Shanghai hosts Jilin on 3 November 2026 in the CBA, and the Pythia model names Shanghai the clear favourite, assigning a 96% chance of victory because of their 6-1 season record, 97.1 points per game and 86.3 allowed per game, placing them second in the league, while Jilin sits 10th with a 3-4 record, 83.7 points per game and 83.9 allowed per game. Shanghai has gone 4-0 at home, scoring 98.8 points per game and allowing 82.0, and their last five games include wins over Nanjing Tongxi, Zhejiang Chouzhou and Guangdong, with a recent 100-84 home victory on 1 November 2026. Jilin's road form is perfect, 2-0, with 83.5 points per game and 78.5 allowed, but they have lost twice at home to Guangzhou and Shenzhen, and their last road win was 85-76 over Ningbo Rockets on 26 October 2026. Historically Shanghai has dominated, winning 7 of 10 meetings and their last encounter ended 111-72 on 5 April 2026. Pythia projects a 102-80 score, a total of 181.5, a 96% probability that Shanghai will win, a 4% chance for Jilin, a 56% chance the total will exceed 178.5, and a 1% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Shanghai maintain their home dominance and close out the contest comfortably.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 97.1 | 86.3 | 183.4 | +10.9 | 86% |
| Season at home (4) | 98.8 | 82.0 | 180.8 | +16.8 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 95.0 | 92.0 | 187.0 | +3.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 98.6 | 86.4 | 185.0 | +12.2 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.6 | 88.8 | 183.4 | +5.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 105.0 | 92.0 | 197.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (2) | 90.0 | 92.0 | 182.0 | -2.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 99.9 | 86.3 | 186.2 | +13.7 | 93% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 83.7 | 83.9 | 167.6 | -0.1 | 43% |
| Season at home (5) | 83.8 | 86.0 | 169.8 | -2.2 | 20% |
| Season away (2) | 83.5 | 78.5 | 162.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.1 | 86.9 | 165.0 | -8.8 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 82.4 | 165.6 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 79.0 | 93.4 | 172.4 | -14.4 | 25% |
| vs Similar (5) | 80.6 | 86.0 | 166.6 | -5.4 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 92.2 | 83.4 | 175.6 | +8.8 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 91.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 52.1 | 43.2 | 95.3 | +8.8 | 83% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 52.6 | 42.4 | 95.1 | +10.2 | 93% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 51.6 | 43.9 | 95.5 | +7.6 | 75% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 51.0 | 44.3 | 95.3 | +6.7 | 80% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 51.6 | 43.0 | 94.6 | +8.6 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 51.0 | 50.0 | 101.0 | +1.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (2) | 46.0 | 46.5 | 92.5 | -0.5 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 52.6 | 42.7 | 95.3 | +9.8 | 85% | 56% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 91.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.2 | 48.1 | 88.3 | -7.9 | 27% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 42.6 | 46.4 | 89.0 | -3.8 | 35% | 35% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 37.1 | 50.2 | 87.3 | -13.2 | 15% | 23% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.9 | 46.8 | 85.7 | -7.9 | 20% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 45.8 | 90.0 | -1.6 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 38.3 | 49.0 | 87.2 | -10.7 | 30% | 30% |
| vs Similar (5) | 42.6 | 45.6 | 88.2 | -3.0 | 20% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 45.4 | 47.0 | 92.4 | -1.6 | 20% | 20% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jilin over 73.5 | 70.6% | 1.61 | 1.82 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| Jilin over 72.5 | 73.6% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Shanghai win | 95.8% | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | +1.6pp | Won |
| Shanghai (regulation) | 94.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Lost |
| Shanghai -14.5 | 73.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
| Shanghai -15 | 72.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
| Shanghai -15.5 | 70.2% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.6 | 24.4 | 53.8% | 48.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.8 | 11.6 | 35.0% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.3 | 13.5 | 74.8% | 13.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.3 | 18.8 | 53.8% | 37.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.9 | 8.7 | 35.0% | 26.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.5 | 13.0 | 74.8% | 13.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 | Shanghai v Jilin | 111-72 |
| 31/03/26 | Jilin v Shanghai | 89-110 |
| 14/12/25 | Shanghai v Jilin | 95-85 |
| 14/03/25 | Jilin v Shanghai | 127-133 |
| 23/12/24 | Shanghai v Jilin | 138-107 |
| 03/02/24 | Shanghai v Jilin | 96-104 |
| 07/11/23 | Jilin v Shanghai | 107-116 |
| 10/03/23 | Jilin v Shanghai | 101-93 |
| 03/03/23 | Shanghai v Jilin | 105-107 |
| 10/03/22 | Shanghai v Jilin | 94-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Nanjing Tongxi | 100-84 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Zhejiang Chouzhou | 88-81 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Guangdong | 99-87 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Fujian | 94-89 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Shanxi Zhongyu | 92-103 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Beijing Royal Fighters | 105-92 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Shenzhen | 102-68 |
| 05/06/26 | H | Zhejiang Guangsha | 103-82 |
| 02/06/26 | A | Zhejiang Guangsha | 93-101 |
| 31/05/26 | A | Zhejiang Guangsha | 110-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Guangzhou | 79-90 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Shenzhen | 81-82 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Ningbo Rockets | 85-76 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Zhejiang Guangsha | 82-81 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Xinjiang | 89-83 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Sichuan | 88-91 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Beijing | 82-84 |
| 24/04/26 | A | Beijing | 55-105 |
| 20/04/26 | A | Ningbo Rockets | 65-84 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Guangzhou | 75-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 86% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 97.1 | 98.8 | 95.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.3 | 82.0 | 92.0 |
| Point differential | +10.9 | +16.8 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 183.4 | 180.8 | 187.0 |
| Over 181.5 | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 43% |
| Home | LLWLL | 20% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Win % | 43% | 20% | 100% |
| Points / game | 83.7 | 83.8 | 83.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.9 | 86.0 | 78.5 |
| Point differential | -0.1 | -2.2 | +5.0 |
| Avg total | 167.6 | 169.8 | 162.0 |
| Over 181.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 0% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beijing | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 105.6 | 78.4 | +27.1 |
| 2 | Shanghai | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 97.1 | 86.3 | +10.9 |
| 3 | Liaoning | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 96.6 | 87.0 | +9.6 |
| 4 | Beijing Royal Fighters | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 99.1 | 83.0 | +16.1 |
| 5 | Shanxi Zhongyu | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 101.0 | 90.9 | +10.1 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Chouzhou | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.7 | 74.1 | +8.6 |
| 7 | Fujian | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.7 | 88.3 | +3.4 |
| 8 | Guangzhou | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.0 | 94.4 | -3.4 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Guangsha | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 90.6 | 95.9 | -5.3 |
| 10 | Jilin | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.7 | 83.9 | -0.1 |
| 11 | Xinjiang | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.0 | 89.9 | -3.9 |
| 12 | Shenzhen | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 94.4 | -17.7 |
| 13 | Guangdong | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 88.6 | 90.4 | -1.8 |
| 14 | Qingdao | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 91.5 | 93.2 | -1.8 |
| 15 | Shandong | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 91.8 | 94.2 | -2.5 |
| 16 | Tianjin | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 92.7 | 95.0 | -2.3 |
| 17 | Nanjing Tongxi | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 87.4 | 97.3 | -9.9 |
| 18 | Sichuan | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.6 | 95.6 | -15.0 |
| 19 | Jiangsu Dragons | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.6 | 86.0 | -6.4 |
| 20 | Ningbo Rockets | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 77.9 | 95.1 | -17.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai | 25 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 110 |
| Jilin | 24 | 25 | 21 | 28 | 11 | 109 |
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