Shenzhen hosts Zhejiang Chouzhou on 3 November 2026 in the CBA, with the model favouring Zhejiang Chouzhou at 71% to win over Shenzhen's 29% chance, and projecting a 83-89 scoreline that totals 172.1 points; the home team faces an 11.0-point line and has a 64% probability of covering it, while the over on the 166.5 total carries a 61% chance, and a 6% overtime probability is noted. Shenzhen, 12th in the league, has gone 3-4 this season with 76.7 points per game and 94.4 allowed, and at home they are 1-1 with 82.5 points scored and 93.0 allowed; their last five games were 2-3, including a loss to Liaoning 71-91 away, a win over Jilin 82-81 away, and a win over Shanxi Zhongyu 95-83 at home. Zhejiang Chouzhou, 6th in the standings, has a 5-2 record, averaging 82.7 points and allowing 74.1, and on the road they are 2-1 with 83.7 points scored and 71.3 allowed; their last five were 4-1, highlighted by a 70-62 win over Jiangsu Dragons at home, a 81-88 loss to Shanghai at home, and an 81-75 win over Xinjiang away. In their 10 previous meetings Shenzhen has won 7 times to Zhejiang Chouzhou's 3, with Shenzhen's most recent victory being a 95-91 win on 10 May 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 76.7 | 94.4 | 171.1 | -17.7 | 43% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.5 | 93.0 | 175.5 | -10.5 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 74.4 | 95.0 | 169.4 | -20.6 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.1 | 93.0 | 173.1 | -12.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 95.6 | 171.6 | -19.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 76.7 | 94.4 | 171.1 | -17.7 | 43% |
| vs Similar (10) | 98.2 | 95.7 | 193.9 | +2.5 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 105.1 | 92.3 | 197.4 | +12.8 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 82.7 | 74.1 | 156.9 | +8.6 | 71% |
| Season at home (4) | 82.0 | 76.2 | 158.2 | +5.8 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 83.7 | 71.3 | 155.0 | +12.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.8 | 80.3 | 165.1 | +4.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 70.8 | 153.0 | +11.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (9) | 89.2 | 86.9 | 176.1 | +2.3 | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 87.2 | 78.7 | 166.0 | +8.5 | 76% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 50.8 | 48.8 | 99.6 | +1.9 | 67% | 93% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 54.2 | 47.8 | 102.0 | +6.5 | 77% | 100% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 48.1 | 49.6 | 97.8 | -1.5 | 59% | 88% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.8 | 50.3 | 90.1 | -10.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.0 | 53.0 | 91.0 | -15.0 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 37.3 | 51.4 | 88.7 | -14.1 | 14% | 71% |
| vs Similar (10) | 52.8 | 50.4 | 103.2 | +2.4 | 70% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 56.5 | 46.2 | 102.7 | +10.2 | 92% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.8 | 40.9 | 86.7 | +4.9 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.9 | 39.4 | 84.3 | +5.4 | 71% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 46.6 | 42.2 | 88.8 | +4.4 | 50% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.8 | 41.0 | 82.8 | +0.8 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 36.8 | 79.0 | +5.4 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (9) | 45.1 | 44.0 | 89.1 | +1.1 | 33% | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 46.0 | 39.6 | 85.6 | +6.5 | 71% | 52% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen over 76 | 71.5% | 1.76 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | +19.2pp | Won |
| Shenzhen +13 | 70.1% | 1.59 | 1.67 | 1.60 | 1.50 | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Shenzhen +14 | 73.0% | 1.50 | 1.56 | 1.52 | 1.43 | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Shenzhen +13.5 | 70.9% | 1.48 | 1.56 | 1.48 | 1.44 | 1.42 | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Shenzhen over 75.5 | 72.3% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Over 161.5 | 70.3% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Shenzhen +14.5 | 73.7% | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.35 | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Shenzhen +15.5 | 76.3% | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 93.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | - |
| Zhejiang Chouzhou over 82.5 | 72.5% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Zhejiang Chouzhou win | 71.2% | 1.18 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.18 | -7.2pp | Lost |
| Shenzhen +17.5 | 80.9% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Shenzhen +17 | 80.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Shenzhen +16.5 | 78.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Shenzhen +16 | 78.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Shenzhen +15 | 75.7% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 159.5 | 73.7% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 160 | 73.3% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 160.5 | 72.1% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 161 | 71.5% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.7 | 20.7 | 53.8% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.4 | 8.5 | 35.0% | 25.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 14.1 | 74.8% | 14.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.3 | 19.3 | 53.8% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.8 | 10.2 | 35.0% | 30.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.7 | 16.7 | 74.8% | 16.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | Zhejiang Chouzhou v Shenzhen | 91-95 |
| 07/05/26 | Shenzhen v Zhejiang Chouzhou | 108-95 |
| 20/01/26 | Zhejiang Chouzhou v Shenzhen | 90-92 |
| 03/01/26 | Shenzhen v Zhejiang Chouzhou | 92-82 |
| 31/12/24 | Zhejiang Chouzhou v Shenzhen | 102-105 |
| 27/12/24 | Shenzhen v Zhejiang Chouzhou | 101-111 |
| 21/03/24 | Zhejiang Chouzhou v Shenzhen | 112-86 |
| 11/01/24 | Shenzhen v Zhejiang Chouzhou | 109-100 |
| 27/12/23 | Shenzhen v Zhejiang Chouzhou | 111-107 |
| 11/12/23 | Zhejiang Chouzhou v Shenzhen | 106-103 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Liaoning | 71-91 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Jilin | 82-81 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Shanxi Zhongyu | 95-83 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Beijing Royal Fighters | 70-103 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Beijing | 62-120 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Jiangsu Dragons | 89-81 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Shanghai | 68-102 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Zhejiang Guangsha | 88-97 |
| 21/05/26 | H | Zhejiang Guangsha | 91-80 |
| 18/05/26 | A | Zhejiang Guangsha | 85-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Jiangsu Dragons | 70-62 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Shanghai | 81-88 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Xinjiang | 81-75 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Sichuan | 91-49 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Qingdao | 88-80 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Shandong | 89-75 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Guangzhou | 79-90 |
| 10/05/26 | H | Shenzhen | 91-95 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Shenzhen | 95-108 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Ningbo Rockets | 83-81 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 43% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LWLWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Win % | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Points / game | 76.7 | 82.5 | 74.4 |
| Allowed / game | 94.4 | 93.0 | 95.0 |
| Point differential | -17.7 | -10.5 | -20.6 |
| Avg total | 171.1 | 175.5 | 169.4 |
| Over 168 | 71% | 100% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 71% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Points / game | 82.7 | 82.0 | 83.7 |
| Allowed / game | 74.1 | 76.2 | 71.3 |
| Point differential | +8.6 | +5.8 | +12.3 |
| Avg total | 156.9 | 158.2 | 155.0 |
| Over 168 | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 105.6 | 78.4 | +27.1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 97.1 | 86.3 | +10.9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 96.6 | 87.0 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 99.1 | 83.0 | +16.1 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 101.0 | 90.9 | +10.1 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.7 | 74.1 | +8.6 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.7 | 88.3 | +3.4 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.0 | 94.4 | -3.4 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 90.6 | 95.9 | -5.3 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.7 | 83.9 | -0.1 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.0 | 89.9 | -3.9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 94.4 | -17.7 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 88.6 | 90.4 | -1.8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 91.5 | 93.2 | -1.8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 91.8 | 94.2 | -2.5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 92.7 | 95.0 | -2.3 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 87.4 | 97.3 | -9.9 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.6 | 95.6 | -15.0 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.6 | 86.0 | -6.4 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 77.9 | 95.1 | -17.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 22 | 15 | 17 | 25 | 93 | |
| 25 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 90 |
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