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Senegal vs Madagascar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-59
28-17 24-11 24-12 25-19
Position#11
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game71.0
Senegal 🏆
vs
Position#89
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game91.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Marius Ndiaye arena
Other2027
Meetings · Senegal v Madagascar
04 Jul 2026
SENE101
MADA59
24 Aug 2011
SENE92
MADA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Senegal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Madagascar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SenegalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Sudan
#6
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H26/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A24/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
89-63
89
63
+26
A26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H26/02
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
99-66
99
66
+33
A28/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H01/03
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
7-16
18-16
27-23
14-23
19-17
21-10
19-13
27-20
21-15
18-24
24-12
21-22
23-23
19-14
12-24
13-13
16-17
13-23
11-17
16-9
23-25
24-14
26-15
14-28
23-20
25-18
18-24
22-19
32-12
28-17
17-18
23-16
26-10
11-12
15-18
29-16
26-20
15-20
15-16
148.8Avg total
78.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.871.0155.8+13.875%
Season at home (2)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Season away (2)92.069.0161.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.870.0148.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)85.669.4155.0+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.780.7149.4-12.029%
vs Similar (6)70.874.8145.7-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.561.9143.4+19.582%
This opponent (Madagascar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MadagascarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mozambique
#11
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H17/08
African Championship
Mali
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H19/08
African Championship
Nigeria
#2
L
81-112
81
112
-31
A21/08
African Championship
Senegal
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A24/08
African Championship
South Africa
#14
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A25/08
African Championship
D.R. Congo
#65
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A26/02
World Cup
Senegal
#11
L
66-99
66
99
-33
H28/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
74-99
74
99
-25
H01/03
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
14-18
23-18
18-23
23-14
7-13
17-23
16-24
19-25
30-30
13-20
19-37
13-26
19-21
20-25
23-20
13-18
23-14
21-12
25-17
11-29
21-16
29-16
18-26
19-22
12-32
17-28
18-17
16-19
21-28
12-28
25-24
8-16
7-27
30-21
17-18
159.1Avg total
72.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.291.8162.0-21.50%
Season at home (3)67.393.3160.7-26.00%
Season away (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Last 10 (9)72.187.0159.1-14.911%
Last 5 (5)72.685.6158.2-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.990.2161.1-19.40%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)82.061.0143.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
SenegalMadagascar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SenegalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Sudan
#6
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H26/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A27/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A24/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H26/02
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A28/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H01/03
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A02/07
World Cup
76.4Avg total
41.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.533.572.0+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.632.570.1+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.434.573.9+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.276.4+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.835.081.8+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.037.070.0-4.029%-
vs Similar (6)36.536.573.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.531.172.5+10.476%-
This opponent (Madagascar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MadagascarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mozambique
#11
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H17/08
African Championship
Mali
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H19/08
African Championship
Nigeria
#2
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A21/08
African Championship
Senegal
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/08
African Championship
South Africa
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A25/08
African Championship
D.R. Congo
#65
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A26/02
World Cup
Senegal
#11
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H28/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H01/03
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
L
15-43
15
43
-28
H02/07
World Cup
74.9Avg total
32.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)32.042.974.9-10.922%-
Last 30 at home (5)27.841.469.2-13.620%-
Last 30 away (4)37.244.882.0-7.525%-
Last 10 (9)32.042.974.9-10.922%-
Last 5 (5)30.244.274.4-14.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.544.275.8-12.812%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Senegal wins
0
Madagascar wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Madagascar v Senegal66-99
24/08/11Senegal v Madagascar92-75
Senegallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26AIvory Coast85-72
01/03/26HD.R. Congo75-56
28/02/26AMadagascar99-66
26/02/26HIvory Coast80-90
26/02/23ACameroon89-63
25/02/23HTunisia53-70
24/02/23ASouth Sudan75-83
28/08/22HCameroon90-71
27/08/22ATunisia73-63
26/08/22HSouth Sudan69-66
Madagascarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HD.R. Congo62-82
01/03/26HIvory Coast74-99
28/02/26HSenegal66-99
26/02/26AD.R. Congo79-87
25/08/11ASouth Africa82-61
24/08/11ASenegal75-92
21/08/11ANigeria81-112
19/08/11HMali63-74
17/08/11HMozambique67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Senegal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game84.877.592.0
Allowed / game71.073.069.0
Point differential+13.8+4.5+23.0
Avg total155.8150.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Madagascar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 1 Wins / 8 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.267.379.0
Allowed / game91.893.387.0
Point differential-21.5-26.0-8.0
Avg total162.0160.7166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
5 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
6 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Mali550100%82.071.6+10.4
9 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 South Sudan54180%84.462.8+21.6
12 Ivory Coast54180%90.269.8+20.4
13 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
14 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
15 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
16 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
17 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
18 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
19 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
20 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
21 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
22 Cameroon54180%76.471.4+5.0
23 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
24 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
25 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
26 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
29 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
30 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
31 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
32 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
33 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
34 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
35 Tunisia53260%77.672.2+5.4
36 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
37 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
40 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
43 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
46 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
47 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
48 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
49 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
50 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
51 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
52 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
53 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
54 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
55 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
56 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
57 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
58 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
59 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
60 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
61 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
62 Cape Verde52340%76.285.0-8.8
63 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
64 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
65 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
66 D.R. Congo52340%67.081.2-14.2
67 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
68 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
69 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
77 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
78 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
79 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
80 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
81 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda5050%67.081.6-14.6
85 Libya5050%66.684.4-17.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
90 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
91 Uganda5050%62.888.4-25.6
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Senegal28242425101
Madagascar1711121959
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