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Satria Muda vs Rajawali Medan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 94-67
23-22 21-16 36-15 14-14
Position#4
Record9-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.5
Satria Muda 🏆
Indonesia
vs
Rajawali Medan
Indonesia
Position#14
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game83.7
IndonesiaIBL· BritAma Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Satria Muda v Rajawali Medan
12 Mar 2025
SATR94
RAJA67
09 Mar 2024
SATR104
RAJA79
18 Jan 2023
SATR70
RAJA64
08 Mar 2022
SATR57
RAJA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Satria Muda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rajawali Medan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Satria MudaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuda
Date
Competition
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 84
H17/01
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
90-56
90
56
+34
88avg 84
H19/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 84
H31/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
104-67
104
67
+37
106avg 84
H01/02
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 84
A07/02
IBL
Bali United
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
89avg 84
A09/02
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
66avg 84
A12/02
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 84
A14/02
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
104avg 84
H05/03
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
78avg 84
H08/03
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
19-19
20-25
20-13
16-12
23-16
18-16
33-12
31-21
15-25
21-12
18-14
35-11
18-18
26-16
25-22
23-24
26-26
29-20
16-15
26-24
23-18
26-23
21-21
16-24
19-20
19-18
28-22
17-21
22-18
17-21
21-25
24-18
22-23
31-25
16-27
12-19
18-25
22-13
20-15
167.9Avg total
89.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.478.5166.8+9.982%
Season at home (6)90.574.5165.0+16.0100%
Season away (5)85.883.2169.0+2.660%
Last 10 (10)89.278.7167.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)87.886.6174.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)82.379.8162.1+2.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.375.5168.9+17.885%
This opponent (Rajawali Medan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rajawali MedanIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMedan
Date
Competition
Bali United
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
63avg 65
H11/01
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 65
H12/01
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
59-91
59
91
-32
47avg 65
A22/01
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
L
74-78
74
78
-4
71avg 65
A25/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
64-84
64
84
-20
55avg 65
H01/02
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
L
53-74
53
74
-21
34avg 65
H02/02
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
80-104
80
104
-24
73avg 65
A05/02
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 65
A14/02
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 65
A16/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 65
A08/03
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
12-19
19-20
25-26
12-29
21-21
17-18
12-8
16-24
13-30
17-21
13-16
15-27
22-22
20-15
17-14
20-21
11-26
19-25
14-12
20-26
10-15
9-19
14-14
20-36
23-25
19-18
18-25
14-21
13-25
20-20
16-11
28-22
16-19
19-21
19-23
14-33
24-19
22-13
19-16
152.9Avg total
69.2Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.283.7152.9-14.50%
Season at home (4)63.880.2144.0-16.50%
Season away (6)72.886.0158.8-13.20%
Last 10 (10)69.283.7152.9-14.50%
Last 5 (5)71.484.2155.6-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.687.0159.7-14.413%
vs Similar (5)77.883.2161.0-5.420%
vs Weaker (2)99.089.5188.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Satria MudaRajawali Medan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Satria MudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/01
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H31/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H01/02
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A07/02
IBL
Bali United
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A09/02
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
IBL
Dewa United
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/02
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/03
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H08/03
IBL
82.5Avg total
42.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.439.484.8+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.635.979.5+7.886%-
Last 30 away (16)46.942.489.4+4.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.982.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.240.279.4-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.539.087.5+9.575%-
This opponent (Rajawali Medan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rajawali MedanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bali United
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H11/01
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H12/01
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A22/01
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H01/02
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H02/02
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A05/02
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A14/02
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A16/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A08/03
IBL
82.6Avg total
34.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.345.182.4-7.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.144.181.1-7.020%-
Last 30 away (15)37.546.183.6-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)34.448.282.6-13.810%-
Last 5 (5)36.448.284.6-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.145.881.0-10.79%-
vs Similar (5)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
vs Weaker (2)52.047.599.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Satria Mudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Satria Muda: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.824.1
49.4%
48.5%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
29.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.015.1
65.7%
65.5%15.1
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rajawali Medantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rajawali Medan: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.217.8
44.3%
48.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.16.7
23.0%
29.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.312.3
63.7%
65.5%12.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Satria Muda
WWLLWWWWWW
Rajawali Medan
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#14
+13.6
Net rating
-19.0
106.6
Offensive rating
86.9
93.1
Defensive rating
106.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
40.2%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
23.0%
63.8%
Assist %
71.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 86.9Defence93.1 · 106.0Shooting51.0% · 40.2%3-point %36.3% · 23.0%Ball care16.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ Satria Muda   ■ Rajawali Medan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Satria Muda wins
1
Rajawali Medan wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Rajawali Medan v Satria Muda89-88
09/03/24Satria Muda v Rajawali Medan104-79
27/02/23Rajawali Medan v Satria Muda49-71
18/01/23Satria Muda v Rajawali Medan70-64
08/03/22Satria Muda v Rajawali Medan57-54
Satria Mudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HPelita Jaya85-83 OT
05/03/25HTangerang Hawks99-95 OT
14/02/25ADewa United77-85
12/02/25ARANS PIK82-84
09/02/25ABali United96-86
07/02/25APacific Caesar Surabaya94-85
01/02/25HBumi Borneo104-67
31/01/25HHangtuah85-72
19/01/25HSatya Wacana90-56
17/01/25HKesatria Bengawan Solo80-74
Rajawali Medanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ABima Perkasa Yogyakarta79-81
16/02/25ABumi Borneo82-85
14/02/25AHangtuah63-77
05/02/25ADewa United80-104
02/02/25HPrawira Bandung53-74
01/02/25HRANS PIK64-84
25/01/25ASatya Wacana74-78
22/01/25AKesatria Bengawan Solo59-91
12/01/25HPacific Caesar Surabaya62-76
11/01/25HBali United76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Satria Muda
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game88.490.585.8
Allowed / game78.574.583.2
Point differential+9.9+16.0+2.6
Avg total166.8165.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %18%33%0%
Rajawali Medan
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.263.872.8
Allowed / game83.780.286.0
Point differential-14.5-16.5-13.2
Avg total152.9144.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Satria Muda119282%88.478.5+9.9
2 RANS PIK119282%82.276.3+5.9
3 Pelita Jaya86275%83.072.8+10.2
4 Hangtuah129375%80.270.2+9.9
5 Dewa United107370%90.781.0+9.7
6 Kesatria Bengawan Solo107370%79.673.2+6.4
7 Prawira Bandung117464%76.071.5+4.5
8 Tangerang Hawks116555%78.680.0-1.4
9 Bumi Borneo116555%80.283.3-3.1
10 Satya Wacana102820%65.375.5-10.2
11 Bali United112918%77.782.7-5.0
12 Pacific Caesar Surabaya112918%77.886.2-8.4
13 Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta112918%67.580.5-13.0
14 Rajawali Medan100100%69.283.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Satria Muda2321361494
Rajawali Medan2216151467
← all games of the day
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