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Sichuan vs Shenzhen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#13
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game95.0
ChinaCBARound 12· Sichuan Provincial Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sichuan v Shenzhen
11 Dec 2026
SICH v SHEN
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
SICH113
SHEN126
10 Mar 2025
SICH97
SHEN105
22 Oct 2023
SICH69
SHEN88
01 Mar 2023
SICH85
SHEN94
07 Nov 2021
SICH96
SHEN125
12 Apr 2021
SICH108
SHEN115
13 Nov 2020
SICH100
SHEN92
01 Jul 2020
SICH76
SHEN92
03 Jan 2019
SICH116
SHEN123
28 Dec 2017
SICH122
SHEN105
13 Jan 2017
SICH118
SHEN111
04 Dec 2015
SICH114
SHEN112
28 Dec 2014
SICH106
SHEN128
27 Dec 2013
SICH135
SHEN137
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sichuan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A15/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A17/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
97-85
97
85
+12
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
64-115
64
115
-51
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
20-20
18-28
28-23
18-19
18-21
23-26
12-27
20-30
28-30
17-17
20-24
9-30
23-31
25-28
24-15
28-22
25-26
25-15
19-22
24-22
24-20
22-26
21-20
23-30
29-29
22-25
19-20
14-28
10-21
14-19
11-23
15-19
21-34
18-19
27-19
14-33
12-26
18-29
20-27
176.8Avg total
79.6Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.295.7174.8-16.533%
Season at home (3)75.789.0164.7-13.333%
Season away (3)82.7102.3185.0-19.733%
Last 10 (10)79.697.2176.8-17.620%
Last 5 (5)75.697.8173.4-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)74.8101.5176.3-26.87%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
102-111
102
111
-9
A16/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
22-42
28-20
25-27
15-25
27-27
24-19
19-21
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
178.2Avg total
83.2Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.795.0172.7-17.350%
Season at home (2)82.593.0175.5-10.550%
Season away (4)75.296.0171.2-20.850%
Last 10 (10)83.295.0178.2-11.840%
Last 5 (5)79.693.6173.2-14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.795.0172.7-17.350%
vs Similar ◀ (11)98.196.2194.3+1.955%
vs Weaker (13)105.192.3197.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
SichuanShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A15/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A29/10
CBA
91.3Avg total
39.3Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.251.588.7-14.313%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.252.488.7-16.212%-
Last 30 away (14)38.350.588.8-12.214%-
Last 10 (10)39.352.091.3-12.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.252.489.6-15.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)37.251.588.7-14.313%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A16/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
93.5Avg total
41.3Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.449.2100.5+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.148.3102.4+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)49.049.998.9-0.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.352.293.5-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.054.093.0-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.852.590.3-14.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.750.8103.5+1.964%-
vs Weaker (13)56.546.2102.7+10.292%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
53.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sichuan
LLLLWWLLLL
Shenzhen
WWLLWLLWLL
#17
League position
#13
-18.7
Net rating
-14.8
90.8
Offensive rating
88.7
109.5
Defensive rating
103.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.2%
3-point %
33.5%
53.2%
Assist %
65.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 88.7Defence109.5 · 103.5Shooting51.4% · 51.4%3-point %34.2% · 33.5%Ball care15.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Sichuan   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sichuan wins
9
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
13/04/26Sichuan v Shenzhen113-126
24/12/25Shenzhen v Sichuan96-87
10/03/25Sichuan v Shenzhen97-105
26/10/24Shenzhen v Sichuan93-111
29/12/23Shenzhen v Sichuan120-108
22/10/23Sichuan v Shenzhen69-88
12/03/23Shenzhen v Sichuan117-98
01/03/23Sichuan v Shenzhen85-94
07/11/21Sichuan v Shenzhen96-125
31/10/21Shenzhen v Sichuan126-107
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-115
27/10/26HNanjing Tongxi81-91
25/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou49-91
23/10/26ALiaoning93-104
20/10/26AJilin91-88
17/10/26HTianjin97-85
24/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-104
20/04/26AJiangsu Dragons85-101
17/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters71-93
15/04/26ATianjin84-100
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80
18/05/26AZhejiang Guangsha85-92
16/05/26AZhejiang Guangsha102-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sichuan
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game79.275.782.7
Allowed / game95.789.0102.3
Point differential-16.5-13.3-19.7
Avg total174.8164.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.782.575.2
Allowed / game95.093.096.0
Point differential-17.3-10.5-20.8
Avg total172.7175.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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