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Serbia vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-69
28-14 24-19 20-17 24-19
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game74.9
Serbia 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record6-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
59-66
59
66
-7
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Belgium
#35
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Italy
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A19/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
83-56
83
56
+27
no box
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Greece
#25
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
W
100-76
100
76
+24
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
19-12
7-21
21-20
21-23
17-15
22-15
13-21
24-23
20-30
21-19
25-14
24-13
14-18
27-10
18-15
31-25
20-19
19-19
17-24
26-11
21-17
18-27
14-17
31-21
20-17
24-23
25-15
20-15
23-10
17-24
21-19
33-22
29-12
14-14
24-22
24-18
26-20
15-20
24-20
159.4Avg total
85.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.574.9163.4+13.680%
Season at home (5)90.677.4168.0+13.280%
Season away (5)86.472.4158.8+14.080%
Last 10 (10)85.474.0159.4+11.480%
Last 5 (5)89.872.8162.6+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.591.2176.8-5.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.373.8161.2+13.581%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Estonia
#55
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A25/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
70-68
70
68
+2
no box
H28/02
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
66avg 78
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
91-55
91
55
+36
90avg 78
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
22-32
18-13
17-15
12-21
26-21
17-14
15-12
18-12
24-24
15-19
21-23
19-19
17-21
20-17
27-36
15-11
16-10
16-28
22-23
25-8
11-17
29-10
26-20
29-18
17-28
23-17
30-21
16-26
14-18
14-20
15-25
23-16
16-17
29-23
17-20
19-20
12-20
17-15
27-14
155.8Avg total
79.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.877.1157.9+3.760%
Season at home (5)86.281.0167.2+5.260%
Season away (5)75.473.2148.6+2.260%
Last 10 (10)79.276.6155.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)81.874.6156.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.082.5158.5-6.529%
vs Similar (11)82.575.1157.6+7.573%
vs Weaker (5)75.269.0144.2+6.280%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
SerbiaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A30/06
World Cup
Belgium
#35
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/07
World Cup
Italy
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Greece
#25
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/08
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A28/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H02/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/09
EuroBasket
80.9Avg total
45.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.283.3+6.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.939.186.1+7.869%-
Last 30 away (14)42.937.280.1+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.480.9+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)50.632.683.2+18.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.248.092.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.236.781.9+8.573%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#55
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H28/02
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/09
EuroBasket
73.9Avg total
36.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.676.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.138.277.3+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.075.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.473.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.140.177.3-3.036%-
vs Similar (11)39.736.476.1+3.464%-
vs Weaker (5)36.039.275.2-3.220%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
-11.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Serbia wins
0
Poland wins
DateGameScore
18/08/17Poland v Serbia78-85
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/22AIsrael89-78
05/09/22HFinland100-70
03/09/22ACzech Republic81-68
02/09/22HNetherlands100-76
28/08/22ATurkey79-72
25/08/22HGreece100-94 OT
20/08/22HGermany83-56
19/08/22AItaly90-86
04/07/22HBelgium73-74
30/06/22ALatvia59-66
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/22ANetherlands75-69
05/09/22HIsrael85-76
03/09/22AFinland59-89
02/09/22HCzech Republic99-84
28/08/22AAustria91-55
25/08/22HCroatia69-72
03/07/22AGermany83-93
30/06/22HIsrael90-85 OT
28/02/22HEstonia70-68
25/02/22AEstonia71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game88.590.686.4
Allowed / game74.977.472.4
Point differential+13.6+13.2+14.0
Avg total163.4168.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%40%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game80.886.275.4
Allowed / game77.181.073.2
Point differential+3.7+5.2+2.2
Avg total157.9167.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Greece119282%83.277.5+5.7
2 Serbia108280%88.574.9+13.6
3 Belgium1511473%79.971.7+8.2
4 Spain118373%84.774.2+10.5
5 Slovenia118373%84.978.7+6.2
6 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
7 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
8 Croatia117464%77.571.6+5.8
9 Ukraine117464%79.173.6+5.5
10 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
11 France117464%76.974.8+2.1
12 Israel117464%80.178.0+2.1
13 Great Britain1811761%76.874.9+1.8
14 Poland106460%80.877.1+3.7
15 Italy106460%82.979.4+3.5
16 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
17 Lithuania116555%84.780.7+4.0
18 Finland116555%80.078.8+1.2
19 Turkey116555%77.776.8+0.9
20 Montenegro116555%74.575.7-1.2
21 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
22 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
25 Germany115645%83.981.1+2.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Czech Republic114736%81.587.6-6.1
31 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
32 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia113827%75.280.6-5.5
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia2824202496
Poland1419171969
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