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Bernau vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-80
11-22 17-20 15-20 19-18
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.3
GermanyPro BRound 4· S-Arena Bernau
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bernau v Paderborn
03 May 2025
BERN78
PAD76
19 Oct 2024
BERN62
PAD80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bernau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paderborn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BernauGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RSV Eintracht
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H17/03
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#6
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A23/03
Pro B
Iserlohn
#21
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H30/03
Pro B
Leverkusen
#2
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A06/04
Pro B
OrangeAcademy
#8
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A13/04
Pro B
OrangeAcademy
#8
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/04
Pro B
OrangeAcademy
#8
L
75-101
75
101
-26
A21/04
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A29/09
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H05/10
Pro B
Wedel
#12
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A12/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
24-21
15-19
23-18
13-24
22-16
17-24
21-17
17-17
17-18
12-18
26-9
16-13
23-16
18-23
22-8
29-18
15-24
17-15
12-26
25-8
21-18
11-19
22-27
24-26
18-21
17-26
16-28
15-21
13-13
25-20
21-25
21-22
28-21
21-26
24-15
20-15
22-17
10-21
12-30
154.0Avg total
76.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.382.0159.3-4.733%
Season at home (1)94.084.0178.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)69.081.0150.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.377.7154.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.283.8161.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.880.0153.8-6.227%
vs Similar (8)75.871.2147.0+4.575%
vs Weaker (7)81.680.4162.0+1.143%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H23/03
Pro A
Dresden
#9
L
68-107
68
107
-39
A31/03
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H03/04
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#5
L
75-108
75
108
-33
A07/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H13/04
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A20/04
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H27/04
Pro A
Sandersdorf
#8
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H27/09
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A05/10
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H12/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
23-18
20-22
18-17
22-28
16-27
16-20
14-32
17-21
20-15
12-21
23-21
25-21
18-30
18-23
14-34
26-26
26-19
20-26
18-27
27-12
16-27
14-17
21-32
21-26
21-29
30-12
24-31
28-17
15-18
19-10
18-10
16-20
19-25
20-26
27-23
20-25
23-15
14-22
15-12
166.3Avg total
79.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.074.3152.3+3.733%
Season at home (2)76.064.5140.5+11.550%
Season away (1)82.094.0176.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.087.3166.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)81.681.8163.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.790.0169.7-10.311%
vs Similar (10)79.781.0160.7-1.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.074.5155.5+6.550%
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
BernauPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BernauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RSV Eintracht
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/03
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/03
Pro B
Iserlohn
#21
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/03
Pro B
Leverkusen
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A06/04
Pro B
OrangeAcademy
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/04
Pro B
OrangeAcademy
#8
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H19/04
Pro B
OrangeAcademy
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/04
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A29/09
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H05/10
Pro B
Wedel
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/10
Pro B
76.4Avg total
40.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.475.2+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.034.873.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)36.939.376.2-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.376.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.138.876.9-0.747%-
vs Similar (8)37.434.872.1+2.650%-
vs Weaker (7)37.637.374.9+0.343%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/03
Pro A
Dresden
#9
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A31/03
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/04
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H13/04
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A20/04
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H27/04
Pro A
Sandersdorf
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/09
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/10
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/10
Pro B
85.0Avg total
41.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.983.1-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.982.6+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.983.6-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.585.0-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.743.884.5-3.228%-
vs Similar (10)42.638.881.4+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bernau wins
0
Paderborn wins
No previous meetings.
Bernaulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AWedel64-83
05/10/24HWolmirstedt94-84
29/09/24ARostock 274-79
21/04/24AOrangeAcademy75-101
19/04/24HOrangeAcademy79-72
13/04/24AOrangeAcademy73-83
06/04/24ALeverkusen79-60
30/03/24HIserlohn72-62
23/03/24ABerlin Braves73-81
17/03/24HRSV Eintracht80-72
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HLeverkusen72-74
05/10/24AETB Miners82-94
27/09/24HSandersdorf80-55
27/04/24HNurnberger96-98
20/04/24ABayreuth78-88
13/04/24HBremerhaven90-98
07/04/24APS Karlsruhe75-108
03/04/24HFrankfurt72-78
31/03/24ADresden68-107
23/03/24HJena77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bernau
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.394.069.0
Allowed / game82.084.081.0
Point differential-4.7+10.0-12.0
Avg total159.3178.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paderborn
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.076.082.0
Allowed / game74.364.594.0
Point differential+3.7+11.5-12.0
Avg total152.3140.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ETB Miners330100%89.370.0+19.3
2 Leverkusen330100%79.760.7+19.0
3 Koln440100%95.079.0+16.0
4 Leitershofen/Stadtbergen43175%92.078.0+14.0
5 Schwelm43175%83.577.0+6.5
6 Ludwigsburg 243175%83.080.2+2.8
7 Frankfurt 232167%83.778.7+5.0
8 Ehingen32167%81.378.0+3.3
9 Iserlohn32167%88.787.7+1.0
10 Coburg32167%76.780.0-3.3
11 Wedel32167%73.377.3-4.0
12 Rhondorf32167%90.795.3-4.7
13 Berlin Braves42250%98.583.8+14.8
14 Wolmirstedt42250%82.877.8+5.0
15 Sandersdorf42250%68.871.5-2.8
16 Rostock 242250%77.593.5-16.0
17 Paderborn31233%78.074.3+3.7
18 Oberhaching31233%90.390.3+0.0
19 Fellbach31233%80.382.0-1.7
20 Lowen31233%88.092.3-4.3
21 Bernau31233%77.382.0-4.7
22 RSV Eintracht31233%69.073.7-4.7
23 OrangeAcademy31233%74.780.0-5.3
24 Bayern 241325%70.575.8-5.2
25 Ahorn Camp Baskets3030%73.778.7-5.0
26 Neustadt4040%77.589.5-12.0
27 s.Oliver Wurzburg 23030%72.092.7-20.7
28 Itzehoe3030%60.784.3-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bernau1117151962
Paderborn2220201880
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