PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shenzhen vs Liaoning Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game94.4
Shenzhen
China
vs
Liaoning
China
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game87.0
ChinaCBARound 44· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shenzhen v Liaoning
31 Mar 2027
SHEN v LIAO
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
SHEN88
LIAO96
29 Dec 2025
SHEN93
LIAO90
01 Dec 2024
SHEN93
LIAO100
23 Apr 2024
SHEN80
LIAO102
24 Jan 2024
SHEN119
LIAO123
09 Dec 2022
SHEN90
LIAO104
04 Jan 2022
SHEN80
LIAO93
14 Jan 2021
SHEN104
LIAO117
07 Jan 2020
SHEN100
LIAO122
11 Dec 2018
SHEN99
LIAO120
20 Nov 2018
SHEN96
LIAO99
17 Dec 2017
SHEN92
LIAO89
09 Nov 2016
SHEN109
LIAO113
30 Dec 2015
SHEN82
LIAO96
23 Nov 2014
SHEN113
LIAO119
01 Jan 2014
SHEN106
LIAO108
30 Jan 2013
SHEN83
LIAO98
03 Feb 2012
SHEN107
LIAO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
77avg 95
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 95
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 95
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
27-27
24-19
19-21
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
173.1Avg total
80.1Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.794.4171.1-17.743%
Season at home (2)82.593.0175.5-10.550%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.193.0173.1-12.940%
Last 5 (5)76.095.6171.6-19.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.794.4171.1-17.743%
vs Similar (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (13)105.192.3197.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
77avg 85
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
73avg 85
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 85
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#16
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#15
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#13
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
no box
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H01/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
25-18
14-19
14-13
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
24-24
21-10
19-17
27-20
179.7Avg total
92.1Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.687.0183.6+9.686%
Season at home (3)97.783.7181.3+14.0100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)92.187.6179.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)96.886.4183.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.585.4181.9+11.285%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
ShenzhenLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
90.1Avg total
39.8Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.848.899.6+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.247.8102.0+6.577%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.850.390.1-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.053.091.0-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.351.488.7-14.114%-
vs Similar (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (13)56.546.2102.7+10.292%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#12
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#16
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#15
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#13
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/11
CBA
97.6Avg total
50.5Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.745.192.8+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.843.592.3+5.379%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)50.547.197.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.646.297.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.544.994.4+4.577%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
LWWLLWLLWL
Liaoning
WWLWWWWLLW
#14
League position
#3
-14.8
Net rating
-0.1
88.7
Offensive rating
101.5
103.5
Defensive rating
101.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
33.8%
65.1%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 101.5Defence103.5 · 101.6Shooting51.4% · 53.6%3-point %33.5% · 33.8%Ball care15.4% · 13.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shenzhen wins
8
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Liaoning v Shenzhen91-71
11/03/26Shenzhen v Liaoning88-96
18/01/26Liaoning v Shenzhen83-87
29/12/25Shenzhen v Liaoning93-90
19/03/25Liaoning v Shenzhen117-100
01/12/24Shenzhen v Liaoning93-100
23/04/24Shenzhen v Liaoning80-102
20/04/24Liaoning v Shenzhen132-93
18/04/24Liaoning v Shenzhen124-87
12/03/24Liaoning v Shenzhen109-98
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80
18/05/26AZhejiang Guangsha85-92
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HShenzhen91-71
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102
28/04/26AShandong77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game76.782.574.4
Allowed / game94.493.095.0
Point differential-17.7-10.5-20.6
Avg total171.1175.5169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game96.697.795.8
Allowed / game87.083.789.5
Point differential+9.6+14.0+6.2
Avg total183.6181.3185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai76186%97.186.3+10.9
3 Liaoning76186%96.687.0+9.6
4 Beijing Royal Fighters75271%99.181.0+18.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian74357%91.788.3+3.4
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
11 Guangdong73443%85.787.3-1.6
12 Shandong73443%91.093.6-2.6
13 Xinjiang73443%86.089.9-3.9
14 Shenzhen73443%76.794.4-17.7
15 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
16 Qingdao72529%88.691.0-2.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi72529%87.497.3-9.9
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.