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Sencur vs Ajdovscina Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-91
27-22 28-22 22-31 19-16
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game72.3
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game71.5
SloveniaSlovenian CupSlovenian Cup - Quarter-finals· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ajdovscina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
110-72
110
72
+38
112avg 81
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
98-59
98
59
+39
98avg 81
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
88-62
88
62
+26
89avg 81
A22/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
H26/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A02/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 81
A06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
76avg 81
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 81
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Ajdovscina
#7
W
106-89
106
89
+17
96avg 81
A03/01
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
52-98
52
98
-46
41avg 81
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-9
35-23
25-27
22-13
31-17
27-14
25-8
15-20
22-15
18-18
26-21
22-8
11-16
26-14
22-15
27-22
28-29
15-21
19-15
16-24
17-17
24-24
23-15
21-25
26-12
20-20
22-23
16-19
27-26
25-25
19-20
16-33
25-27
21-27
34-20
26-15
18-28
14-23
9-24
11-23
166.9Avg total
87.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.572.3165.8+21.283%
Season at home (2)92.564.5157.0+28.0100%
Season away (4)94.076.2170.2+17.875%
Last 10 (10)87.479.5166.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)82.889.2172.0-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.786.0164.7-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (5)93.885.8179.6+8.080%
vs Weaker (15)87.371.1158.4+16.387%
This opponent (Ajdovscina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AjdovscinaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAjdovscina
Date
Competition
Jezica
#6
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
H22/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
A05/11
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H03/12
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#25
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
95-63
95
63
+32
no box
A21/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
110-63
110
63
+47
no box
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H25/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
72-60
72
60
+12
no box
A09/12
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
89-106
89
106
-17
72avg 72
H03/01
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
18-17
17-18
13-22
16-20
19-20
29-12
24-5
22-20
13-22
19-21
19-16
21-12
17-26
21-34
18-20
26-13
21-21
17-15
17-14
23-9
20-17
21-19
31-18
28-15
24-12
31-25
27-11
22-13
20-23
19-17
16-21
12-14
23-11
12-20
25-15
27-25
27-21
20-34
15-26
155.6Avg total
82.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.371.5158.8+15.883%
Season at home (4)89.276.5165.8+12.875%
Season away (2)83.561.5145.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.373.3155.6+9.060%
Last 5 (5)88.673.2161.8+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.094.0159.0-29.017%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.087.8162.8-12.80%
vs Weaker (6)82.067.8149.8+14.267%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
SencurAjdovscina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H26/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A02/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Ajdovscina
#7
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A03/01
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
86.3Avg total
45.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.682.9+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.836.881.6+8.075%-
Last 30 away (14)43.640.684.3+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.586.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.889.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.945.485.3-5.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
vs Weaker (15)47.234.581.7+12.787%-
This opponent (Ajdovscina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AjdovscinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jezica
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A05/11
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/12
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#25
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A21/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A09/12
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H03/01
Slovenian Cup
76.2Avg total
41.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.541.278.7-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.839.979.7-0.250%-
Last 30 away (8)34.043.177.1-9.125%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.076.2+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.232.077.2+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.349.079.3-18.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.043.285.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker (6)40.731.071.7+9.783%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.527.9
61.3%
55.7%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.55.5
29.7%
36.4%16.5
🏀 Free throws21.715.8
72.8%
78.7%15.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ajdovscinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ajdovscina: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
55.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.0
40.0%
36.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws31.021.0
67.7%
78.7%21.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWLWWLWWWW
Ajdovscina
LWWWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#7
+2.1
Net rating
-18.8
104.5
Offensive rating
111.6
102.4
Defensive rating
130.4
56.5%
Effective FG%
59.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
23.9%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.54
29.7%
3-point %
40.0%
62.3%
Assist %
17.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 111.6Defence102.4 · 130.4Shooting56.5% · 59.6%3-point %29.7% · 40.0%Ball care18.5% · 23.9%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.54Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sencur   ■ Ajdovscina
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sencur wins
0
Ajdovscina wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Ajdovscina v Sencur89-106
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto52-98
03/01/26AAjdovscina106-89
20/12/25AKK Triglav Kranj87-104
13/12/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-74
06/12/25APolzela85-81
02/12/25AKK Triglav Kranj78-89
26/11/25HKK Triglav Kranj86-67
22/11/25ARogaska88-62
15/11/25HTajfun Sentjur98-59
08/11/25HZlatorog Lasko110-72
Ajdovscinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HSencur89-106
09/12/25AGorica72-60
25/11/25HGorica77-74
04/11/25HCerknica110-63
21/10/25ACerknica95-63
07/10/25HJezica81-63
11/12/24AHidria77-92
03/12/24HHidria73-79
05/11/24AJezica88-57
22/10/24HJezica61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game93.592.594.0
Allowed / game72.364.576.2
Point differential+21.2+28.0+17.8
Avg total165.8157.0170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ajdovscina
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.389.283.5
Allowed / game71.576.561.5
Point differential+15.8+12.8+22.0
Avg total158.8165.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto220100%93.061.0+32.0
2 Helios Domzale110100%98.069.0+29.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija110100%84.078.0+6.0
4 Sencur65183%93.572.3+21.2
5 Ajdovscina65183%87.371.5+15.8
6 KK Triglav Kranj54180%87.668.6+19.0
7 Polzela54180%98.084.8+13.2
8 Zlatorog Lasko64267%95.276.8+18.3
9 Plama P.32167%73.066.7+6.3
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek53260%95.679.2+16.4
11 Rogaska74357%84.481.1+3.3
12 Gorica52340%77.271.6+5.6
13 Elektra Sostanj31233%79.794.0-14.3
14 Cedevita Olimpija mladi31233%69.384.7-15.3
15 Celje31233%74.790.7-16.0
16 Vrani Vransko31233%85.0101.0-16.0
17 Ipros Vrhnika31233%72.791.0-18.3
18 Cerknica31233%71.390.7-19.3
19 LTH Castings31233%64.790.0-25.3
20 Crnomelj1010%84.088.0-4.0
21 Perspektiva Ilirija1010%78.084.0-6.0
22 Nagode Postojna1010%81.088.0-7.0
23 Bistrica Kety Emmi1010%78.087.0-9.0
24 Ljubljana1010%64.075.0-11.0
25 Branik Maribor1010%74.088.0-14.0
26 Jezica1010%63.081.0-18.0
27 Vojnik1010%63.082.0-19.0
28 Jance1010%73.093.0-20.0
29 Tolmin1010%67.088.0-21.0
30 Zoltasti Troti1010%63.086.0-23.0
31 Misel1010%50.076.0-26.0
32 Hrastnik1010%66.0100.0-34.0
33 Hidria1010%66.0102.0-36.0
34 Litija1010%61.0100.0-39.0
35 Prebold1010%45.085.0-40.0
36 Gorenja vas1010%59.0102.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2728221996
Ajdovscina2222311691
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