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Sebastiani Rieti vs Basket Torino Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.4
ItalySerie A2Round 15· PalaSojourner
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Basket Torino
16 Dec 2026
SEBA v BASK
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
SEBA80
BASK66
02 Feb 2025
SEBA84
BASK69
08 Oct 2023
SEBA91
BASK84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Torino win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-23
17-13
17-17
18-23
18-22
14-10
23-24
16-22
21-21
12-14
24-25
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
152.5Avg total
74.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.376.5151.8-1.267%
Season at home (3)76.368.7145.0+7.7100%
Season away (3)74.384.3158.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)74.677.9152.5-3.350%
Last 5 (5)74.277.2151.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.680.1154.7-5.643%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.874.5151.3+2.350%
vs Weaker (7)84.179.7163.9+4.486%
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H04/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A29/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H27/09
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A04/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H11/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
24-17
17-13
21-18
18-21
12-24
25-23
22-13
23-18
21-16
22-18
14-17
13-22
16-19
14-25
23-14
15-23
12-9
10-17
19-10
15-23
26-19
11-21
5-16
30-20
19-23
18-20
17-14
23-25
15-10
19-17
19-7
20-27
22-24
20-18
23-12
20-15
20-21
19-18
14-17
145.6Avg total
73.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.073.4148.4+1.680%
Season at home (2)66.569.0135.5-2.550%
Season away (3)80.776.3157.0+4.3100%
Last 10 (10)73.172.5145.6+0.660%
Last 5 (5)75.073.4148.4+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.175.6145.8-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.873.8149.6+2.060%
vs Weaker (7)74.368.9143.1+5.471%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
Sebastiani RietiBasket Torino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
83.8Avg total
40.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.378.0+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.378.4-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.783.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.487.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.045.485.4-5.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.738.776.4-1.038%-
vs Weaker (7)40.734.475.1+6.371%-
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A29/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/09
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A04/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A25/10
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
37.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.475.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.076.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)35.939.775.6-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.777.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.483.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.439.673.0-6.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.739.277.9-0.533%-
vs Weaker (7)39.635.174.7+4.471%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.515.1
49.5%
51.5%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.1
30.7%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.017.8
71.2%
70.9%17.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Torino: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.515.9
46.1%
51.5%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
34.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
70.9%11.3
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LWLWWWLLLW
Basket Torino
WWWWLLLWLW
#8
League position
#4
-2.4
Net rating
-5.2
93.3
Offensive rating
86.3
95.6
Defensive rating
91.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
35.4%
47.1%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 86.3Defence95.6 · 91.5Shooting47.8% · 49.0%3-point %30.7% · 35.4%Ball care12.7% · 12.4%Free throws0.42 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Basket Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sebastiani Rieti wins
3
Basket Torino wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90
13/05/26HCividale73-82
10/05/26ACividale73-79
08/05/26ACividale70-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26APesaro73-71
17/10/26ABrindisi85-81
11/10/26HCividale76-59
04/10/26APistoia84-77
27/09/26HMestre57-79
29/04/26AJuVi Cremona56-59
26/04/26ASebastiani Rieti66-80
19/04/26HCento80-69
08/04/26HPesaro77-81
04/04/26HRuvo Di Puglia77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game75.376.374.3
Allowed / game76.568.784.3
Point differential-1.2+7.7-10.0
Avg total151.8145.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Torino
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game75.066.580.7
Allowed / game73.469.076.3
Point differential+1.6-2.5+4.3
Avg total148.4135.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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