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SCM Craiova vs Gence Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 90-81
Projected total 170.7
Final 105-96
20-23 32-27 22-25 31-21
Position#33
Record1-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game94.5
Vs
75%
25%
■ SCM 75%■ GENC 25%
Pythia win probability
Position#40
Record1-2
FormLLW
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Sala Polivalenta din Craiova
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

SCM Craiova face Gence in the FIBA Europe Cup on 4 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 75% versus 25% for Gence, reflecting Craiova's higher points per game of 85.2 against Gence's 64.7 and a better overall record of 1-3 to 1-2. Craiova's season totals show a 1-3 record, 85.2 points scored and 94.5 allowed per game, placing them 41st, while Gence sits 37th with a 1-2 record, 64.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed. At home Craiova has a 1-1 record, 90.0 points per game and 91.5 allowed, and in their last five games they have 2 wins and 3 losses, including a 107-105 away win over CSU Sibiu, a 103-86 home win over Rilski Sportist and a 96-118 loss to Esenler Erokspor. Gence's road record is 0-1, 63.0 points per game and 92.0 allowed, with a 1-2 record in their last five and recent results of a 69-67 home win over Sporting CP, a 62-80 home loss to Kolossos Rhodes and a 63-92 away loss to Esenler Erokspor. The projected score is 90-81, with a total of 170.7 points and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SCM Craiova winWon
74.6%fair 1.34
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gence winLost
25.4%fair 3.94
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SCM CraiovaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCraiova
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
101-62
101
62
+39
105avg 82
H29/05
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
92avg 82
A01/06
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#9
W
113-98
113
98
+15
118avg 82
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
50avg 82
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#13
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 82
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#25
L
77-97
77
97
-20
67avg 82
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
73avg 82
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
96-118
96
118
-22
89avg 82
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
103-86
103
86
+17
99avg 82
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
107-105
107
105
+2
no box
A01/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
32-18
23-13
16-10
17-31
21-20
22-15
26-20
26-19
31-18
29-19
27-42
19-12
16-20
11-20
19-25
30-22
17-31
28-26
33-20
20-23
23-25
14-25
20-24
28-20
22-26
22-23
12-26
14-34
22-34
29-27
31-23
16-16
21-17
37-22
29-31
23-26
33-26
26-24
25-29
189.7Avg total
95.9Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.294.5179.8-9.225%
Season at home (2)90.091.5181.5-1.550%
Season away (2)80.597.5178.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)95.993.8189.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)93.4100.2193.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.394.6174.9-14.30%
vs Similar (15)92.688.2180.8+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)101.888.6190.4+13.175%
This opponent (Gence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GenceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGence
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
47avg 54
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 54
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#25
W
69-67
69
67
+2
65avg 54
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
11-22
21-27
12-20
16-20
11-20
19-18
16-22
20-18
18-15
16-14
15-20
144.3Avg total
64.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.779.7144.3-15.033%
Season at home (2)65.573.5139.0-8.050%
Season away (1)63.092.0155.0-29.00%
Last 10 (3)64.779.7144.3-15.033%
Last 5 (3)64.779.7144.3-15.033%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.779.7144.3-15.033%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1251%1301%1352%1404%1456%1509%15510%16012%16512%17011%1759%1808%1855%1903%1952%2001%2051%2100%215
1%1302%1406%15010%16012%1709%1805%1902%2001%210
Pythia expects about 171 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%).
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
73.2%
Under 160.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5
Over 165.5
62.1%
Under 165.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5
Over 170.5
49.9%
Under 170.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

SCM Craiova total 80.5Actual: SCM Craiova over 80.5
Over 80.5
80.4%
Under 80.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCM Craiova total 84.5Actual: SCM Craiova over 84.5
Over 84.5
68.6%
Under 84.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCM Craiova total 88.5Actual: SCM Craiova over 88.5
Over 88.5
54.5%
Under 88.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gence total 77Actual: Gence over 77
Over 77
65.2%
Under 77
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gence total 81Actual: Gence over 81
Over 81
49.7%
Under 81
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gence total 85Actual: Gence over 85
Over 85
34.4%
Under 85
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-96%-67%-36%+09%+310%+610%+99%+128%+157%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+361%+39
1%-212%-154%-97%-39%+310%+98%+155%+213%+271%+331%+39
Margin from SCM Craiova's side (positive = SCM Craiova win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.5; SCM Craiova win by 1+ in 70% of simulations.
Spread SCM Craiova -3Actual: SCM Craiova -3
SCM -3
68.4%
GENC +3
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
SCM
No market prices yet.
GENC
No market prices yet.
Spread SCM Craiova 0Actual: SCM Craiova 0
SCM 0
74.6%
GENC 0
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
SCM
No market prices yet.
GENC
No market prices yet.
Spread SCM Craiova +3Actual: SCM Craiova +3
SCM +3
80.7%
GENC -3
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
SCM
No market prices yet.
GENC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
SCM CraiovaGence
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SCM CraiovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H29/05
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A01/06
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#13
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#25
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#47
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A01/11
Divizia A
92.0Avg total
46.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.788.4+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.342.788.0+2.742%-
Last 30 away (18)44.344.488.7-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.992.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.449.493.8-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.750.188.9-11.414%-
vs Similar (15)45.941.387.1+4.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.942.690.5+5.275%-
This opponent (Gence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#25
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
71.0Avg total
31.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)31.739.371.0-7.733%-
Last 30 at home (2)32.536.569.0-4.050%-
Last 30 away (1)30.045.075.0-15.00%-
Last 10 (3)31.739.371.0-7.733%-
Last 5 (3)31.739.371.0-7.733%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.739.371.0-7.733%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
SCM Craiovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SCM Craiova: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.6
58.5%
53.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.9
35.4%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
72.8%16.7
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gencetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gence: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.720.7
44.3%
53.4%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.03.7
17.5%
32.5%11.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
66.1%
72.8%12.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
SCM Craiova
WWLLLWLWWW
Gence
WLL
#33
League position
#40
+1.2
Net rating
-16.8
102.6
Offensive rating
72.2
101.4
Defensive rating
89.0
56.1%
Effective FG%
38.7%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
17.5%
63.3%
Assist %
69.9%
60%
Form (last 10/3)
33%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 72.2Defence101.4 · 89.0Shooting56.1% · 38.7%3-point %35.4% · 17.5%Ball care14.5% · 15.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/3)60% · 33%
■ SCM Craiova   ■ Gence
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SCM Craiova wins
0
Gence wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ACSU Sibiu107-105
28/10/26HRilski Sportist103-86
21/10/26AEsenler Erokspor96-118
17/10/26AArges Pitesti84-95
14/10/26HSporting CP77-97
11/10/26HMunicipal Galati108-99
07/10/26AKolossos Rhodes65-77
03/10/26ACorona Brasov113-98
01/06/26ADinamo Bucharest105-101 OT
29/05/26HDinamo Bucharest101-62
Gencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HSporting CP69-67
13/10/26HKolossos Rhodes62-80
07/10/26AEsenler Erokspor63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SCM Craiova
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game85.290.080.5
Allowed / game94.591.597.5
Point differential-9.2-1.5-17.0
Avg total179.8181.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gence
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game64.765.563.0
Allowed / game79.773.592.0
Point differential-15.0-8.0-29.0
Avg total144.3139.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor550100%96.272.0+24.2
2 Trier440100%95.575.5+20.0
3 Mykonos550100%84.874.8+10.0
4 Basquet Girona54180%91.273.2+18.0
5 Nancy54180%84.469.8+14.6
6 Korfez Basket54180%84.673.4+11.2
7 Bakken Bears54180%82.681.2+1.4
8 Chalon/Saone43175%86.872.2+14.5
9 Benfica43175%93.887.0+6.8
10 Trepca43175%83.877.5+6.2
11 Szczecin43175%87.282.2+5.0
12 AEK Larnaca43175%84.280.2+4.0
13 Dziki Warszawa43175%86.283.0+3.2
14 Wurzburg53260%85.875.4+10.4
15 Kolossos Rhodes53260%77.467.8+9.6
16 CSM Oradea53260%86.480.4+6.0
17 Keravnos53260%79.879.0+0.8
18 Split53260%81.681.0+0.6
19 Sporting CP53260%76.879.2-2.4
20 Dinamo Bucharest63350%87.577.7+9.8
21 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
22 VEF Riga42250%97.090.0+7.0
23 Iraklis42250%84.879.8+5.0
24 Promitheas42250%86.882.0+4.8
25 Geneva Lions42250%86.882.8+4.0
26 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%82.883.2-0.5
27 Lok. Plovdiv42250%85.286.0-0.8
28 Oostende42250%78.280.0-1.8
29 Szolnoki Olaj42250%80.585.2-4.8
30 Zielona Gora42250%77.285.0-7.8
31 Denizli Basket52340%83.283.0+0.2
32 Levice52340%73.279.6-6.4
33 Tartu Ulikool52340%88.8101.4-12.6
34 Parnu62433%72.877.3-4.5
35 Manchester Basketball31233%77.392.0-14.7
36 Gence31233%64.779.7-15.0
37 Opava41325%82.582.0+0.5
38 Vienna Basket41325%78.282.5-4.2
39 Valmiera Glass Via41325%80.287.2-7.0
40 SCM Craiova41325%85.294.5-9.2
41 Bashkimi41325%72.882.8-10.0
42 Absheron Lions41325%87.297.5-10.2
43 Fribourg Olympic41325%73.285.2-12.0
44 Nitra Blue Wings41325%75.288.8-13.5
45 Neftchi IK61517%74.884.2-9.3
46 MZT Skopje4040%73.282.8-9.5
47 Rilski Sportist4040%73.292.0-18.8
48 Batumi5050%68.894.6-25.8
49 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
SCM Craiova20322231105
Gence2327252196
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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