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Shumen vs Rilski Sportist Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game97.3
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.3
BulgariaNBLRound 22· Arena Shumen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shumen v Rilski Sportist
20 Mar 2027
SHUM v RSP
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
SHUM63
RSP95
10 Jan 2026
SHUM97
RSP105
18 Apr 2025
SHUM88
RSP103
29 Nov 2024
SHUM73
RSP103
01 May 2024
SHUM67
RSP96
29 Dec 2023
SHUM87
RSP98
24 Apr 2023
SHUM71
RSP99
12 Feb 2023
SHUM63
RSP92
09 Mar 2022
SHUM75
RSP102
08 Oct 2021
SHUM59
RSP103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Shumen
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
92.2▲ 10.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 96.3
101.8▲ 5.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
63%▲ 8%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.5
16.8▲ 1.3
🔥 Form · Rilski Sportist
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.4
85.6▼ 4.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.0
84.6▼ 1.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
58%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.3
18.2▼ 2.1
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
63-95
63
95
-32
H25/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
55-102
55
102
-47
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
96-113
96
113
-17
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#4
L
101-123
101
123
-22
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
24-23
18-22
10-23
20-17
22-20
25-26
16-20
16-19
27-18
11-22
20-22
16-25
12-19
18-34
9-24
19-15
20-19
14-22
12-28
19-31
28-24
27-27
22-31
26-17
18-13
10-39
33-35
18-36
28-23
28-33
27-31
27-15
17-23
21-25
22-21
24-15
22-28
26-26
18-16
179.4Avg total
81.8Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.797.3190.0-4.767%
Season at home (1)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)95.5104.0199.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)81.897.6179.4-15.820%
Last 5 (5)92.2101.8194.0-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.295.5176.8-14.38%
vs Similar (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Weaker (2)88.584.5173.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#11
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#14
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
114-76
114
76
+38
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#41
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
16-26
28-17
22-25
33-22
25-28
28-29
22-20
25-22
26-17
26-23
23-32
16-25
22-32
18-37
24-32
16-20
18-23
13-15
21-10
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
179.1Avg total
87.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.375.3168.7+18.067%
Season at home (1)114.076.0190.0+38.0100%
Season away (2)83.075.0158.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)87.891.3179.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)85.684.6170.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.392.0166.3-17.70%
vs Similar (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.080.4173.4+12.677%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
ShumenRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H25/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/10
NBL
84.1Avg total
41.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.945.685.6-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.285.9-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.047.285.2-9.221%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.784.1-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.347.086.2-7.720%-
vs Similar (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (2)45.040.585.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#7
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#41
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.686.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.342.589.8+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)42.940.883.7+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.482.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.345.378.7-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.540.687.1+5.968%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
55.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.6
27.7%
30.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.717.0
68.8%
70.7%17.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
55.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
30.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.118.5
73.7%
70.7%18.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WWLLLLLLLL
Rilski Sportist
LLWLWLLWWL
#8
League position
#6
-16.5
Net rating
+2.1
88.3
Offensive rating
101.1
104.8
Defensive rating
99.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
27.7%
3-point %
32.0%
54.6%
Assist %
63.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 101.1Defence104.8 · 99.0Shooting48.7% · 53.9%3-point %27.7% · 32.0%Ball care17.0% · 14.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Shumen   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shumen wins
9
Rilski Sportist wins
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALevski90-85
16/10/26HBotev 201287-84
10/10/26AMinyor101-123
25/04/26HCherno More87-104
20/04/26AMinyor96-113
16/04/26HBalkan65-84
09/04/26ASpartak Pleven55-102
04/04/26ALevski74-81
30/03/26AAcademic Plovdiv100-105 OT
25/03/26HRilski Sportist63-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64
07/10/26ASporting CP75-79 OT
14/09/26ABreogan80-126
25/05/26ACherno More100-94
23/05/26HCherno More108-99
20/05/26HLok. Plovdiv87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game92.787.095.5
Allowed / game97.384.0104.0
Point differential-4.7+3.0-8.5
Avg total190.0171.0199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game93.3114.083.0
Allowed / game75.376.075.0
Point differential+18.0+38.0+8.0
Avg total168.7190.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cherno More330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
3 Lok. Plovdiv330100%92.377.7+14.7
4 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Rilski Sportist32167%93.375.3+18.0
7 Spartak Pleven32167%87.077.7+9.3
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
10 Beroe3030%95.099.3-4.3
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Polytechnica3030%77.096.3-19.3
14 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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