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Shinshu vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 81-87
28-25 22-28 15-13 16-21
Position#5
Record30-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#8
Record19-26
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.5
JapanB2.League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shinshu v Kumamoto
11 Mar 2025
SHIN79
KUMA66
10 Mar 2025
SHIN81
KUMA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 79
H01/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
78avg 79
H02/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
92avg 79
A08/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 79
A09/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
91avg 79
H17/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
90avg 79
H18/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
69-57
69
57
+12
65avg 79
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 79
A23/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
59avg 79
H01/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
79avg 79
H02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
18-22
24-26
13-22
21-20
22-14
23-16
20-31
8-12
23-24
20-16
15-14
24-17
15-22
20-20
18-22
18-23
31-10
22-23
19-24
26-26
14-21
24-17
25-19
20-14
20-15
11-19
18-9
19-31
21-18
20-24
25-21
18-23
21-21
11-15
19-9
12-27
25-18
23-28
19-16
163.1Avg total
81.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)85.877.6163.4+8.267%
Season at home (23)87.475.8163.2+11.774%
Season away (22)84.179.5163.6+4.659%
Last 10 (10)81.781.4163.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)78.278.2156.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.089.5164.5-14.50%
vs Similar (11)82.481.9164.3+0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.674.0162.6+14.688%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 73
A01/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
61avg 73
A02/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 73
A08/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-63
79
63
+16
76avg 73
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
85avg 73
H15/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
57-55
57
55
+2
52avg 73
H16/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 73
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
91avg 73
H23/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
97avg 73
A01/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
89-59
89
59
+30
90avg 73
A02/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
9-16
21-17
17-25
20-22
12-26
13-21
24-25
22-15
17-22
19-13
26-21
23-19
12-20
29-11
15-13
18-28
24-19
22-18
20-15
19-11
6-15
11-14
21-15
17-20
22-11
8-19
16-17
23-12
32-11
22-18
15-19
20-20
22-15
21-19
21-30
16-17
25-13
27-16
21-13
150.8Avg total
78.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)77.780.5158.3-2.842%
Season at home (22)76.378.9155.2-2.541%
Season away (23)79.182.1161.2-3.043%
Last 10 (10)78.672.2150.8+6.470%
Last 5 (5)80.067.2147.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.980.6152.5-8.838%
vs Similar (11)75.975.1151.0+0.855%
vs Weaker (11)85.372.9158.2+12.482%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
ShinshuKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H01/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H02/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A08/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H17/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H18/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A23/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H01/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/03
B2.League
80.5Avg total
40.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.581.8+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.939.284.1+5.761%-
Last 30 away (12)38.340.178.4-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.280.5+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.047.582.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (11)40.840.080.8+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.138.382.4+5.859%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A01/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A02/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H16/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H23/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A01/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A02/03
B2.League
73.4Avg total
38.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.678.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.875.7+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.481.1+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.273.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.429.069.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.240.577.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (11)38.939.578.5-0.645%-
vs Weaker (11)42.536.378.8+6.373%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.5
55.7%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.8
36.2%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
70.7%11.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.1
51.9%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.6
32.4%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.813.8
69.7%
70.7%13.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LWLWWWLWWL
Kumamoto
WWWLWWWWLL
#5
League position
#8
+1.2
Net rating
+8.6
108.0
Offensive rating
106.4
106.8
Defensive rating
97.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.2%
3-point %
32.4%
72.0%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 106.4Defence106.8 · 97.8Shooting55.1% · 50.8%3-point %36.2% · 32.4%Ball care17.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds23.6% · 35.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Shinshu   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shinshu wins
0
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Kumamoto v Shinshu59-72
25/01/25Kumamoto v Shinshu79-82
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HFukui79-89
01/03/25HFukui69-68
23/02/25AShizuoka85-94
22/02/25AShizuoka69-57
18/02/25HYamagata Wyverns89-83
17/02/25HYamagata Wyverns90-80
09/02/25AKagoshima Rebnise77-81
08/02/25AKagoshima Rebnise91-87 OT
02/02/25HFukuoka86-81
01/02/25HFukuoka82-94
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AAomori89-59
01/03/25AAomori99-95 OT
23/02/25HFukushima92-60
22/02/25HFukushima63-67
16/02/25HFukuoka57-55
15/02/25HFukuoka84-80
09/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings79-63
08/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings84-71
02/02/25AFukui69-94
01/02/25AFukui70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %67%74%59%
Points / game85.887.484.1
Allowed / game77.675.879.5
Point differential+8.2+11.7+4.6
Avg total163.4163.2163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%52%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%4%18%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeWWWLW41%
AwayLWWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %42%41%43%
Points / game77.776.379.1
Allowed / game80.578.982.1
Point differential-2.8-2.5-3.0
Avg total158.3155.2161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)56% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4744394%91.974.6+17.3
2 Fukuoka47341372%83.773.9+9.8
3 Shinshu45301567%85.877.6+8.2
4 Toyama45281762%88.481.8+6.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise47291862%81.978.5+3.3
6 Shizuoka47281960%77.375.3+2.1
7 Fukui47272057%82.780.0+2.7
8 Nara47202743%77.280.0-2.8
9 Kumamoto45192642%77.780.5-2.8
10 Aomori47182938%78.285.5-7.3
11 Yamagata Wyverns45172838%79.883.2-3.4
12 Kobe47163134%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fukushima47123526%72.682.3-9.7
14 Ehime Orange Vikings473446%72.290.9-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2822151681
Kumamoto2528132187
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