PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Senegal vs Mali Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#25
Record6-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2027
Meetings · Senegal v Mali
28 Feb 2027
SENE v MALI
upcoming
23 Feb 2019
SENE62
MALI38
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Senegal win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mali win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SenegalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#23
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A03/08
Friendly International
Ivory Coast
#13
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H26/02
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
99-66
99
66
+33
A28/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H01/03
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A02/07
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
101-59
101
59
+42
H04/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
89-63
89
63
+26
A05/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H29/08
World Cup
Mali
#25
W
97-71
97
71
+26
A30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
17-26
6-23
14-9
14-28
23-20
25-18
18-24
22-19
32-12
28-17
17-18
23-16
26-10
11-12
15-18
29-16
26-20
15-20
15-16
28-17
24-11
24-12
25-19
24-21
19-23
22-8
24-11
17-13
17-30
17-21
16-12
18-20
25-26
20-17
21-19
25-12
21-18
23-20
28-21
154.8Avg total
83.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.370.6156.9+15.878%
Season at home (4)85.071.8156.8+13.275%
Season away (5)87.469.6157.0+17.880%
Last 10 (10)83.371.5154.8+11.870%
Last 5 (5)87.670.2157.8+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.776.3143.0-9.733%
vs Similar (9)70.372.2142.6-1.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.065.3147.3+16.778%
This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nigeria
#30
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A02/07
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H04/07
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A05/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H27/08
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
101-76
101
76
+25
A29/08
World Cup
Senegal
#11
L
71-97
71
97
-26
H30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-12
23-16
17-27
23-17
22-31
24-13
15-12
19-20
27-24
19-18
15-17
21-19
22-16
15-11
20-24
18-11
21-14
21-18
22-16
21-21
20-22
17-22
16-23
21-27
12-14
18-16
26-26
26-19
22-17
31-15
22-25
12-25
18-21
20-23
21-28
145.5Avg total
73.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.478.0159.4+3.467%
Season at home (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Season away (4)84.276.8161.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)73.372.2145.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)81.080.6161.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)60.774.3135.1-13.617%
vs Similar (5)73.873.0146.8+0.880%
vs Weaker (7)67.760.6128.3+7.171%
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
SenegalMali
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SenegalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#23
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/08
Friendly International
Ivory Coast
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H26/02
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A28/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H01/03
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A02/07
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H04/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H29/08
World Cup
Mali
#25
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A30/08
World Cup
82.9Avg total
44.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.775.7+4.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.534.373.8+5.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.637.477.9+3.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.938.082.9+6.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.281.8+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.740.074.7-5.30%-
vs Similar (9)37.938.676.4-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.933.675.6+8.367%-
This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egypt
#53
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/07
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/07
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A05/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/08
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A29/08
World Cup
Senegal
#11
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H30/08
World Cup
80.3Avg total
41.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.037.670.6-4.532%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.536.669.1-4.136%-
Last 30 away (14)33.638.672.1-5.029%-
Last 10 (9)41.239.180.3+2.156%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.939.470.3-8.418%-
vs Similar (5)34.634.669.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker (6)37.735.072.7+2.750%-
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Senegaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Senegal: 7.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀80%
🏀🏀🏀
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers6.0 pts a game · 80% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points
🏀 Free throws1.5 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers3.03.0
100.0%
-6.0
🏀 Free throws1.51.5
100.0%
-1.5
They take 3.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 0.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 0% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malitheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Senegal wins
0
Mali wins
DateGameScore
30/08/26Mali v Senegal71-97
23/02/19Senegal v Mali62-38
15/09/18Mali v Senegal71-82
15/08/09Mali v Senegal63-74
Senegallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26AMali97-71
29/08/26HAngola84-82
27/08/26AEgypt67-76
05/07/26AD.R. Congo89-63
04/07/26HMadagascar101-59
02/07/26AIvory Coast85-72
01/03/26HD.R. Congo75-56
28/02/26AMadagascar99-66
26/02/26HIvory Coast80-90
03/08/25AItaly56-80
Malilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26HSenegal71-97
29/08/26AD.R. Congo101-76
27/08/26HIvory Coast77-83
05/07/26AAngola74-88
04/07/26HUganda82-59
02/07/26AEgypt78-70
01/03/26HAngola80-79
28/02/26AUganda84-73
26/02/26HEgypt86-77
02/07/22HNigeria0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Senegal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game86.385.087.4
Allowed / game70.671.869.6
Point differential+15.8+13.2+17.8
Avg total156.9156.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mali
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game81.479.284.2
Allowed / game78.079.076.8
Point differential+3.4+0.2+7.5
Avg total159.4158.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.