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Sichuan vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-105
28-29 31-28 17-23 21-25
Position#19
Record8-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Position#13
Record14-23
FormLLWWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game106.7
ChinaCBARound 38· Sichuan Provincial Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sichuan v Shenzhen
11 Dec 2026
SICH v SHEN
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
SICH113
SHEN126
10 Mar 2025
SICH97
SHEN105
22 Oct 2023
SICH69
SHEN88
01 Mar 2023
SICH85
SHEN94
07 Nov 2021
SICH96
SHEN125
12 Apr 2021
SICH108
SHEN115
13 Nov 2020
SICH100
SHEN92
01 Jul 2020
SICH76
SHEN92
03 Jan 2019
SICH116
SHEN123
28 Dec 2017
SICH122
SHEN105
13 Jan 2017
SICH118
SHEN111
04 Dec 2015
SICH114
SHEN112
28 Dec 2014
SICH106
SHEN128
27 Dec 2013
SICH135
SHEN137
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sichuan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
99-115
99
115
-16
89avg 84
A08/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
117-107
117
107
+10
88avg 84
H11/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 84
H13/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
117-121
117
121
-4
104avg 84
A16/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
99-115
99
115
-16
92avg 84
A18/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
87-129
87
129
-42
68avg 84
H20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 84
H23/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
84-97
84
97
-13
84avg 84
A25/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-118
102
118
-16
95avg 84
A05/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
73avg 84
H07/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
27-34
26-23
19-31
19-24
29-22
35-30
34-31
29-21
24-32
22-20
29-36
31-27
35-31
23-31
28-32
16-26
31-33
31-32
21-24
26-27
21-32
18-30
22-40
27-29
29-27
21-20
16-28
22-30
19-25
24-20
19-22
23-25
30-38
33-24
16-31
24-20
21-26
24-33
14-20
209.9Avg total
98.5Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)100.5110.3210.8-9.722%
Season at home (18)102.8108.2211.0-5.339%
Season away (19)98.4112.3210.6-13.95%
Last 10 (10)98.5111.4209.9-12.910%
Last 5 (5)89.8109.4199.2-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)91.0108.4199.4-17.45%
vs Similar (10)107.5111.0218.5-3.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
95-107
95
107
-12
79avg 96
H08/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
115-99
115
99
+16
116avg 96
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
112-115
112
115
-3
108avg 96
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
108-101
108
101
+7
105avg 96
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
118-96
118
96
+22
124avg 96
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
102-112
102
112
-10
99avg 96
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
79avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
110avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 96
A08/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
22-30
19-21
25-23
29-26
28-36
33-17
25-20
46-21
21-41
25-25
20-28
32-30
30-17
27-23
19-31
29-23
39-20
24-25
26-28
23-28
33-31
32-24
14-29
16-30
23-35
24-22
23-17
34-19
32-27
20-39
32-24
30-31
28-42
31-18
26-18
31-24
24-18
26-22
23-22
211.1Avg total
107.3Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)104.8106.7211.5-2.038%
Season at home (19)105.0102.8207.8+2.247%
Season away (18)104.5110.8215.3-6.328%
Last 10 (10)107.3103.8211.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)105.0104.0209.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)96.3103.4199.7-7.121%
vs Similar (2)104.599.0203.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)115.4103.4218.9+12.078%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
SichuanShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A08/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H11/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H13/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A16/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A18/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H23/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A25/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A05/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/03
CBA
106.6Avg total
51.0Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.258.1107.3-8.913%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.154.6101.7-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)51.361.6112.9-10.313%-
Last 10 (10)51.055.6106.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)48.455.8104.2-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)47.458.1105.5-10.85%-
vs Similar (10)52.858.1110.9-5.330%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H08/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A08/03
CBA
114.1Avg total
57.9Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.153.6107.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.252.5106.7+1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)53.855.2109.0-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)57.956.2114.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.857.0111.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)50.654.4105.1-3.826%-
vs Similar (2)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)60.453.4113.9+7.089%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.323.8
46.4%
52.6%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.5
32.2%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws29.021.6
74.5%
76.3%21.6
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.329.9
56.1%
52.6%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.8
37.7%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.3%17.3
They take 79.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sichuan
LLLLLLLLWL
Shenzhen
WWWLLWWLWL
#19
League position
#13
-13.6
Net rating
+3.9
104.8
Offensive rating
111.1
118.4
Defensive rating
107.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
37.7%
70.0%
Assist %
66.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 111.1Defence118.4 · 107.2Shooting47.1% · 56.2%3-point %32.2% · 37.7%Ball care15.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.8% · 23.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Sichuan   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sichuan wins
8
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Shenzhen v Sichuan93-111
29/12/23Shenzhen v Sichuan120-108
22/10/23Sichuan v Shenzhen69-88
12/03/23Shenzhen v Sichuan117-98
01/03/23Sichuan v Shenzhen85-94
07/11/21Sichuan v Shenzhen96-125
31/10/21Shenzhen v Sichuan126-107
12/04/21Sichuan v Shenzhen108-115
31/03/21Shenzhen v Sichuan114-106 OT
13/11/20Sichuan v Shenzhen100-92
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HBeijing83-99
05/03/25AJilin102-118
25/01/25ATianjin84-97
23/01/25HQingdao93-104
20/01/25HShanghai87-129
18/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha99-115
16/01/25AFujian117-121
13/01/25HTianjin104-109
11/01/25HNingbo Rockets117-107
08/01/25ALiaoning99-115
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AGuangzhou104-86
06/03/25AJiangsu Dragons115-109
25/01/25HXinjiang118-109
22/01/25ABeijing86-104
19/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters102-112
17/01/25HJilin118-96
15/01/25HNanjing Tongxi108-101
13/01/25AJilin112-115
11/01/25HShandong115-99
08/01/25HQingdao95-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sichuan
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL39%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %22%39%5%
Points / game100.5102.898.4
Allowed / game110.3108.2112.3
Point differential-9.7-5.3-13.9
Avg total210.8211.0210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeLWWWW47%
AwayLLLWW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %38%47%28%
Points / game104.8105.0104.5
Allowed / game106.7102.8110.8
Point differential-2.0+2.2-6.3
Avg total211.5207.8215.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3832684%103.592.4+11.1
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3728976%114.6108.3+6.3
3 Xinjiang36261072%110.8102.1+8.7
4 Shandong37261170%105.199.9+5.2
5 Beijing37251268%101.695.8+5.8
6 Qingdao37251268%104.699.9+4.8
7 Liaoning38251366%105.399.4+5.9
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou37241365%113.2104.9+8.2
9 Guangdong37241365%105.098.3+6.6
10 Shanghai36231364%111.4102.9+8.6
11 Beijing Royal Fighters36201656%107.2102.5+4.7
12 Nanjing Tongxi38182047%106.1107.8-1.8
13 Shenzhen37142338%104.8106.7-2.0
14 Jilin38132534%102.4110.9-8.5
15 Tianjin37112630%102.2111.2-9.0
16 Ningbo Rockets3792824%102.8113.7-10.9
17 Sichuan3782922%100.5110.3-9.7
18 Guangzhou3773019%96.6108.0-11.4
19 Fujian3663017%103.1115.6-12.5
20 Jiangsu Dragons3763116%93.7103.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sichuan2831172197
Shenzhen29282325105
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