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Satria Muda vs Pacific Caesar Surabaya Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 May 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 125-90
31-25 33-16 35-21 26-28
Position#4
Record15-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game75.5
Satria Muda 🏆
Indonesia
vs
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
Indonesia
Position#9
Record8-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game87.9
IndonesiaIBL· BritAma Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Satria Muda v Pacific Caesar Surabaya
21 May 2025
SATR125
PACI90
08 Jun 2024
SATR93
PACI45
29 May 2023
SATR97
PACI64
18 Mar 2022
SATR82
PACI49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Satria Muda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pacific Caesar Surabaya winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Satria MudaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuda
Date
Competition
Pelita Jaya
#1
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
78avg 86
H08/03
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 86
H12/03
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 86
H14/03
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
72avg 86
A12/04
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
109-53
109
53
+56
111avg 86
A16/04
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 86
A24/04
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
98-66
98
66
+32
108avg 86
A27/04
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 86
A07/05
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 86
H17/05
IBL
Dewa United
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
91avg 86
H18/05
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
18-25
22-13
20-15
23-22
21-16
36-15
14-14
26-13
20-15
20-15
17-16
17-23
21-21
17-20
19-15
29-17
31-15
25-4
24-17
19-17
20-21
14-21
27-6
28-17
25-14
19-25
26-10
28-31
34-16
11-25
11-15
19-14
15-19
19-27
21-20
32-28
20-19
18-24
23-19
160.3Avg total
87.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.075.5163.5+12.675%
Season at home (10)88.774.3163.0+14.490%
Season away (10)87.476.6164.0+10.860%
Last 10 (10)87.472.9160.3+14.570%
Last 5 (5)85.877.6163.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)81.879.1160.9+2.770%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.374.0163.3+15.475%
This opponent (Pacific Caesar Surabaya) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pacific Caesar SurabayaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSurabaya
Date
Competition
Satya Wacana
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
75avg 73
A16/03
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
68avg 73
H21/03
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
93-101
93
101
-8
83avg 73
H10/04
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
96-95
96
95
+1
86avg 73
H11/04
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
W
99-78
99
78
+21
94avg 73
H26/04
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 73
H30/04
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
L
84-88
84
88
-4
67avg 73
H07/05
IBL
Bali United
#11
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 73
H08/05
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 73
A16/05
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
W
90-78
90
78
+12
80avg 73
A18/05
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-19
22-18
25-19
24-23
21-21
14-24
16-24
30-25
19-31
17-26
27-19
22-26
28-29
24-25
22-15
25-28
25-16
28-17
21-17
23-28
18-25
28-27
25-21
23-19
26-32
18-27
17-10
28-22
23-20
29-35
27-22
29-22
22-28
18-26
28-15
23-25
22-14
15-20
30-19
182.0Avg total
92.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.787.9172.6-3.238%
Season at home (11)86.591.3177.7-4.827%
Season away (10)82.784.2166.9-1.550%
Last 10 (10)92.289.8182.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)94.491.4185.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.491.6170.0-13.211%
vs Similar (10)90.286.2176.4+4.070%
vs Weaker (2)79.573.5153.0+6.050%
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +5.7+5.7
Satria MudaPacific Caesar Surabaya
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Satria MudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H08/03
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/03
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H14/03
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A12/04
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A16/04
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/04
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/04
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A07/05
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H17/05
IBL
Dewa United
#2
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H18/05
IBL
84.0Avg total
45.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.282.7+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.936.179.0+6.986%-
Last 30 away (16)46.040.086.0+6.056%-
Last 10 (10)45.838.284.0+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.287.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.739.779.4+0.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.037.484.4+9.675%-
This opponent (Pacific Caesar Surabaya) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pacific Caesar SurabayaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Satya Wacana
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A16/03
IBL
Dewa United
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/03
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H10/04
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H11/04
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H26/04
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H30/04
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H07/05
IBL
Bali United
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/05
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A16/05
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A18/05
IBL
94.3Avg total
47.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.845.788.5-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.047.092.0-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)40.444.184.5-3.843%-
Last 10 (10)47.147.294.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.094.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.847.488.3-6.633%-
vs Similar (10)45.743.889.5+1.960%-
vs Weaker (2)46.539.085.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Satria Mudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Satria Muda: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.222.5
50.9%
48.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.7%
29.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.915.3
69.9%
65.5%15.3
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pacific Caesar Surabayatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pacific Caesar Surabaya: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.723.2
50.8%
48.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.3
36.2%
29.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.211.3
65.7%
65.5%11.3
They take 76.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Satria Muda
WLLWWWLWWW
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
WWWLLWWLLW
#4
League position
#9
+17.7
Net rating
+3.6
105.6
Offensive rating
111.1
87.9
Defensive rating
107.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
41.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.7%
3-point %
36.2%
75.6%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 111.1Defence87.9 · 107.4Shooting50.8% · 52.2%3-point %33.7% · 36.2%Ball care19.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 29.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Satria Muda   ■ Pacific Caesar Surabaya
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Satria Muda wins
1
Pacific Caesar Surabaya wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Pacific Caesar Surabaya v Satria Muda85-94
08/06/24Satria Muda v Pacific Caesar Surabaya93-45
15/03/24Pacific Caesar Surabaya v Satria Muda87-107
29/05/23Satria Muda v Pacific Caesar Surabaya97-64
02/02/23Pacific Caesar Surabaya v Satria Muda90-101
28/03/22Pacific Caesar Surabaya v Satria Muda64-81
18/03/22Satria Muda v Pacific Caesar Surabaya82-49
22/03/21Pacific Caesar Surabaya v Satria Muda36-84
19/01/20Pacific Caesar Surabaya v Satria Muda75-73
16/02/19Pacific Caesar Surabaya v Satria Muda56-87
Satria Mudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HDewa United93-90
17/05/25HRANS PIK74-80
07/05/25ATangerang Hawks84-87
27/04/25ARajawali Medan98-66
24/04/25ABima Perkasa Yogyakarta80-65
16/04/25ABumi Borneo109-53
12/04/25AHangtuah74-79
14/03/25HBima Perkasa Yogyakarta83-59
12/03/25HRajawali Medan94-67
08/03/25HPelita Jaya85-83 OT
Pacific Caesar Surabayalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25APrawira Bandung90-78
16/05/25AHangtuah97-91
08/05/25HBali United107-99
07/05/25HSatya Wacana84-88
30/04/25HPelita Jaya94-101
26/04/25HTangerang Hawks99-78
11/04/25HBumi Borneo96-95
10/04/25HRANS PIK93-101
21/03/25HDewa United75-92
16/03/25ASatya Wacana87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Satria Muda
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game88.088.787.4
Allowed / game75.574.376.6
Point differential+12.6+14.4+10.8
Avg total163.5163.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeWWLLW27%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%27%50%
Points / game84.786.582.7
Allowed / game87.991.384.2
Point differential-3.2-4.8-1.5
Avg total172.6177.7166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%9%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pelita Jaya2017385%86.173.7+12.4
2 Dewa United1915479%88.877.9+10.9
3 RANS PIK1915479%82.979.1+3.9
4 Satria Muda2015575%88.075.5+12.6
5 Hangtuah2114767%79.372.7+6.6
6 Kesatria Bengawan Solo2013765%78.572.3+6.2
7 Prawira Bandung1811761%76.972.7+4.2
8 Tangerang Hawks2011955%80.780.3+0.3
9 Bumi Borneo2191243%80.783.8-3.1
10 Pacific Caesar Surabaya2181338%84.787.9-3.2
11 Satya Wacana2141719%68.577.0-8.5
12 Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta2141719%67.082.7-15.6
13 Bali United2131814%75.083.3-8.3
14 Rajawali Medan2021810%68.584.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Satria Muda31333526125
Pacific Caesar Surabaya2516212890
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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