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Liaoning vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 117-100
28-29 31-27 38-21 20-23
Position#4
Record27-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game105.6
Allowed / game99.3
vs
Position#13
Record16-25
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game106.6
ChinaCBARound 42· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liaoning v Shenzhen
01 Nov 2026
LIAO91
SHEN71
18 Jan 2026
LIAO83
SHEN87
19 Mar 2025
LIAO117
SHEN100
20 Apr 2024
LIAO132
SHEN93
18 Apr 2024
LIAO124
SHEN87
12 Mar 2024
LIAO109
SHEN98
19 Mar 2023
LIAO115
SHEN98
06 Oct 2022
LIAO77
SHEN80
11 Jan 2022
LIAO92
SHEN90
27 Jan 2021
LIAO117
SHEN103
08 Nov 2019
LIAO123
SHEN107
28 Feb 2019
LIAO111
SHEN100
29 Jan 2019
LIAO112
SHEN120
06 Feb 2018
LIAO119
SHEN107
01 Jan 2017
LIAO115
SHEN101
31 Jan 2016
LIAO109
SHEN93
07 Jan 2015
LIAO124
SHEN117
13 Nov 2013
LIAO106
SHEN97
21 Dec 2012
LIAO108
SHEN93
16 Dec 2011
LIAO95
SHEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
113-107
113
107
+6
106avg 97
A17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
88-101
88
101
-13
74avg 97
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
93-108
93
108
-15
76avg 97
A23/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
124-106
124
106
+18
119avg 97
H25/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
83-127
83
127
-44
72avg 97
A05/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
121-93
121
93
+28
128avg 97
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
112-99
112
99
+13
-5avg 97
H09/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
97-106
97
106
-9
80avg 97
A11/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 97
A15/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
136-99
136
99
+37
149avg 97
H17/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
28-28
28-28
27-19
18-20
31-27
21-31
18-23
28-26
30-35
26-26
9-21
38-34
33-23
29-20
24-29
20-31
24-31
17-30
22-35
29-20
34-35
27-22
31-16
28-24
21-32
31-20
32-23
34-26
26-27
11-25
26-28
29-21
21-27
28-23
16-17
44-20
33-36
34-21
25-22
209.5Avg total
106.1Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)105.699.3204.9+6.366%
Season at home (20)112.398.5210.8+13.880%
Season away (21)99.1100.1199.2-1.052%
Last 10 (10)106.1103.4209.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)112.097.0209.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.5104.5195.0-14.00%
vs Similar (12)101.4104.0205.4-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)108.697.4206.0+11.281%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
118-96
118
96
+22
124avg 96
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
102-112
102
112
-10
99avg 96
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
79avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
110avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 96
A08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
105-97
105
97
+8
100avg 96
A10/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
102-118
102
118
-16
90avg 96
A12/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
100-111
100
111
-11
84avg 96
H15/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
114-95
114
95
+19
117avg 96
H17/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
39-20
24-25
26-28
23-28
33-31
32-24
14-29
16-30
23-35
24-22
23-17
34-19
32-27
20-39
32-24
30-31
28-42
31-18
26-18
31-24
24-18
26-22
23-22
29-28
28-31
23-17
25-21
32-28
15-31
27-29
28-30
34-30
27-32
28-22
11-27
29-27
30-26
25-20
30-22
210.1Avg total
106.4Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)104.8106.6211.4-1.839%
Season at home (21)105.2102.9208.0+2.348%
Season away (20)104.4110.5214.9-6.130%
Last 10 (10)106.4103.7210.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)105.0101.4206.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)100.7104.5205.2-3.826%
vs Similar (1)108.0101.0209.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (10)114.4102.8217.2+11.680%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
LiaoningShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A23/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H25/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A05/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H09/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A11/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H17/03
CBA
113.4Avg total
57.9Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.952.9107.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.351.7111.0+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)51.054.0105.0-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)57.955.5113.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)59.853.6113.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.553.0102.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (12)52.052.8104.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)57.753.0110.7+4.769%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A10/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A12/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H15/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H17/03
CBA
112.7Avg total
56.6Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.854.7110.6+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.853.3110.1+3.553%-
Last 30 away (13)54.656.6111.2-2.046%-
Last 10 (10)56.656.1112.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.0110.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)53.355.5108.8-2.332%-
vs Similar (1)62.047.0109.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)60.154.0114.1+6.180%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.427.2
55.1%
52.6%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.9
34.2%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.918.1
79.0%
76.3%18.1
They take 81.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 105.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.829.8
54.4%
52.6%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.9
36.5%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
76.3%15.7
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWLWWLWLLW
Shenzhen
WLLWWWWLLW
#4
League position
#13
+2.8
Net rating
+2.6
116.6
Offensive rating
107.5
113.9
Defensive rating
105.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.2%
3-point %
36.5%
69.3%
Assist %
69.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 107.5Defence113.9 · 105.0Shooting53.6% · 54.5%3-point %34.2% · 36.5%Ball care14.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 22.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Liaoning   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Liaoning wins
1
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Shenzhen v Liaoning93-100
23/04/24Shenzhen v Liaoning80-102
20/04/24Liaoning v Shenzhen132-93
18/04/24Liaoning v Shenzhen124-87
12/03/24Liaoning v Shenzhen109-98
24/01/24Shenzhen v Liaoning119-123 OT
19/03/23Liaoning v Shenzhen115-98
09/12/22Shenzhen v Liaoning90-104
06/10/22Liaoning v Shenzhen77-80
11/01/22Liaoning v Shenzhen92-90
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25HJilin136-99
15/03/25AJiangsu Dragons94-88
11/03/25ANanjing Tongxi97-106
09/03/25HJilin112-99
07/03/25HQingdao121-93
05/03/25AGuangdong83-127
25/01/25HNingbo Rockets124-106
23/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha93-108
19/01/25AZhejiang Chouzhou88-101
17/01/25ANingbo Rockets113-107
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25HBeijing Royal Fighters114-95
15/03/25HShandong100-111
12/03/25AXinjiang102-118
10/03/25ASichuan105-97
08/03/25AGuangzhou104-86
06/03/25AJiangsu Dragons115-109
25/01/25HXinjiang118-109
22/01/25ABeijing86-104
19/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters102-112
17/01/25HJilin118-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %66%80%52%
Points / game105.6112.399.1
Allowed / game99.398.5100.1
Point differential+6.3+13.8-1.0
Avg total204.9210.8199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW39%
HomeWWWLW48%
AwayLWWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %39%48%30%
Points / game104.8105.2104.4
Allowed / game106.6102.9110.5
Point differential-1.8+2.3-6.1
Avg total211.4208.0214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4135685%104.392.9+11.4
2 Shanxi Zhongyu41311076%114.8108.8+6.0
3 Xinjiang41291271%110.1102.0+8.1
4 Beijing41291271%103.196.3+6.8
5 Shandong41281368%105.0100.4+4.6
6 Liaoning41271466%105.699.3+6.3
7 Guangdong42271564%104.798.0+6.7
8 Qingdao41261563%105.2101.0+4.3
9 Shanghai40251562%111.1103.2+8.0
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou42261662%112.3105.2+7.1
11 Beijing Royal Fighters40231757%106.1102.1+4.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi42212150%106.1107.4-1.3
13 Shenzhen41162539%104.8106.6-1.8
14 Jilin41132832%103.0112.3-9.3
15 Tianjin41113027%102.0110.9-8.9
16 Guangzhou41103124%96.2106.8-10.6
17 Ningbo Rockets41103124%103.2114.3-11.2
18 Sichuan4193222%99.9109.7-9.8
19 Fujian4083220%103.8114.9-11.1
20 Jiangsu Dragons4163515%93.5103.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning28313820117
Shenzhen29272123100
← all games of the day
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