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Scafati vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 100-87
20-22 31-13 26-28 23-24
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game77.5
Scafati 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3· Pala Mangano
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 71
H23/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
78avg 71
A30/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 71
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
58avg 71
H12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
56avg 71
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 71
H27/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
83avg 71
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
72-100
72
100
-28
66avg 71
A11/05
Lega A
Mestre
#15
W
76-61
76
61
+15
10avg 71
H21/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-94
64
94
-30
55avg 71
A28/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
22-17
17-31
21-18
21-23
17-23
20-29
24-20
18-21
24-25
13-19
23-23
24-23
11-21
14-19
20-21
17-26
14-23
19-21
22-16
24-19
26-23
16-22
21-28
17-34
24-22
15-32
31-16
22-23
17-27
13-27
20-23
26-17
11-18
13-15
26-11
21-26
16-8
13-33
14-27
166.3Avg total
76.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.077.5147.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)76.061.0137.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)64.094.0158.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)76.889.5166.3-12.710%
Last 5 (5)77.290.2167.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)81.294.2175.3-13.05%
vs Similar (9)87.090.8177.8-3.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)76.061.0137.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 69
H02/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
63-88
63
88
-25
54avg 69
H05/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
85avg 69
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
84-94
84
94
-10
78avg 69
H19/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
83-66
83
66
+17
75avg 69
A27/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
47-65
47
65
-18
31avg 69
A10/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
61-65
61
65
-4
48avg 69
A12/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
75avg 69
H16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
71avg 69
H20/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 69
A28/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-27
11-27
20-10
19-23
14-14
15-25
15-26
17-27
34-18
13-25
24-18
13-19
24-22
18-28
29-25
27-17
21-13
21-13
14-23
13-11
18-15
4-28
12-11
21-17
12-8
9-27
19-13
14-25
19-22
21-22
27-20
20-20
13-24
14-23
26-15
22-13
17-16
18-26
18-19
154.2Avg total
73.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.078.0152.0-4.050%
Season at home (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
Season away (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.580.7154.2-7.230%
Last 5 (5)67.475.0142.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.876.6143.4-9.840%
vs Similar (22)74.578.5152.9-4.041%
vs Weaker (3)84.079.7163.7+4.367%
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -9.5-9.5Q3: -10.0-10.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -9.5-9.5Q3: -10.0-10.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
ScafatiUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H23/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H27/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A11/05
Lega A
Mestre
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H21/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/09
Serie A2
83.7Avg total
39.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.886.1-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.945.288.1-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.744.484.1-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.483.7-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.445.586.8-4.135%-
vs Similar (9)41.744.386.0-2.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)37.035.072.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H02/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H05/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A27/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A10/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A12/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H20/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/09
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
37.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.175.1-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.040.075.0-5.021%-
Last 30 away (16)36.938.375.2-1.462%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.675.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.268.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.641.273.8-8.620%-
vs Similar (22)35.538.273.7-2.645%-
vs Weaker (3)45.042.387.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.4
52.4%
50.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.8
28.5%
34.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.7
77.3%
74.4%15.7
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.419.1
45.0%
50.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.7
32.5%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.511.2
72.3%
74.4%11.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LWLLLLLLLL
Urania Milano
WLLLLWLWLL
#1
League position
#14
-21.7
Net rating
-10.3
105.9
Offensive rating
100.7
127.6
Defensive rating
111.0
48.3%
Effective FG%
46.4%
61.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.5%
3-point %
32.5%
55.4%
Assist %
61.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 100.7Defence127.6 · 111.0Shooting48.3% · 46.4%3-point %28.5% · 32.5%Ball care17.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Scafati   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Scafati wins
0
Urania Milano wins
No previous meetings.
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25AFortitudo Bologna64-94
21/09/25HMestre76-61
11/05/25AOlimpia Milano72-100
04/05/25HVirtus Bologna87-104
27/04/25HTreviso87-92
19/04/25ABrescia72-86
12/04/25HReggiana69-84
05/04/25ATrento78-88
30/03/25AVarese82-95
23/03/25HBasket Napoli81-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25AAvellino Basket75-74
20/09/25HRimini73-82
16/05/25HSebastiani Rieti81-89
12/05/25ASebastiani Rieti61-65
10/05/25ASebastiani Rieti47-65
27/04/25ABrindisi83-66
19/04/25HLibertas Livorno84-94
12/04/25ACividale96-95 OT
05/04/25HOrzinuovi63-88
02/04/25HUdine72-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.076.064.0
Allowed / game77.561.094.0
Point differential-7.5+15.0-30.0
Avg total147.5137.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game74.073.075.0
Allowed / game78.082.074.0
Point differential-4.0-9.0+1.0
Avg total152.0155.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi220100%89.559.0+30.5
2 Basket Torino220100%82.570.0+12.5
3 Mestre32167%80.079.0+1.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna21150%88.075.0+13.0
5 Avellino Basket21150%73.067.5+5.5
6 Libertas Livorno21150%73.069.5+3.5
7 Rimini21150%78.575.0+3.5
8 Forli21150%78.075.5+2.5
9 Pistoia21150%81.078.5+2.5
10 Cividale21150%74.075.0-1.0
11 Verona21150%70.571.5-1.0
12 Roseto21150%88.591.5-3.0
13 Urania Milano21150%74.078.0-4.0
14 Sebastiani Rieti21150%68.573.5-5.0
15 Scafati21150%70.077.5-7.5
16 JuVi Cremona21150%69.077.5-8.5
17 Cento31233%71.076.0-5.0
18 Blu Basket Bergamo1010%83.093.0-10.0
19 Pesaro1010%62.078.0-16.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia2020%65.590.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati20312623100
Urania Milano2213282487
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