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Shinshu vs Sendai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 84-91
15-22 29-24 19-27 21-18
Position#23
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Sendai 🏆
Japan
Position#16
Record2-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.0
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Sendai
29 Oct 2023
SHIN65
SEND81
28 Oct 2023
SHIN84
SEND91
08 Feb 2015
SHIN69
SEND85
07 Feb 2015
SHIN86
SEND83
20 Apr 2014
SHIN113
SEND91
19 Apr 2014
SHIN85
SEND101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sendai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
H30/04
B League
Niigata
#24
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A06/05
B League
Niigata
#24
W
94-72
94
72
+22
no box
A07/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
no box
H07/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-83
91
83
+8
93avg 72
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
79avg 72
A14/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
80avg 72
A15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
64-72
64
72
-8
55avg 72
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
61avg 72
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
67avg 72
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
10-16
16-18
13-20
22-12
19-12
16-22
14-16
22-14
18-21
21-21
33-16
21-19
22-20
15-15
17-21
27-14
22-18
21-23
21-28
35-25
13-28
18-25
17-19
18-21
28-22
16-24
23-19
8-14
19-23
23-22
14-13
25-21
17-32
18-23
15-25
21-20
15-21
21-21
17-18
158.7Avg total
78.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.485.4164.9-6.029%
Season at home (4)78.583.8162.2-5.250%
Season away (3)80.787.7168.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)78.280.5158.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)76.287.2163.4-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.183.7155.9-11.60%
vs Similar (12)74.278.6152.8-4.442%
vs Weaker (11)79.370.9150.2+8.473%
This opponent (Sendai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSendai
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#21
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A30/04
B League
Gunma
#12
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
no box
H06/05
B League
Gunma
#12
W
84-67
84
67
+17
no box
H07/05
B League
Alvark
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 71
H07/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
61-90
61
90
-29
49avg 71
H08/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 71
A14/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 71
A15/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 71
A21/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
90-99
90
99
-9
78avg 71
A22/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 71
H25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
14-23
15-25
24-20
10-22
28-19
21-13
17-22
28-16
20-20
22-15
14-16
20-32
16-24
19-11
23-19
19-23
15-16
10-29
17-22
25-18
17-23
15-21
18-21
16-32
16-19
14-16
30-23
17-21
21-14
18-17
27-20
31-24
17-30
23-26
19-19
19-22
22-11
25-16
21-26
163.2Avg total
79.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.685.0163.6-6.429%
Season at home (3)75.383.7159.0-8.333%
Season away (4)81.086.0167.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)79.383.9163.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)82.283.8166.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.581.3153.8-8.815%
vs Similar (17)79.080.8159.8-1.847%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
ShinshuSendai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/04
B League
Niigata
#24
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/05
B League
Niigata
#24
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A07/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A14/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
B League
79.6Avg total
40.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.173.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.234.769.9+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.037.577.5+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.279.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.042.079.0-5.029%-
vs Similar (12)38.835.874.7+3.058%-
vs Weaker (11)36.632.569.2+4.155%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#21
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A30/04
B League
Gunma
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H06/05
B League
Gunma
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H07/05
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H07/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/10
B League
Osaka
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A15/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A22/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/10
B League
81.9Avg total
39.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.774.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.839.272.0-6.421%-
Last 30 away (16)38.938.277.2+0.756%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.781.9-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.839.573.4-5.738%-
vs Similar (17)37.838.175.8-0.341%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.513.5
49.1%
50.9%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.811.7
32.6%
33.5%35.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.7%
72.0%15.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.7
48.5%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.1
31.8%
33.5%24.4
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.2%
72.0%11.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLWWWWL
Sendai
WLWLLLLWLL
#23
League position
#16
-10.5
Net rating
-8.1
104.1
Offensive rating
98.5
114.6
Defensive rating
106.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
48.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
31.8%
76.8%
Assist %
71.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 98.5Defence114.6 · 106.7Shooting48.9% · 48.2%3-point %32.6% · 31.8%Ball care15.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.4% · 29.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Shinshu   ■ Sendai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shinshu wins
6
Sendai wins
DateGameScore
23/10/22Sendai v Shinshu62-77
22/10/22Sendai v Shinshu67-54
19/04/15Sendai v Shinshu96-83
18/04/15Sendai v Shinshu93-83
08/02/15Shinshu v Sendai69-85
07/02/15Shinshu v Sendai86-83
20/04/14Shinshu v Sendai113-91
19/04/14Shinshu v Sendai85-101
09/03/14Sendai v Shinshu86-73
08/03/14Sendai v Shinshu86-89
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ASaga74-80
22/10/23HDiamond Dolphins75-101
21/10/23HDiamond Dolphins64-72
15/10/23AChiba85-86
14/10/23AChiba83-97
08/10/23HIbaraki Robots91-83
07/10/23HIbaraki Robots84-79 OT
07/05/23ANiigata94-72
06/05/23ANiigata71-62
30/04/23HSeaHorses Mikawa61-73
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HGunma87-75
22/10/23AChiba90-99
21/10/23AChiba83-72
15/10/23AOsaka76-90
14/10/23AOsaka75-83
08/10/23HAlvark61-90
07/10/23HAlvark78-86
07/05/23HGunma84-67
06/05/23HGunma85-91 OT
30/04/23AHokkaido74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game79.478.580.7
Allowed / game85.483.887.7
Point differential-6.0-5.2-7.0
Avg total164.9162.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Sendai
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game78.675.381.0
Allowed / game85.083.786.0
Point differential-6.4-8.3-5.0
Avg total163.6159.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka770100%89.777.6+12.1
2 Diamond Dolphins770100%87.677.1+10.4
3 Alvark76186%77.661.1+16.4
4 NeoPhoenix76186%89.078.6+10.4
5 Brave Thunders76186%83.674.0+9.6
6 Nagasaki76186%88.081.0+7.0
7 Shimane86275%79.474.0+5.4
8 Utsunomiya Brex75271%76.672.0+4.6
9 Ryukyu75271%79.679.4+0.1
10 SeaHorses Mikawa74357%81.472.9+8.6
11 Chiba74357%86.385.4+0.9
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles74357%72.374.7-2.4
13 Yokohama73443%78.380.0-1.7
14 Sun Rockers Shibuya72529%79.180.1-1.0
15 Hiroshima D.72529%74.977.3-2.4
16 Shinshu72529%79.485.4-6.0
17 Sendai72529%78.685.0-6.4
18 Saga72529%70.778.0-7.3
19 Akita72529%70.478.7-8.3
20 Gunma72529%76.986.1-9.3
21 Kyoto71614%78.483.0-4.6
22 Hokkaido81712%73.082.6-9.6
23 Ibaraki Robots7070%80.189.7-9.6
24 Toyama7070%72.088.3-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1529192184
Sendai2224271891
← all games of the day
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