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Italy vs Senegal Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-56
22-19 26-17 23-6 9-14
Position-
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Italy 🏆
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Senegal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaly
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
83-62
83
62
+21
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
95-71
95
71
+24
90avg 72
A22/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
74-81
74
81
-7
62avg 72
H25/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 72
A20/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
67-71
67
71
-4
60avg 72
H23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
17-23
19-20
19-14
25-15
14-21
12-11
22-10
26-18
16-28
18-21
22-20
18-15
23-27
19-28
25-19
24-24
26-15
18-17
19-24
17-15
19-22
28-9
19-16
27-12
22-13
16-29
30-17
9-22
20-10
27-26
18-23
17-12
31-19
12-19
20-17
10-13
17-19
23-10
17-29
154.5Avg total
80.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.474.1154.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)79.870.4150.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.480.3162.7+2.157%
vs Similar (13)84.882.5167.4+2.362%
vs Weaker (10)84.771.1155.8+13.680%
SenegalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSenegal
Date
Competition
Kenya
#85
W
100-55
100
55
+45
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
43-76
43
76
-33
no box
A01/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Kenya
#85
W
86-54
86
54
+32
no box
H03/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
W
73-63
73
63
+10
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
53-70
53
70
-17
no box
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
89-63
89
63
+26
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
25-19
21-13
26-13
10-23
15-15
10-21
8-17
11-17
14-10
11-22
24-23
20-19
20-12
24-12
22-11
17-11
7-16
18-16
27-23
14-23
19-17
21-10
19-13
27-20
21-15
18-24
24-12
21-22
23-23
19-14
12-24
13-13
16-17
13-23
11-17
16-9
23-25
24-14
26-15
141.1Avg total
73.8Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.867.3141.1+6.560%
Last 5 (5)76.070.0146.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.881.8149.5-14.025%
vs Similar (4)65.071.8136.8-6.825%
vs Weaker (18)81.464.1145.5+17.383%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
ItalySenegal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A22/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H25/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A20/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H23/02
EuroBasket
76.3Avg total
40.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.580.8+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.380.6+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.276.3+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.469.2+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.341.182.4+0.143%-
vs Similar (13)41.440.281.6+1.262%-
vs Weaker (10)44.134.578.6+9.670%-
SenegalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kenya
#85
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A27/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H02/07
World Cup
Kenya
#85
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H26/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A27/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A24/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/02
World Cup
69.6Avg total
36.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.870.9+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.632.169.7+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)36.735.271.9+1.544%-
Last 10 (10)36.033.669.6+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.875.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.838.571.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (4)31.833.865.5-2.050%-
vs Weaker (18)40.231.771.9+8.672%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Italytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.2%
55.4%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.8
37.8%
34.4%29.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
69.8%
74.1%11.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Senegaltheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Senegal wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HHungary67-71
20/02/25ATurkey80-67
25/11/24HIceland74-81
22/11/24AIceland95-71
25/02/24AHungary83-62
22/02/24HTurkey87-80
09/09/23HSlovenia85-89
07/09/23HLatvia82-87
03/09/23HPuerto Rico73-57
01/09/23ASerbia78-76
Senegallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ACameroon89-63
25/02/23HTunisia53-70
24/02/23ASouth Sudan75-83
28/08/22HCameroon90-71
27/08/22ATunisia73-63
26/08/22HSouth Sudan69-66
03/07/22HKenya86-54
02/07/22HD.R. Congo60-72
01/07/22AEgypt43-76
27/02/22AKenya100-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Senegal
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy222623980
Senegal191761456
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