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Shanghai W vs Henan W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Projected 88-72
Projected total 159.4
Final 74-73
22-22 15-21 22-11 15-19
Position#3
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Vs
91%
■ SHAN 91%■ HENA 9%
Pythia win probability
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ChinaWCBA WomenRound 1
Women2026-27
Meetings · Shanghai W v Henan W
17 Nov 2026
SHAN v HENA
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
SHAN74
HENA73
31 Oct 2023
SHAN95
HENA74
16 Oct 2020
SHAN71
HENA66
19 Nov 2018
SHAN75
HENA58
17 Dec 2016
SHAN86
HENA59
15 Dec 2016
SHAN90
HENA74
29 Nov 2016
SHAN89
HENA68
18 Oct 2016
SHAN69
HENA77
10 Nov 2015
SHAN70
HENA54
08 Jan 2013
SHAN76
HENA72
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Shanghai W host Henan W in the WCBA Women. Pythia makes Shanghai W the favourite at 91% and projects 88-72, about 159 points in all (over 157.5: 54%). On the market's main spread (Shanghai W -10.5) Pythia gives Shanghai W 68% to cover. Overtime chance: 2%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shanghai W winWon
91.4%fair 1.09
Best odds1.20
Implied78.2%
Edge+13.2pp
Henan W winLost
8.6%fair 11.61
Best odds5.00
Implied21.8%
Edge-13.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Shanghai WChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A10/02
WCBA Women
Guangdong W
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A13/02
WCBA Women
Hebei W
#19
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H15/02
WCBA Women
Beijing W
#13
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H18/02
WCBA Women
Fujian W
#20
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A28/02
WCBA Women
Fujian W
#20
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H03/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H08/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A11/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A13/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
L
83-94 OT
83
94
-11
H16/03
WCBA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
19-22
16-14
27-21
18-22
23-28
15-15
22-22
24-17
26-23
21-18
21-23
28-24
16-18
22-25
9-16
28-16
25-17
21-14
22-23
26-19
23-17
15-8
24-16
16-23
13-11
17-13
17-18
20-24
28-25
21-21
16-22
26-18
22-15
27-21
14-23
28-20
15-19
23-17
12-22
163.0Avg total
83.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.979.1163.0+4.850%
Last 5 (5)81.677.6159.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.079.0152.0-6.00%
vs Similar (12)78.579.8158.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (17)86.872.9159.7+13.976%
Henan WChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hefei W
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A24/01
WCBA Women
Hefei W
#12
W
87-62
87
62
+25
A26/01
WCBA Women
Xiamen W
#16
W
95-70
95
70
+25
A04/02
WCBA Women
Xiamen W
#16
W
94-61
94
61
+33
A06/02
WCBA Women
Ganzhou W
#18
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A09/02
WCBA Women
Ganzhou W
#18
W
81-50
81
50
+31
A11/02
WCBA Women
Wuhan W
#2
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H14/02
WCBA Women
Wuhan W
#2
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H18/02
WCBA Women
Guangdong W
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H28/02
WCBA Women
Guangdong W
#3
L
75-101
75
101
-26
A03/03
WCBA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
20-23
20-17
23-15
20-15
25-14
24-15
18-18
19-21
27-17
27-25
22-7
26-12
27-15
25-17
16-17
18-27
25-25
19-24
16-19
22-19
23-8
22-11
14-12
25-20
20-16
24-19
12-13
21-11
26-19
24-18
24-16
22-29
17-21
24-17
14-27
15-19
22-25
15-24
23-33
160.0Avg total
85.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.874.2160.0+11.670%
Last 5 (5)81.875.4157.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)81.074.0155.0+7.050%
vs Weaker (26)84.374.0158.2+10.369%
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
66.1%
Under 152.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157.5 · main lineActual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
54.2%
@ 1.87+4.2pp
Under 157.5
45.8%
@ 1.87-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
42.0%
Under 162.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Shanghai W total 79.5Actual: Shanghai W under 79.5
Over 79.5
79.3%
@ 1.39+12.0pp
Under 79.5
20.7%
@ 2.86-12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.86
Shanghai W total 83.5 · main lineActual: Shanghai W under 83.5
Over 83.5
66.0%
@ 1.83+14.6pp
Under 83.5
34.0%
@ 1.92-14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.76
Under
1xBet
1.92
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Shanghai W total 87.5Actual: Shanghai W under 87.5
Over 87.5
50.2%
@ 2.47+12.5pp
Under 87.5
49.8%
@ 1.50-12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.47
Under
1xBet
1.50
Henan W total 70.5Actual: Henan W over 70.5
Over 70.5
54.6%
@ 1.56-5.4pp
Under 70.5
45.4%
@ 2.34+5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.34
Henan W total 74.5 · main lineActual: Henan W under 74.5
Over 74.5
38.9%
@ 2.02-9.2pp
Under 74.5
61.1%
@ 1.83+9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.74
Henan W total 78.5Actual: Henan W under 78.5
Over 78.5
25.0%
Under 78.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Shanghai W -13.5Actual: Henan W +13.5
SHAN -13.5
57.8%
@ 2.38+18.6pp
HENA +13.5
42.2%
@ 1.54-18.6pp
Best 5 market prices
SHAN
1xBet
2.38
HENA
1xBet
1.54
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Shanghai W -10.5 · main lineActual: Henan W +10.5
SHAN -10.5
68.0%
@ 1.87+18.0pp
HENA +10.5
32.0%
@ 1.87-18.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SHAN
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.80
HENA
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.83
Spread Shanghai W -7.5Actual: Henan W +7.5
SHAN -7.5
77.0%
@ 1.55+16.6pp
HENA +7.5
23.0%
@ 2.36-16.6pp
Best 5 market prices
SHAN
1xBet
1.55
Marathon Be
1.54
HENA
1xBet
2.36

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
Shanghai WHenan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Shanghai WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/02
WCBA Women
Guangdong W
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A13/02
WCBA Women
Hebei W
#19
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H15/02
WCBA Women
Beijing W
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/02
WCBA Women
Fujian W
#20
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A28/02
WCBA Women
Fujian W
#20
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H08/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A11/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/03
WCBA Women
Shanxi Xing Rui W
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/03
WCBA Women
85.5Avg total
45.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)43.938.782.6+5.260%67%
Last 30 at home (14)45.938.884.6+7.164%79%
Last 30 away (16)42.238.680.9+3.656%56%
Last 10 (10)45.240.385.5+4.960%90%
Last 5 (5)43.438.281.6+5.260%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.048.092.0-4.00%100%
vs Similar (12)41.040.281.2+0.842%58%
vs Weaker (17)46.037.183.1+8.976%71%
Henan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hefei W
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A24/01
WCBA Women
Hefei W
#12
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A26/01
WCBA Women
Xiamen W
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/02
WCBA Women
Xiamen W
#16
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A06/02
WCBA Women
Ganzhou W
#18
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A09/02
WCBA Women
Ganzhou W
#18
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A11/02
WCBA Women
Wuhan W
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/02
WCBA Women
Wuhan W
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H18/02
WCBA Women
Guangdong W
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H28/02
WCBA Women
Guangdong W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A03/03
WCBA Women
83.0Avg total
45.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)45.037.382.3+7.770%50%
Last 30 at home (15)46.536.883.3+9.780%53%
Last 30 away (15)43.537.781.3+5.860%47%
Last 10 (10)45.237.883.0+7.470%60%
Last 5 (5)42.637.480.0+5.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.038.079.0+3.050%50%
vs Weaker (26)45.637.282.8+8.573%50%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Henan W win
SHAN win
no forecast
@ 1.33
HENA win
no forecast
@ 3.30
1st half Spread Shanghai W -5 · main lineActual: Henan W +5
SHAN -5
no forecast
@ 1.86
HENA +5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Shanghai W 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Shanghai W under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Henan W 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Henan W over 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: SHAN + total 80.5
SHAN & over
no forecast
@ 2.65
SHAN & under
no forecast
@ 2.70
1st half: Draw + total 80.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: HENA + total 80.5
HENA & over
no forecast
@ 6.00
HENA & under
no forecast
@ 6.00
1st half Over/Under 79.25Actual: Over 79.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.77
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Shanghai W -6.5Actual: Henan W +6.5
SHAN -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.09
HENA +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.69
1st half Spread Shanghai W -3.5Actual: Henan W +3.5
SHAN -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.69
HENA +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.09
1st half Spread Shanghai W -7.5Actual: Henan W +7.5
SHAN -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
HENA +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.59
1st half Spread Shanghai W -2.5Actual: Henan W +2.5
SHAN -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.59
HENA +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.26
1st half Spread Shanghai W -8.5Actual: Henan W +8.5
SHAN -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.48
HENA +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Shanghai W (regulation)
SHAN
no forecast
@ 1.38
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
HENA
no forecast
@ 3.40

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SHAN win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
HENA win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SHAN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HENA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (SHAN:HENA): SHAN wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Shanghai W -8.574.1%1.70
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.62
--+20.7ppLost
Shanghai W -1070.2%1.80
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.78
---+18.9ppLost
Shanghai W -973.3%1.69
1xBet
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.66
---+18.8ppLost
Shanghai W -9.571.1%1.73
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.72
---+18.0ppLost
Shanghai W -7.577.0%1.54
1xBet
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.54
---+16.6ppLost
Shanghai W -6.579.7%1.45
1xBet
1.45
----+15.2ppLost
Shanghai W over 81.573.0%1.60
1xBet
1.60
----+14.7ppLost
Shanghai W over 80.576.3%1.52
1xBet
1.52
----+14.6ppLost
Shanghai W (regulation)90.1%1.19
1xBet
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.18
---+14.3ppWon
Shanghai W win91.4%1.17
1xBet
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.18
WilliamHill
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.16
+13.2ppWon
Shanghai W over 79.579.3%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+12.0ppLost
Henan W under 77.571.8%1.45
1xBet
1.45
----+7.3ppWon
Overtime: no98.0%1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.02
---+5.7ppWon
Shanghai W -876.3%1.57
Marathon Bet
1.57
-----Lost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Shanghai W wins
0
Henan W wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Henan W v Shanghai W58-105
31/10/23Shanghai W v Henan W95-74
16/10/20Shanghai W v Henan W71-66
05/01/19Henan W v Shanghai W70-80
19/11/18Shanghai W v Henan W75-58
03/01/17Henan W v Shanghai W75-93
31/12/16Henan W v Shanghai W72-89
17/12/16Shanghai W v Henan W86-59
15/12/16Shanghai W v Henan W90-74
13/12/16Henan W v Shanghai W68-87
Shanghai Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HShanxi Xing Rui W83-94 OT
13/03/25AShanxi Xing Rui W89-77
11/03/25AShanxi Xing Rui W85-92
08/03/25HShanxi Xing Rui W63-65
03/03/25HFujian W88-60
28/02/25AFujian W96-70
18/02/25HBeijing W75-83
15/02/25HHebei W92-81
13/02/25AGuangdong W78-87
10/02/25AShanxi Xing Rui W90-82
Henan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25AGuangdong W75-101
28/02/25HGuangdong W77-94
18/02/25HWuhan W95-64
14/02/25HWuhan W81-68
11/02/25AGanzhou W81-50
09/02/25AGanzhou W78-95
06/02/25AXiamen W94-61
04/02/25AXiamen W95-70
26/01/25AHefei W87-62
24/01/25AHefei W95-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shanghai W
WCBA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 157.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Henan W
WCBA Women 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 157.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sichuan W110100%93.067.0+26.0
2 Guangdong W1010%67.093.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shanghai W2215221574
Henan W2221111973
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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