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Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 114-76
28-19 32-15 27-26 27-16
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game64.0
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game95.0
BulgariaNBLRound 2· Arena Samokov
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia
17 Oct 2026
RSP114
CSKA76
06 Mar 2024
RSP92
CSKA84
13 Nov 2023
RSP79
CSKA78
26 May 2023
RSP71
CSKA88
29 Mar 2023
RSP86
CSKA89
29 Oct 2022
RSP84
CSKA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
97-75
97
75
+22
98avg 83
H12/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
85avg 83
A15/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 83
A17/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
85avg 83
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
108-99
108
99
+9
106avg 83
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 83
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
66avg 83
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#11
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
63avg 83
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
93avg 83
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
27-17
16-21
30-22
17-20
21-26
20-27
31-26
22-22
19-31
21-28
26-18
21-24
16-26
28-17
22-25
33-22
25-28
28-29
22-20
25-22
26-17
26-23
23-32
16-25
22-32
18-37
24-32
16-20
18-23
13-15
21-10
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
180.3Avg total
88.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.064.0160.0+32.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)96.064.0160.0+32.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.292.1180.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)82.691.4174.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.586.5155.0-18.00%
vs Similar (5)89.684.8174.4+4.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.780.7174.4+13.082%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
100-95
100
95
+5
42avg 42
H10/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
20-18
25-28
26-20
25-24
24-25
18-17
13-26
20-26
23-13
18-22
17-27
20-22
20-23
21-26
17-23
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
27-24
29-20
19-20
30-35
26-18
13-29
25-26
12-18
26-16
21-18
21-20
14-23
4-31
24-19
21-22
25-22
25-24
23-24
26-23
26-24
176.5Avg total
84.2Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.095.0195.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)100.095.0195.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.292.3176.5-8.140%
Last 5 (5)87.491.2178.6-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.888.1165.9-10.30%
vs Similar (12)82.584.0166.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (7)93.987.1181.0+6.786%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -6.2-6.2
Rilski SportistCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H12/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A15/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A17/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#7
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
88.2Avg total
42.3Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.087.1+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.488.3+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.786.0+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.988.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.685.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.549.583.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (5)46.639.285.8+7.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.141.387.5+4.873%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/10
NBL
87.9Avg total
44.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.585.4-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.042.987.9+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.343.983.2-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.787.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.688.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.742.682.3-2.940%-
vs Similar (12)41.044.285.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker (7)48.444.993.3+3.671%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.6
59.1%
55.5%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.7%
29.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.318.7
73.9%
71.2%18.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.2
55.0%
55.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.9
31.1%
29.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.813.1
63.0%
71.2%13.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rilski Sportist
LWLLWWLLLW
CSKA Sofia
WLWLWLLLLW
#4
League position
#10
-0.7
Net rating
-13.1
100.9
Offensive rating
100.6
101.6
Defensive rating
113.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.7%
3-point %
31.1%
65.4%
Assist %
75.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 100.6Defence101.6 · 113.8Shooting54.2% · 52.0%3-point %30.7% · 31.1%Ball care13.9% · 19.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Rilski Sportist   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rilski Sportist wins
3
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
10/04/24CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist78-88
06/03/24Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia92-84
17/01/24CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist85-86
13/11/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia79-78
28/05/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia71-88
29/03/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia86-89
16/01/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist76-82
29/10/22Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia84-72
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64
07/10/26ASporting CP75-79 OT
14/09/26ABreogan80-126
25/05/26ACherno More100-94
23/05/26HCherno More108-99
20/05/26HLok. Plovdiv87-92
17/05/26ALok. Plovdiv88-99
15/05/26ALok. Plovdiv89-99
12/05/26HLok. Plovdiv97-75
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HPolytechnica100-95
03/05/24ABalkan74-94
01/05/24HBalkan82-77
29/04/24ABalkan76-91
22/04/24HCherno More105-99
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102
13/04/24HChernomorets78-94
10/04/24HRilski Sportist78-88
06/04/24HBalkan80-92
31/03/24ACherno More99-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game96.0-96.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+32.0-+32.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total195.0195.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist110100%96.064.0+32.0
2 Minyor110100%123.0101.0+22.0
3 Balkan220100%96.074.5+21.5
4 Cherno More110100%93.076.0+17.0
5 Lok. Plovdiv220100%95.084.0+11.0
6 CSKA Sofia110100%100.095.0+5.0
7 Botev Academic110100%90.086.0+4.0
8 Shumen21150%94.0103.5-9.5
9 Beroe2020%90.594.0-3.5
10 Polytechnica1010%95.0100.0-5.0
11 Botev 20122020%75.089.0-14.0
12 Levski2020%79.597.0-17.5
13 Spartak Pleven1010%73.092.0-19.0
14 Yambol1010%64.096.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rilski Sportist28322727114
CSKA Sofia1915261676
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