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Shinshu vs Fukui Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 80-69
21-17 19-19 20-19 20-14
Position#5
Record32-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.0
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#7
Record28-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.1
JapanB2.League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shinshu v Fukui
26 Mar 2025
SHIN80
FUKU69
02 Mar 2025
SHIN79
FUKU89
01 Mar 2025
SHIN69
FUKU68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukui winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
69-57
69
57
+12
65avg 79
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 79
A23/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
59avg 79
H01/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
79avg 79
H02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
81-87
81
87
-6
80avg 79
H10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
77avg 79
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 79
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
65-61
65
61
+4
62avg 79
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 79
H22/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
71-100
71
100
-29
53avg 79
H23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
20-15
11-19
18-9
19-31
21-18
20-24
25-21
18-23
21-21
11-15
19-9
12-27
25-18
23-28
19-16
28-25
22-28
15-13
16-21
12-15
28-12
19-15
20-24
22-30
21-20
18-19
18-15
16-22
23-7
8-19
18-13
18-23
18-23
28-18
18-25
16-27
10-26
29-26
16-21
155.4Avg total
75.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)84.778.0162.7+6.663%
Season at home (27)86.177.2163.3+8.967%
Season away (24)83.178.9162.0+4.258%
Last 10 (10)75.979.5155.4-3.640%
Last 5 (5)75.280.0155.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.892.0167.8-16.20%
vs Similar (11)82.481.9164.3+0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.976.1159.1+6.880%
This opponent (Fukui) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukui
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 76
H22/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 76
H23/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
59avg 76
A01/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
79avg 76
A02/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 76
H08/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 76
H09/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
73avg 76
H15/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 76
H16/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 76
A22/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
87avg 76
A23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-25
26-15
23-21
14-14
23-25
18-27
15-12
23-18
21-21
15-11
9-19
27-12
18-25
28-23
16-19
22-16
25-17
19-20
17-26
23-12
11-26
19-24
27-20
14-22
16-22
25-22
21-26
10-24
17-21
18-17
26-17
19-20
19-19
23-23
19-27
27-18
25-18
14-20
16-11
158.9Avg total
79.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)82.380.1162.5+2.255%
Season at home (26)80.180.3160.4-0.258%
Season away (25)84.680.0164.6+4.652%
Last 10 (10)79.279.7158.9-0.540%
Last 5 (5)77.881.8159.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.984.9165.9-4.033%
vs Similar (8)82.079.0161.0+3.062%
vs Weaker (7)83.779.0162.7+4.743%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
ShinshuFukui
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A23/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H01/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H22/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H23/03
B2.League
81.5Avg total
39.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.281.8-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.242.384.6-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)38.740.078.7-1.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.581.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.077.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.048.581.5-15.50%-
vs Similar (11)40.840.080.8+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.540.282.7+2.347%-
This opponent (Fukui) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H23/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H08/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H09/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H16/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A23/03
B2.League
79.5Avg total
39.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.382.8+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.980.9-1.036%-
Last 30 away (16)42.941.684.5+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.779.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.476.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.243.285.4-1.040%-
vs Similar (8)42.039.981.9+2.138%-
vs Weaker (7)39.638.778.3+0.957%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.6
51.4%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.8
29.8%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
70.7%12.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukuitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukui: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.9
49.0%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.5
77.5%
70.7%14.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLWLWLLWLW
Fukui
WLLLLWWLLW
#5
League position
#7
-4.5
Net rating
+0.0
100.3
Offensive rating
103.9
104.9
Defensive rating
103.9
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.8%
3-point %
35.1%
67.2%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 103.9Defence104.9 · 103.9Shooting48.7% · 50.3%3-point %29.8% · 35.1%Ball care17.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds25.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shinshu   ■ Fukui
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shinshu wins
3
Fukui wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Shinshu v Fukui79-89
01/03/25Shinshu v Fukui69-68
29/01/25Fukui v Shinshu88-99
06/10/24Fukui v Shinshu91-76
05/10/24Fukui v Shinshu80-73 OT
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HAltiri Chiba71-100
22/03/25HAltiri Chiba82-89
16/03/25AYamagata Wyverns65-61
15/03/25AYamagata Wyverns79-84
11/03/25HKumamoto79-66
10/03/25HKumamoto81-87
02/03/25HFukui79-89
01/03/25HFukui69-68
23/02/25AShizuoka85-94
22/02/25AShizuoka69-57
Fukuilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AFukuoka82-67
22/03/25AFukuoka80-89
16/03/25HToyama71-79
15/03/25HToyama76-92
09/03/25HKobe80-82
08/03/25HKobe83-79
02/03/25AShinshu89-79
01/03/25AShinshu68-69
23/02/25HAomori70-78
22/02/25HAomori93-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL63%
HomeLLWLL67%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512724
Win %63%67%58%
Points / game84.786.183.1
Allowed / game78.077.278.9
Point differential+6.6+8.9+4.2
Avg total162.7163.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%48%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %10%4%17%
Fukui
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeLWLLL58%
AwayLLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %55%58%52%
Points / game82.380.184.6
Allowed / game80.180.380.0
Point differential+2.2-0.2+4.6
Avg total162.5160.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)75% (8)0% (5)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5249394%91.674.1+17.6
2 Fukuoka52351767%82.674.8+7.9
3 Toyama52351767%88.180.6+7.5
4 Shinshu51321963%84.778.0+6.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise52322062%82.078.2+3.8
6 Shizuoka52302258%78.076.3+1.7
7 Fukui51282355%82.380.1+2.2
8 Kumamoto52232944%78.279.7-1.4
9 Nara52232944%77.479.6-2.2
10 Kobe52213140%79.683.1-3.5
11 Yamagata Wyverns52203238%78.381.8-3.5
12 Aomori52183435%77.986.4-8.5
13 Fukushima52124023%72.882.5-9.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings5254710%72.390.6-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2119202080
Fukui1719191469
← all games of the day
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