Shanxi Zhongyu vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

On 3 November 2026 the Shanxi Zhongyu host Xinjiang in the CBA, with Shanxi the clear favourite as the model rates them 82% to win, driven by a 5-2 record, 101.0 points per game and 90.9 allowed, placing them fifth, while Xinjiang sit eleventh with 3-4, 86.0 points per game and 89.9 allowed; Shanxi's home form is flawless at 3-0, 99.7 points and 86.7 allowed, and they have won four of their last five, including a 95-89 home win over Sichuan on 1 November, whereas Xinjiang have lost all three road games, 0-3, 84.7 points and 97.7 allowed, and only one win in five, a 84-83 home victory over Nanjing Tongxi on 29 October; the teams are even 5-5 in their ten prior meetings, the last meeting ending 93-86 for Shanxi on 11 April; Pythia projects a 98-87 win for Shanxi, 185.5 total points, a 12.5-point line with a 46% chance of covering, an over line of 183.0 with a 55% chance, and a 5% overtime probability. The game will likely see Shanxi maintain their dominant home edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shanxi Zhongyu winWon

82.2%fair 1.22

Best odds1.13

Implied83.2%

Edge-1.0pp

Xinjiang winLost

17.8%fair 5.60

Best odds7.50

Implied16.8%

Edge+1.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Shanxi Zhongyu China

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZhongyu

Date

Competition

Zhejiang Guangsha

92-90

84avg 85

A07/05

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

81-86

-5

66avg 85

H10/05

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

67-91

-24

57avg 85

A13/05

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

109-115 OT

109

115

-6

no box

A17/10

CBA

Ningbo Rockets

#20

103-73

103

+30

no box

A20/10

CBA

Shanghai

103-92

103

+11

no box

H22/10

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

#17

101-79

101

+22

no box

H25/10

CBA

Shenzhen

#10

83-95

-12

no box

A28/10

CBA

Guangzhou

113-93

113

+20

no box

A30/10

CBA

Sichuan

#19

95-89

no box

H01/11

CBA

25-25

23-23

22-25

22-17

21-25

20-21

14-12

26-28

16-22

17-22

21-27

13-20

31-23

23-24

23-19

8-19

25-14

27-17

29-22

22-20

24-32

30-14

26-17

23-29

30-19

20-23

29-13

22-24

27-32

27-17

19-24

10-22

23-23

31-15

34-32

25-23

29-19

25-25

23-23

18-22

185.0Avg total

94.7Scored

90.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	101.0	90.9	191.9	+10.1	71%
Season at home (3)	99.7	86.7	186.3	+13.0	100%
Season away (4)	102.0	94.0	196.0	+8.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	94.7	90.3	185.0	+4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	99.0	89.6	188.6	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	86.0	95.0	181.0	-9.0	33%
vs Similar (11)	97.1	93.5	190.5	+3.6	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	99.6	92.8	192.4	+6.8	62%

This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Xinjiang

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormXinjiang

Date

Competition

Shanghai

86-111

111

-25

72avg 80

H17/04

CBA

Nanjing Tongxi

#17

109-75

109

+34

116avg 80

H19/04

CBA

Qingdao

84-94

-10

82avg 80

A24/04

CBA

Qingdao

#13

82-80

no box

H17/10

CBA

Tianjin

#16

107-92

107

+15

no box

H20/10

CBA

Jilin

#11

83-89

-6

no box

A22/10

CBA

Liaoning

87-98

-11

no box

A25/10

CBA

Zhejiang Chouzhou

75-81

-6

no box

H27/10

CBA

Nanjing Tongxi

#18

84-83

no box

H29/10

CBA

Beijing Royal Fighters

84-106

106

-22

no box

A31/10

CBA

20-26

18-22

23-28

25-35

32-19

28-17

31-24

18-15

26-29

18-22

12-27

28-16

29-24

21-23

19-24

13-9

26-29

28-25

21-16

32-22

18-21

21-28

20-29

24-11

25-30

25-25

22-22

15-21

19-22

17-22

24-18

15-19

36-20

14-27

19-17

15-19

22-30

29-18

16-33

17-25

179.0Avg total

88.1Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	86.0	89.9	175.9	-3.9	43%
Season at home (4)	87.0	84.0	171.0	+3.0	75%
Season away (3)	84.7	97.7	182.3	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	90.9	179.0	-2.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	91.4	174.0	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	83.2	96.6	179.8	-13.4	8%
vs Similar (14)	89.9	89.3	179.2	+0.6	43%
vs Weaker (4)	84.8	76.8	161.5	+8.0	50%

This opponent (Shanxi Zhongyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 176.5Actual: Under 176.5

Over 176.5

67.4%

@ 1.46

Under 176.5

32.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.46

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 181.5 · main lineActual: Under 181.5

Over 181.5

57.6%

@ 1.85+7.6pp

Under 181.5

42.4%

@ 2.00-7.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.78

BetVictor

1.75

WilliamHill

1.73

1xBet

1.62

Under

WilliamHill

2.00

BetVictor

1.98

Marathon Be

1.91

1xBet

1.90

Pinnacle

1.85

Over/Under 186.5Actual: Under 186.5

Over 186.5

47.4%

@ 2.20+4.4pp

Under 186.5

52.6%

@ 1.62-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

2.20

BetVictor

2.15

Marathon Be

2.07

1xBet

2.06

Under

1xBet

1.62

WilliamHill

1.62

BetVictor

1.62

Marathon Be

1.56

📊 3. Team Totals

Shanxi Zhongyu total 93.5Actual: Shanxi Zhongyu under 93.5

Over 93.5

66.5%

@ 1.35+1.5pp

Under 93.5

33.5%

@ 2.51-1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.35

Under

1xBet

2.51

Shanxi Zhongyu total 97.5 · main lineActual: Shanxi Zhongyu under 97.5

Over 97.5

53.1%

@ 1.83+2.5pp

Under 97.5

46.9%

@ 1.91-2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.64

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Betano

1.82

Shanxi Zhongyu total 101.5Actual: Shanxi Zhongyu under 101.5

Over 101.5

39.2%

@ 2.17-0.8pp

Under 101.5

60.8%

@ 1.45+0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.17

Under

1xBet

1.45

Xinjiang total 81.5Actual: Xinjiang over 81.5

Over 81.5

67.8%

@ 1.43+6.9pp

Under 81.5

32.2%

@ 2.23-6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.43

Under

1xBet

2.23

Xinjiang total 85.5 · main lineActual: Xinjiang under 85.5

Over 85.5

54.8%

@ 1.91+6.3pp

Under 85.5

45.2%

@ 1.83-6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.79

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.66

Xinjiang total 89.5Actual: Xinjiang under 89.5

Over 89.5

41.3%

@ 2.46+5.7pp

Under 89.5

58.7%

@ 1.36-5.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.46

Under

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -15.5Actual: Xinjiang +15.5

SHAN -15.5

36.0%

@ 2.31-3.8pp

XINJ +15.5

64.0%

@ 1.58+3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

SHAN

Pinnacle

2.31

BetVictor

2.25

Marathon Be

2.15

1xBet

2.07

XINJ

BetVictor

1.58

Marathon Be

1.56

1xBet

1.54

Pinnacle

1.53

Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -12.5 · main lineActual: Xinjiang +12.5

SHAN -12.5

45.8%

@ 1.83-4.5pp

XINJ +12.5

54.2%

@ 1.91+4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

SHAN

Marathon Be

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Pinnacle

1.83

SBO

1.82

Betfair

1.80

XINJ

Betfair

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

1xBet

1.86

SBO

1.86

Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -9.5Actual: Xinjiang +9.5

SHAN -9.5

56.1%

@ 1.53-4.2pp

XINJ +9.5

43.9%

@ 2.37+4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

SHAN

BetVictor

1.53

Marathon Be

1.50

1xBet

1.42

XINJ

1xBet

2.37

BetVictor

2.30

Marathon Be

2.28

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Shanxi ZhongyuXinjiang

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.5
Last 30 (30)	25.0	23.7	48.7	+1.3	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	26.6	25.5	52.1	+1.1	53%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	21.9	45.3	+1.4	40%	33%
Last 10 (10)	25.1	23.4	48.5	+1.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.6	25.0	51.6	+1.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	27.0	49.8	-4.2	17%	67%
vs Similar (11)	24.5	23.2	47.6	+1.3	45%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	26.4	22.6	49.0	+3.8	62%	62%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.5
Last 30 (30)	23.1	24.1	47.2	-1.0	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	24.4	48.7	+0.0	47%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	23.8	45.3	-2.2	23%	38%
Last 10 (10)	25.3	25.0	50.3	+0.3	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.6	48.6	-0.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.3	25.4	47.8	-3.1	25%	50%
vs Similar (14)	23.4	24.7	48.1	-1.4	36%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	24.8	18.0	42.8	+6.8	75%	25%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.25
Last 30 (30)	25.2	21.6	46.8	+3.6	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	22.1	47.3	+3.1	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	25.2	21.1	46.3	+4.1	67%	33%
Last 10 (10)	24.3	20.1	44.4	+4.2	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	26.6	18.8	45.4	+7.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.0	22.5	44.5	-0.5	17%	33%
vs Similar (11)	24.8	21.6	46.5	+3.2	55%	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	27.0	21.2	48.2	+5.8	77%	46%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.25
Last 30 (30)	21.8	24.3	46.1	-2.6	27%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	29%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	24.8	47.4	-2.2	23%	62%
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.0	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.3	25.5	46.8	-4.2	17%	58%
vs Similar (14)	22.4	23.8	46.1	-1.4	36%	57%
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	25%	0%

Shanxi ZhongyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zhejiang Guangsha

48-48

A07/05

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

41-46

-5

H10/05

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

33-44

-11

A13/05

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

54-47

A17/10

CBA

Ningbo Rockets

#20

52-31

+21

A20/10

CBA

Shanghai

54-46

H22/10

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

#17

50-42

H25/10

CBA

Shenzhen

#10

54-49

A28/10

CBA

Guangzhou

54-38

+16

A30/10

CBA

Sichuan

#19

54-44

+10

H01/11

CBA

92.9Avg total

49.4Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 95.5
Last 30 (30)	50.2	45.3	95.5	+4.9	70%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	51.8	47.6	99.4	+4.2	67%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	48.5	43.0	91.5	+5.5	73%	33%
Last 10 (10)	49.4	43.5	92.9	+5.9	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	53.2	43.8	97.0	+9.4	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.8	49.5	94.3	-4.7	33%	67%
vs Similar (11)	49.3	44.8	94.1	+4.5	64%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	53.4	43.8	97.2	+9.6	92%	54%

This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shanghai

38-48

-10

H17/04

CBA

Nanjing Tongxi

#17

60-36

+24

H19/04

CBA

Qingdao

44-51

-7

A24/04

CBA

Qingdao

#13

50-47

H17/10

CBA

Tianjin

#16

54-54

H20/10

CBA

Jilin

#11

39-49

-10

A22/10

CBA

Liaoning

50-55

-5

A25/10

CBA

Zhejiang Chouzhou

36-44

-8

H27/10

CBA

Nanjing Tongxi

#18

50-47

H29/10

CBA

Beijing Royal Fighters

51-48

A31/10

CBA

95.1Avg total

47.2Scored

47.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 95.5
Last 30 (30)	44.9	48.4	93.3	-3.5	27%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	45.5	48.4	93.8	-2.9	29%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	44.2	48.5	92.7	-4.4	23%	46%
Last 10 (10)	47.2	47.9	95.1	-0.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	45.2	48.6	93.8	-3.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	43.7	50.9	94.6	-7.2	8%	58%
vs Similar (14)	45.7	48.5	94.2	-2.8	36%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	45.8	40.8	86.5	+5.0	50%	25%

This opponent (Shanxi Zhongyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Xinjiang win

SHAN win

no forecast

@ 1.24

XINJ win

no forecast

@ 4.35

1st half Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -7 · main lineActual: Xinjiang +7

SHAN -7

no forecast

@ 1.85

XINJ +7

no forecast

@ 1.92

1st half Over/Under 95.5 · main lineActual: Under 95.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Shanxi Zhongyu 1st half total 50.5 · main lineActual: Shanxi Zhongyu under 50.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Xinjiang 1st half total 45 · main lineActual: Xinjiang over 45

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half: SHAN + total 95.5

SHAN & over

no forecast

@ 2.45

SHAN & under

no forecast

@ 2.45

1st half: Draw + total 95.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: XINJ + total 95.5

XINJ & over

no forecast

@ 7.50

XINJ & under

no forecast

@ 7.50

1st half Over/Under 94.25Actual: Over 94.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -8Actual: Xinjiang +8

SHAN -8

no forecast

@ 1.98

XINJ +8

no forecast

@ 1.77

1st half Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -6Actual: Xinjiang +6

SHAN -6

no forecast

@ 1.89

XINJ +6

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 93Actual: Over 93

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -5Actual: Xinjiang +5

SHAN -5

no forecast

@ 1.75

XINJ +5

no forecast

@ 1.96

1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.75

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Shanxi Zhongyu -9.5Actual: Xinjiang +9.5

SHAN -9.5

no forecast

@ 2.02

XINJ +9.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Shanxi Zhongyu (regulation)

SHAN

no forecast

@ 1.27

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.50

XINJ

no forecast

@ 4.56

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	47%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	47%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	23.8	46.9	-0.7	47%	73%
Last 10 (10)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	26.2	21.8	48.0	+4.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	33%	50%
vs Similar (11)	22.5	23.7	46.2	-1.3	45%	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.5	54%	62%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.0	44.3	+0.2	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.8	20.5	44.4	+3.3	76%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	24.0	44.2	-3.8	31%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.8	44.5	-3.1	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.1	23.7	44.8	-2.6	42%	58%
vs Similar (14)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.3	64%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	19.5	40.2	+1.2	75%	25%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	22.0	23.9	45.9	-1.9	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	24.9	49.1	-0.7	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	22.9	42.7	-3.1	47%	40%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.5	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.0	43.6	-4.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	33%	50%
vs Similar (11)	24.2	24.1	48.3	+0.1	64%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	24.1	44.4	-3.8	38%	54%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.8	37%	27%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	35%	24%
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	38%	31%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	17%	42%
vs Similar (14)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	57%	21%
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	16.5	34.8	+1.8	25%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88.5
Last 30 (30)	44.6	46.9	91.4	-2.3	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	47.1	93.3	-0.9	40%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	46.7	89.6	-3.7	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	42.9	43.8	86.7	-0.9	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	45.8	45.8	91.6	+0.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.2	45.5	86.7	-4.3	33%	33%
vs Similar (11)	46.6	47.8	94.5	-1.2	45%	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.4	46.7	91.1	-2.3	38%	62%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88.5
Last 30 (30)	41.2	41.8	83.0	-0.6	43%	30%
Last 30 at home (17)	41.9	40.1	82.0	+1.9	59%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	44.1	84.2	-3.9	23%	23%
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.0	83.9	-2.1	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	37.4	42.8	80.2	-5.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.5	45.7	85.2	-6.2	25%	42%
vs Similar (14)	43.2	40.1	83.4	+3.1	57%	29%
vs Weaker (4)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	50%	0%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SHAN win + total 182.5

🔒 Pro

XINJ win + total 182.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SHAN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: XINJ leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SHAN:XINJ): SHAN wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Xinjiang over 80.5	70.8%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Xinjiang over 79.5	73.7%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Xinjiang over 78.5	76.5%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Xinjiang +18.5	72.8%	1.33	Marathon Bet 1.35	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Xinjiang +19.5	75.4%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.5%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	-
Shanxi Zhongyu under 104.5	70.4%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Shanxi Zhongyu win	82.2%	1.11	Betano 1.13	WilliamHill 1.12	BetVictor 1.12	1xBet 1.11	Marathon Bet 1.11	-1.0pp	Won
Shanxi Zhongyu (regulation)	79.5%	1.11	1xBet 1.11	Marathon Bet 1.11	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Xinjiang +18	72.0%	1.37	Marathon Bet 1.37	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Shanxi Zhongyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shanxi Zhongyu: 92.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game

49%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.4	23.8	51.3%	53.8%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.6	34.8%	35.0%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	26.9	19.4	72.1%	74.8%	19.4

They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game

49%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	23.1	57.5%	53.8%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.3	34.7%	35.0%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.8	73.0%	74.8%	13.8

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	20.4	48.0%	53.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.3	32.6%	35.0%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	29.8	21.5	72.1%	74.8%	21.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	23.2	56.4%	53.8%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.0	35.6%	35.0%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.7	75.4%	74.8%	14.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.1	23.7	55.0%	53.8%	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	9.2	35.8%	35.0%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	26.1	19.3	73.9%	74.8%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.0	56.8%	53.8%	46.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.3	33.8%	35.0%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.2	72.9%	74.8%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	21.5	53.0%	53.8%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.7	36.6%	35.0%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	27.6	20.1	72.6%	74.8%	20.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	21.7	56.1%	53.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	10.0	36.2%	35.0%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.4	75.2%	74.8%	16.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Shanxi Zhongyu

WWLWWWLLLW

Xinjiang

LWLLLWWLWL

League position

#15

+2.7

Net rating

-3.7

97.7

Offensive rating

102.0

95.0

Defensive rating

105.7

51.6%

Effective FG%

55.3%

48.4%

Opp. effective FG%

55.2%

12.4%

Turnover %

11.2%

0.38

Free-throw rate

0.28

34.8%

3-point %

34.7%

56.2%

Assist %

69.1%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Shanxi Zhongyu ■ Xinjiang

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Shanxi Zhongyu wins

Xinjiang wins

Date	Game	Score
11/04/26	Shanxi Zhongyu v Xinjiang	93-86
04/04/26	Xinjiang v Shanxi Zhongyu	86-102
11/02/25	Xinjiang v Shanxi Zhongyu	105-89
05/01/25	Shanxi Zhongyu v Xinjiang	115-110
22/12/24	Xinjiang v Shanxi Zhongyu	128-121 OT
02/02/24	Shanxi Zhongyu v Xinjiang	111-108
09/12/23	Xinjiang v Shanxi Zhongyu	111-86
30/12/22	Xinjiang v Shanxi Zhongyu	127-110
14/12/22	Shanxi Zhongyu v Xinjiang	110-107
08/10/22	Shanxi Zhongyu v Xinjiang	80-98

Shanxi Zhongyulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	H	Sichuan	95-89
30/10/26	A	Guangzhou	113-93
28/10/26	A	Shenzhen	83-95
25/10/26	H	Jiangsu Dragons	101-79
22/10/26	H	Shanghai	103-92
20/10/26	A	Ningbo Rockets	103-73
17/10/26	A	Zhejiang Guangsha	109-115 OT
13/05/26	A	Zhejiang Guangsha	67-91
10/05/26	H	Zhejiang Guangsha	81-86
07/05/26	A	Zhejiang Guangsha	92-90

Xinjianglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	A	Beijing Royal Fighters	84-106
29/10/26	H	Nanjing Tongxi	84-83
27/10/26	H	Zhejiang Chouzhou	75-81
25/10/26	A	Liaoning	87-98
22/10/26	A	Jilin	83-89
20/10/26	H	Tianjin	107-92
17/10/26	H	Qingdao	82-80
24/04/26	A	Qingdao	84-94
19/04/26	H	Nanjing Tongxi	109-75
17/04/26	H	Shanghai	86-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shanxi Zhongyu

CBA 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	71%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	100%	50%
Points / game	101.0	99.7	102.0
Allowed / game	90.9	86.7	94.0
Point differential	+10.1	+13.0	+8.0
Avg total	191.9	186.3	196.0
Over 181.5	57%	67%	50%
Win by 10+	57%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

Xinjiang

CBA 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	43%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	75%	0%
Points / game	86.0	87.0	84.7
Allowed / game	89.9	84.0	97.7
Point differential	-3.9	+3.0	-13.0
Avg total	175.9	171.0	182.3
Over 181.5	43%	25%	67%
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Beijing	7	7	0	100%	105.6	78.4	+27.1
2	Shanghai	7	6	1	86%	97.1	86.3	+10.9
3	Liaoning	7	6	1	86%	96.6	87.0	+9.6
4	Beijing Royal Fighters	8	6	2	75%	99.1	83.0	+16.1
5	Shanxi Zhongyu	7	5	2	71%	101.0	90.9	+10.1
6	Zhejiang Chouzhou	7	5	2	71%	82.7	74.1	+8.6
7	Fujian	7	4	3	57%	91.7	88.3	+3.4
8	Guangzhou	7	4	3	57%	91.0	94.4	-3.4
9	Zhejiang Guangsha	7	4	3	57%	90.6	95.9	-5.3
10	Jilin	7	3	4	43%	83.7	83.9	-0.1
11	Xinjiang	7	3	4	43%	86.0	89.9	-3.9
12	Shenzhen	7	3	4	43%	76.7	94.4	-17.7
13	Guangdong	8	3	5	38%	88.6	90.4	-1.8
14	Qingdao	8	3	5	38%	91.5	93.2	-1.8
15	Shandong	8	3	5	38%	91.8	94.2	-2.5
16	Tianjin	7	2	5	29%	92.7	95.0	-2.3
17	Nanjing Tongxi	7	2	5	29%	87.4	97.3	-9.9
18	Sichuan	7	2	5	29%	80.6	95.6	-15.0
19	Jiangsu Dragons	7	1	6	14%	79.6	86.0	-6.4
20	Ningbo Rockets	7	0	7	0%	77.9	95.1	-17.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Shanxi Zhongyu	22	23	23	19	87
Xinjiang	21	29	14	20	84

← all games of the day

Shanxi Zhongyu vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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