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Schwelm vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-85
17-20 22-23 14-20 12-22
Position#20
Record8-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#5
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game71.1
GermanyPro BRound 13· Schwelm ArENa
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Schwelm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paderborn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SchwelmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Itzehoe
#22
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H05/10
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
W
99-61
99
61
+38
H12/10
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A19/10
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H26/10
Pro B
Wedel
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A03/11
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H09/11
Pro B
Bernau
#11
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A16/11
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H30/11
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A08/12
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H14/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
26-22
10-24
31-13
28-13
26-19
27-13
18-16
25-14
27-24
21-21
25-27
24-20
21-27
26-17
18-23
13-15
17-8
22-24
23-22
26-25
19-16
20-24
19-27
18-24
21-31
29-18
18-24
17-17
22-22
35-13
19-24
24-15
26-15
23-25
19-22
14-20
23-15
25-10
26-20
166.6Avg total
88.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.579.2164.7+6.473%
Season at home (6)89.075.3164.3+13.783%
Season away (5)81.483.8165.2-2.460%
Last 10 (10)88.578.1166.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)88.681.4170.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.092.0157.0-27.00%
vs Similar (17)80.182.9163.0-2.853%
vs Weaker (11)87.469.3156.6+18.1100%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leverkusen
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H12/10
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A19/10
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H26/10
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A02/11
Pro B
Wedel
#12
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H09/11
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A16/11
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H30/11
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A07/12
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
W
78-43
78
43
+35
A14/12
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H20/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-15
14-22
15-12
22-11
20-17
20-15
18-19
12-16
21-17
21-14
27-10
29-16
17-19
14-22
11-19
26-13
20-16
24-16
20-20
28-12
20-18
18-15
19-32
21-21
22-20
27-25
26-17
26-26
21-26
17-24
19-20
24-14
22-9
18-12
14-8
26-8
19-24
20-16
25-23
153.0Avg total
82.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.371.1153.4+11.267%
Season at home (6)84.867.5152.3+17.383%
Season away (6)79.874.7154.5+5.250%
Last 10 (10)82.670.4153.0+12.270%
Last 5 (5)86.474.0160.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.687.8165.4-10.215%
vs Similar (7)84.379.7164.0+4.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.069.6151.6+12.470%
This opponent (Schwelm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
SchwelmPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SchwelmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Itzehoe
#22
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/10
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H12/10
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A19/10
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/10
Pro B
Wedel
#12
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A03/11
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/11
Pro B
Bernau
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A16/11
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H30/11
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A08/12
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/12
Pro B
80.5Avg total
43.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.479.8+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.780.2-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.480.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.547.081.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (17)37.843.080.8-5.235%-
vs Weaker (11)44.334.378.5+10.0100%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leverkusen
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/10
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A19/10
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H26/10
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A02/11
Pro B
Wedel
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/11
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A16/11
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H30/11
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A07/12
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A14/12
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H20/12
Pro B
78.2Avg total
43.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.381.5+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.380.0+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.840.283.0+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)43.934.378.2+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.681.4+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.643.383.9-2.738%-
vs Similar (7)44.039.083.0+5.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.134.277.3+8.970%-
This opponent (Schwelm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Schwelm wins
0
Paderborn wins
No previous meetings.
Schwelmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HSandersdorf88-65
08/12/24ARSV Eintracht92-77
30/11/24HNeustadt93-76
16/11/24ABernau86-97
09/11/24HIserlohn84-92
03/11/24AWedel75-69
26/10/24HETB Miners89-87
19/10/24ABerlin Braves98-86
12/10/24HRostock 299-61
05/10/24HItzehoe81-71
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HRostock 290-71
14/12/24AItzehoe78-43
07/12/24AIserlohn83-96
30/11/24HWolmirstedt96-83
16/11/24ANeustadt85-77
09/11/24HWedel90-65
02/11/24ABerlin Braves71-76
26/10/24HRSV Eintracht81-57
19/10/24ABernau80-62
12/10/24HLeverkusen72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Schwelm
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW73%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game85.589.081.4
Allowed / game79.275.383.8
Point differential+6.4+13.7-2.4
Avg total164.7164.3165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paderborn
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game82.384.879.8
Allowed / game71.167.574.7
Point differential+11.2+17.3+5.2
Avg total153.4152.3154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leverkusen1211192%78.964.5+14.4
2 Koln1311285%91.382.0+9.3
3 Leitershofen/Stadtbergen1210283%95.982.8+13.2
4 Schwelm118373%85.579.2+6.4
5 Paderborn128467%82.371.1+11.2
6 Wolmirstedt128467%82.374.7+7.7
7 Iserlohn128467%87.887.4+0.3
8 Ahorn Camp Baskets127558%80.375.0+5.3
9 Fellbach127558%78.875.2+3.6
10 Sandersdorf127558%75.876.4-0.7
11 Bernau137654%84.280.6+3.5
12 Oberhaching137654%83.581.4+2.2
13 Rhondorf137654%89.891.0-1.2
14 ETB Miners126650%81.274.7+6.5
15 OrangeAcademy126650%83.884.2-0.3
16 Coburg126650%77.981.2-3.3
17 Frankfurt 2136746%82.080.3+1.7
18 s.Oliver Wurzburg 2136746%85.685.1+0.5
19 Lowen125742%89.291.1-1.9
20 Wedel125742%73.378.9-5.6
21 Berlin Braves135838%85.384.4+0.9
22 Ludwigsburg 2135838%77.383.8-6.5
23 RSV Eintracht135838%75.583.0-7.5
24 Rostock 2123925%75.488.5-13.1
25 Ehingen1331023%76.284.7-8.5
26 Neustadt1221017%79.187.1-8.0
27 Itzehoe1221017%71.987.2-15.3
28 Bayern 21321115%72.885.6-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Schwelm1722141265
Paderborn2023202285
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