Shinshu will host Gunma on 13 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring Gunma at 79% due to their 11-4 record, 82.7 points per game and 73.7 allowed, compared with Shinshu's 6-10 record, 84.5 points and 86.9 allowed. Shinshu has gone 6-10 overall, scoring 84.5 and conceding 86.9, while at home they are 4-4, 84.5 to 84.5, and have won four of their last five games, including a 101-96 win over Akita and a 67-65 victory at Kyoto. Gunma is 11-4 overall, 82.7 to 73.7, and 4-3 on the road, winning all five of their most recent outings, such as an 87-76 win over Diamond Dolphins and a 90-83 victory against SeaHorses Mikawa. The teams have met ten times, with Gunma winning seven; the last meeting was a 89-85 win for Gunma on 7 April 2024. Pythia projects a 78-87 score, a total of 164.5, and a 21% chance for Shinshu to win, with a 4% probability of overtime. The model sees Gunma as the clear favourite, reflecting their stronger defensive numbers and recent flawless road form.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 84.5 | 86.9 | 171.4 | -2.4 | 38% |
| Season at home (8) | 84.5 | 84.5 | 169.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Season away (8) | 84.5 | 89.2 | 173.8 | -4.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.9 | 88.4 | 173.3 | -3.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.2 | 82.2 | 168.4 | +4.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 76.4 | 83.1 | 159.5 | -6.7 | 20% |
| vs Similar (15) | 81.6 | 82.8 | 164.4 | -1.2 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 93.8 | 84.4 | 178.2 | +9.4 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (15) | 82.7 | 73.7 | 156.4 | +8.9 | 73% |
| Season at home (8) | 86.6 | 72.1 | 158.8 | +14.5 | 88% |
| Season away (7) | 78.1 | 75.6 | 153.7 | +2.6 | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.9 | 76.0 | 159.9 | +7.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.4 | 70.6 | 162.0 | +20.8 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 87.0 | 76.0 | 163.0 | +11.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (5) | 82.0 | 81.6 | 163.6 | +0.4 | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (24) | 83.7 | 71.1 | 154.8 | +12.6 | 79% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 41.8 | 82.3 | -1.3 | 47% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (10) | 41.4 | 40.9 | 82.3 | +0.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (20) | 40.0 | 42.3 | 82.3 | -2.2 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.8 | 44.2 | 87.0 | -1.4 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 38.8 | 81.8 | +4.2 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 39.1 | 41.7 | 80.8 | -2.6 | 40% | 40% |
| vs Similar (15) | 39.4 | 42.1 | 81.5 | -2.7 | 40% | 47% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 46.6 | 41.4 | 88.0 | +5.2 | 80% | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.5 | 36.6 | 79.1 | +5.9 | 80% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.7 | 37.0 | 80.7 | +6.7 | 93% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.3 | 36.1 | 77.5 | +5.2 | 67% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 36.2 | 79.3 | +6.9 | 80% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 32.0 | 77.6 | +13.6 | 100% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 44.0 | 34.0 | 78.0 | +10.0 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Similar (5) | 47.2 | 40.2 | 87.4 | +7.0 | 80% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (24) | 41.5 | 35.9 | 77.4 | +5.5 | 79% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinshu +15 | 70.1% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Shinshu +16 | 73.2% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Shinshu +17.5 | 76.7% | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.30 | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Shinshu +16.5 | 73.9% | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.37 | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Shinshu +15.5 | 71.0% | 1.51 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 1.44 | +11.1pp | Won |
| Shinshu +18.5 | 79.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Shinshu +19.5 | 81.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Gunma under 99.5 | 89.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Gunma under 98.5 | 87.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Shinshu +22.5 | 87.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Gunma under 95.5 | 80.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Gunma under 97.5 | 85.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Gunma under 93.5 | 74.5% | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Gunma under 94.5 | 77.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Gunma under 92.5 | 71.2% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Shinshu over 70.5 | 75.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Shinshu over 71.5 | 72.0% | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Gunma over 69.5 | 95.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 93.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 83.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Gunma over 71.5 | 93.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 97.5 | 96.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 96.5 | 96.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 95.5 | 95.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 75.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 93.5 | 93.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 89.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Gunma +12.5 | 96.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 92.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Gunma over 73.5 | 90.8% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 91.5 | 90.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Gunma over 75.5 | 87.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Gunma +7.5 | 92.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 89.5 | 87.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 86.5 | 80.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Gunma over 77.5 | 82.5% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 87.5 | 83.2% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 87.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 85.5 | 78.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Gunma over 78.5 | 79.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Gunma -3.5 | 71.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| Shinshu under 83.5 | 72.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 80.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| Gunma over 79.5 | 77.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Gunma -2.5 | 73.8% | 1.23 | 1.30 | 1.16 | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 70.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Gunma over 81.5 | 70.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Gunma +2.5 | 83.9% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Gunma win | 79.5% | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.10 | -5.4pp | Won |
| Gunma (regulation) | 77.2% | 1.09 | 1.14 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | -5.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 20.0 | 53.6% | 40.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.6 | 9.7 | 32.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.8 | 11.4 | 73.8% | 11.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.8 | 18.0 | 53.6% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.7 | 9.7 | 32.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.7 | 17.3 | 73.8% | 17.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/04/24 | Gunma v Shinshu | 89-85 OT |
| 06/04/24 | Gunma v Shinshu | 86-83 OT |
| 09/10/22 | Shinshu v Gunma | 63-71 |
| 08/10/22 | Shinshu v Gunma | 80-55 |
| 12/12/21 | Gunma v Shinshu | 66-65 |
| 11/12/21 | Gunma v Shinshu | 90-87 |
| 05/04/15 | Shinshu v Gunma | 89-87 |
| 04/04/15 | Shinshu v Gunma | 80-93 |
| 22/02/15 | Gunma v Shinshu | 98-73 |
| 21/02/15 | Gunma v Shinshu | 88-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | SeaHorses Mikawa | 86-91 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Akita | 101-96 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Kyoto | 67-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 80-72 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Kobe | 97-87 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 80-87 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 90-97 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Diamond Dolphins | 77-92 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Akita | 95-102 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Shiga | 76-95 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | H | Diamond Dolphins | 87-76 |
| 06/11/26 | A | SeaHorses Mikawa | 90-83 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Osaka | 102-60 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Osaka | 93-60 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Altiri Chiba | 85-74 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Ryukyu | 85-93 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 80-83 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Alvark | 86-100 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Saga | 72-61 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Nagasaki | 59-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 38% |
| Home | LLWWW | 50% |
| Away | LLLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 8 | 8 |
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Points / game | 84.5 | 84.5 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 86.9 | 84.5 | 89.2 |
| Point differential | -2.4 | +0.0 | -4.8 |
| Avg total | 171.4 | 169.0 | 173.8 |
| Over 165 | 69% | 62% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (6) | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 73% |
| Home | WLWWW | 88% |
| Away | WLLWW | 57% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 8 | 7 |
| Win % | 73% | 88% | 57% |
| Points / game | 82.7 | 86.6 | 78.1 |
| Allowed / game | 73.7 | 72.1 | 75.6 |
| Point differential | +8.9 | +14.5 | +2.6 |
| Avg total | 156.4 | 158.8 | 153.7 |
| Over 165 | 20% | 12% | 29% |
| Win by 10+ | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 75.2 | +15.9 | |
| 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 87% | 90.4 | 80.9 | +9.5 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 90.4 | 80.7 | +9.7 | |
| 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 92.6 | 82.3 | +10.3 | |
| 5 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 88.7 | 80.4 | +8.3 | |
| 6 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 82.7 | 73.7 | +8.9 | |
| 7 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 87.5 | 82.7 | +4.8 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60% | 96.5 | 95.7 | +0.8 |
| 10 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 83.4 | 87.0 | -3.6 | |
| 11 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53% | 83.4 | 79.5 | +3.9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 84.2 | 78.7 | +5.5 | |
| 13 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47% | 92.5 | 96.0 | -3.5 | |
| 15 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 77.7 | 82.9 | -5.2 | |
| 17 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 84.1 | 81.6 | +2.5 | |
| 18 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 80.5 | 84.6 | -4.1 | |
| 19 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 85.7 | 88.9 | -3.2 | |
| 20 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 84.5 | 86.9 | -2.4 | |
| 21 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 77.1 | 81.9 | -4.8 | |
| 22 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 80.0 | 86.5 | -6.5 | |
| 23 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 78.5 | 84.7 | -6.2 | |
| 24 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 82.7 | 90.4 | -7.7 | |
| 25 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 78.2 | 95.2 | -17.0 | |
| 26 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 74 | |
| 21 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 85 |
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