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Sebastiani Rieti vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-73
27-18 17-19 19-21 18-15
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sebastiani Rieti 🏆
Italy
vs
Caserta
Italy
Position#15
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· PalaSojourner
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 73
A29/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
64avg 73
H04/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 73
A08/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
112-90
112
90
+22
110avg 73
H12/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
65avg 73
A18/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 73
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
64avg 73
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 73
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 73
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 73
H15/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
24-14
20-27
15-18
10-26
19-21
24-21
23-13
21-19
18-21
17-17
16-23
30-27
30-24
22-20
30-19
18-21
23-18
22-22
20-27
22-13
19-16
25-14
14-23
18-16
18-23
17-13
17-17
18-23
18-22
14-10
23-24
16-22
21-21
12-14
24-25
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
160.1Avg total
80.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.180.0160.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)74.877.2152.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.681.8156.4-7.220%
vs Similar (18)76.776.0152.7+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.381.4167.7+4.986%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
no box
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
no box
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
147.4Avg total
72.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.475.0147.4-2.630%
Last 5 (5)77.678.0155.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.982.7159.6-5.825%
vs Similar (18)78.679.9158.4-1.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Sebastiani RietiCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A29/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H04/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H12/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A18/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
81.6Avg total
40.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.976.9-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.778.0+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)36.839.175.9-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.481.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.478.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.443.480.8-6.020%-
vs Similar (18)37.539.176.6-1.639%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.035.175.1+4.971%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
71.6Avg total
35.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.678.0-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.878.1+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)35.642.377.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.671.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.280.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.041.178.1-4.125%-
vs Similar (18)37.740.277.9-2.528%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.4
54.3%
51.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.415.2
71.0%
70.8%15.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.7
51.9%
51.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
70.8%12.4
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LLLWWLWLLW
Caserta
WLWLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#15
+2.5
Net rating
-5.0
96.0
Offensive rating
96.9
93.5
Defensive rating
101.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
23.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
32.7%
56.6%
Assist %
47.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 96.9Defence93.5 · 101.9Shooting51.8% · 50.7%3-point %32.3% · 32.7%Ball care14.3% · 23.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
0
Caserta wins
No previous meetings.
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/26HCividale78-90
13/05/26HCividale73-82
10/05/26ACividale73-79
08/05/26ACividale70-69
26/04/26HBasket Torino80-66
18/04/26AUrania Milano83-88
12/04/26HPesaro112-90
08/04/26ALibertas Livorno72-80
04/04/26HScafati76-81
29/03/26ARuvo Di Puglia84-75
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
2 Forli110100%85.068.0+17.0
3 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
4 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti2717191881
Caserta1819211573
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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