.1+10.458%
Last 10 (10)90.476.0166.4+14.460%
Last 5 (5)91.882.0173.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)81.980.5162.4+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.475.2165.6+15.273%
This opponent (Bali United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bali UnitedIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 65
H13/04
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
60-94
60
94
-34
50avg 65
H27/04
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 65
H28/04
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 65
A08/05
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
71avg 65
A11/05
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 65
A14/05
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
L
60-77
60
77
-17
45avg 65
A17/05
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
96-81
96
81
+15
85avg 65
H22/05
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 65
H24/05
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
56-66
56
66
-10
34avg 65
H01/06
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
18-18
16-21
20-15
14-18
13-24
23-26
10-26
21-25
8-19
21-24
24-15
22-28
20-23
35-29
22-27
9-21
29-22
17-24
24-14
14-20
10-22
12-17
23-23
18-16
12-29
17-15
13-17
16-25
30-18
25-23
25-15
21-15
19-16
22-16
14-22
15-23
12-9
16-20
13-14
155.5Avg total
73.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.181.9157.0-6.821%
Season at home (13)74.479.4153.8-5.031%
Season away (11)76.084.8160.8-8.89%
Last 10 (10)73.981.6155.5-7.730%
Last 5 (5)69.475.0144.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.684.0155.6-12.45%
vs Similar (5)82.287.4169.6-5.220%
vs Weaker (5)83.672.0155.6+11.680%
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
Satria MudaBali United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Satria MudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hangtuah
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A12/04
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A16/04
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/04
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/04
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A07/05
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H17/05
IBL
Dewa United
#2
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H18/05
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H21/05
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/05
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A07/06
IBL
87.0Avg total
49.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.238.383.5+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.337.381.6+7.085%-
Last 30 away (17)45.839.184.9+6.759%-
Last 10 (10)49.137.987.0+11.290%-
Last 5 (5)47.837.485.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.139.979.0-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.437.885.1+9.677%-
This opponent (Bali United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bali UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/04
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H27/04
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H28/04
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/05
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A11/05
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/05
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A17/05
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/05
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H24/05
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H01/06
IBL
76.0Avg total
34.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.377.1-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.239.874.9-4.625%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.979.5-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)34.741.376.0-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.672.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.440.875.2-6.415%-
vs Similar (5)43.043.286.2-0.240%-
vs Weaker (5)40.035.675.6+4.480%-
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Satria Mudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Satria Muda: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.6
51.2%
48.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.4
38.4%
29.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
65.5%12.6
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bali Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bali United: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.7
47.9%
48.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.6
26.6%
29.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.212.9
58.1%
65.5%12.9
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Satria Muda
WLWWLLWWWL
Bali United
LWWLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#11
+16.7
Net rating
-9.5
109.2
Offensive rating
92.4
92.5
Defensive rating
101.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
44.5%
42.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.4%
3-point %
26.6%
74.5%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 92.4Defence92.5 · 101.9Shooting53.7% · 44.5%3-point %38.4% · 26.6%Ball care19.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 26.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Satria Muda   ■ Bali United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Satria Muda wins
0
Bali United wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Bali United v Satria Muda86-96
17/03/24Bali United v Satria Muda75-85
03/03/24Satria Muda v Bali United101-88
08/07/23Satria Muda v Bali United75-67
06/07/23Bali United v Satria Muda61-73
27/05/23Bali United v Satria Muda62-80
31/01/23Satria Muda v Bali United85-65
10/03/22Satria Muda v Bali United57-54
10/04/21Bali United v Satria Muda55-59
Satria Mudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/25ASatya Wacana88-69
24/05/25AKesatria Bengawan Solo79-81
21/05/25HPacific Caesar Surabaya125-90
18/05/25HDewa United93-90
17/05/25HRANS PIK74-80
07/05/25ATangerang Hawks84-87
27/04/25ARajawali Medan98-66
24/04/25ABima Perkasa Yogyakarta80-65
16/04/25ABumi Borneo109-53
12/04/25AHangtuah74-79
Bali Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/25HTangerang Hawks56-66
24/05/25HSatya Wacana76-69
22/05/25HRajawali Medan96-81
17/05/25APrawira Bandung60-77
14/05/25AHangtuah59-82
11/05/25ABima Perkasa Yogyakarta79-81
08/05/25APacific Caesar Surabaya99-107
28/04/25HPelita Jaya74-83
27/04/25HKesatria Bengawan Solo60-94
13/04/25HBumi Borneo80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Satria Muda
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game89.392.086.8
Allowed / game76.075.776.3
Point differential+13.2+16.3+10.4
Avg total165.3167.7163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Bali United
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL21%
HomeLLWWL31%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %21%31%9%
Points / game75.174.476.0
Allowed / game81.979.484.8
Point differential-6.8-5.0-8.8
Avg total157.0153.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pelita Jaya2320387%87.573.5+14.0
2 Dewa United2420483%91.277.8+13.5
3 RANS PIK2620677%84.879.0+5.8
4 Satria Muda2317674%89.376.0+13.2
5 Prawira Bandung2416867%78.771.3+7.4
6 Kesatria Bengawan Solo2516964%79.273.6+5.5
7 Hangtuah25151060%77.073.1+4.0
8 Tangerang Hawks25131252%79.080.3-1.3
9 Pacific Caesar Surabaya25101540%85.491.4-6.0
10 Bumi Borneo2591636%79.985.1-5.2
11 Bali United2451921%75.181.9-6.8
12 Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta2652119%69.283.8-14.7
13 Satya Wacana2642215%68.878.0-9.2
14 Rajawali Medan2532212%70.787.5-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Satria Muda25222433104
Bali United1727121874
← all games of the day
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