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Siena vs Rider Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-61
0-0 33-35 0-0 43-26
Position#78
Record19-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game66.6
Siena 🏆
USA
vs
Rider
USA
Position#367
Record4-24
FormLLLWL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Siena v Rider
01 Mar 2026
SIE76
RIDE61
01 Dec 2023
SIE67
RIDE65
08 Jan 2023
SIE68
RIDE63
04 Feb 2022
SIE60
RIDE74
22 Jan 2021
SIE v RIDE
upcoming
14 Feb 2020
SIE73
RIDE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rider winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SienaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H23/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H06/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H14/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
72-79 OT
72
79
-7
A21/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-36
0-0
39-14
0-0
42-40
0-0
40-39
0-0
40-29
0-0
38-34
0-0
40-47
0-0
39-25
0-0
28-36
0-0
37-34
0-0
27-34
0-0
35-40
0-0
36-29
0-0
31-34
0-0
37-32
0-0
29-34
0-0
37-23
0-0
35-40
0-0
23-37
0-0
35-35
138.9Avg total
70.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.666.6137.3+4.063%
Season at home (12)73.966.0139.9+7.967%
Season away (18)68.467.1135.5+1.461%
Last 10 (10)70.468.5138.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)66.270.2136.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)67.869.8137.6-2.041%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.362.5136.8+11.892%
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A31/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A06/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
47-73
47
73
-26
H08/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-33
0-0
28-38
0-0
43-45
0-0
47-50
0-0
39-40
0-0
42-38
0-0
23-48
0-0
29-33
0-0
20-40
0-0
27-33
0-0
21-28
0-0
34-37
0-0
30-49
0-0
45-37
0-0
30-40
0-0
36-32
0-0
27-28
0-0
40-34
0-0
30-40
0-0
28-40
141.5Avg total
65.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)63.576.0139.5-12.514%
Season at home (13)65.270.4135.5-5.231%
Season away (15)62.180.9143.0-18.70%
Last 10 (10)65.276.3141.5-11.120%
Last 5 (5)64.273.0137.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)64.178.1142.3-14.015%
vs Similar (2)51.559.5111.0-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -9.5-9.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -9.5-9.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
SienaRider
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H06/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A28/02
NCAA
68.3Avg total
34.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.266.3+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.232.368.6+3.950%-
Last 30 away (18)32.632.264.7+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.368.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.063.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)30.234.564.7-4.229%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.029.368.3+9.785%-
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#242
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A06/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H08/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
29.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.737.567.2-7.810%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.734.365.0-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)28.840.369.1-11.60%-
Last 10 (10)29.639.168.7-9.50%-
Last 5 (5)27.637.064.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)29.738.568.1-8.87%-
vs Similar (2)26.525.051.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Siena wins
5
Rider wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Rider v Siena65-74
11/03/25Rider v Siena78-76
08/02/25Rider v Siena61-59
03/02/24Rider v Siena91-50
02/12/23Siena v Rider67-65
25/02/23Rider v Siena69-66
08/01/23Siena v Rider68-63
13/02/22Rider v Siena75-76 OT
05/02/22Siena v Rider60-74
17/01/21Rider v Siena72-74
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AFairfield58-72
22/02/26HSt. Peters72-63
21/02/26AMerrimack Warriors72-79 OT
15/02/26AMarist67-63
14/02/26HQuinnipiac62-74
07/02/26ASt. Peters65-70
06/02/26HIona79-72
01/02/26ACanisius78-63
30/01/26ANiagara82-79
23/01/26HMarist69-50
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AIona58-80
22/02/26HNiagara67-62
21/02/26HCanisius66-72
15/02/26ASacred Heart75-86
14/02/26HMount St. Mary's55-65
08/02/26HMerrimack Warriors47-73
06/02/26AMarist52-81
01/02/26HSt. Peters81-78
31/01/26AManhattan90-95
24/01/26AMount St. Mary's61-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL63%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301218
Win %63%67%61%
Points / game70.673.968.4
Allowed / game66.666.067.1
Point differential+4.0+7.9+1.4
Avg total137.3139.9135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (2)71% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Rider
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeWLLLW31%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %14%31%0%
Points / game63.565.262.1
Allowed / game76.070.480.9
Point differential-12.5-5.2-18.7
Avg total139.5135.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Merrimack Warriors30201067%69.267.5+1.7
2 Marist28181064%70.463.7+6.7
3 Siena30191163%70.666.6+4.0
4 Fairfield30191163%75.872.4+3.4
5 Quinnipiac31191261%75.471.8+3.5
6 St. Peters27161159%71.768.7+3.0
7 Iona30171357%73.872.8+1.0
8 Mount St. Mary's30141647%68.471.1-2.8
9 Sacred Heart31131842%75.676.7-1.1
10 Manhattan30121840%74.879.5-4.7
11 Canisius31102132%62.970.5-7.5
12 Niagara2982128%63.871.2-7.4
13 Rider2842414%63.576.0-12.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siena03304376
Rider03502661
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