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Merrimack Warriors vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-72 (OT)
32-37 34-29 13-6
Position#66
Record18-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game66.7
Merrimack Warriors 🏆
USA
vs
Siena
USA
Position#78
Record18-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Siena
10 Mar 2026
MERR54
SIE64
20 Feb 2026
MERR79
SIE72
18 Jan 2025
MERR64
SIE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#134
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A11/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A19/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A23/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H24/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A06/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
73-47
73
47
+26
A08/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H13/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-38
38-38
50-31
33-40
29-25
39-30
33-31
27-30
33-16
34-43
41-32
34-26
39-40
48-30
40-20
33-27
35-30
46-26
21-21
35-28
131.5Avg total
71.3Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.466.7135.0+1.767%
Season at home (10)73.464.4137.8+9.090%
Season away (17)65.468.0133.4-2.653%
Last 10 (10)71.360.2131.5+11.180%
Last 5 (5)74.456.0130.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.579.0130.5-27.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)68.366.0134.2+2.360%
vs Weaker (8)71.661.9133.5+9.8100%
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A17/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H19/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H23/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H06/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H14/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-42
42-44
42-25
32-34
41-32
44-45
30-36
39-14
42-40
40-39
40-29
38-34
40-47
39-25
28-36
37-34
27-34
35-40
36-29
31-34
143.4Avg total
74.1Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.066.1137.1+4.967%
Season at home (11)74.166.3140.4+7.864%
Season away (16)68.966.0134.9+2.969%
Last 10 (10)74.169.3143.4+4.870%
Last 5 (5)70.268.4138.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)67.870.1137.9-2.340%
vs Weaker (15)74.063.6137.6+10.487%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
Merrimack WarriorsSiena
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#134
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H17/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A19/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A08/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A15/02
NCAA
63.0Avg total
34.6Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.130.863.9+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.328.864.1+6.683%-
Last 30 away (18)31.632.263.8-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)34.628.463.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.228.663.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.543.567.0-20.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)32.829.962.6+2.960%-
vs Weaker (8)36.230.066.2+6.288%-
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A17/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H06/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A15/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
36.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.466.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.832.868.6+3.150%-
Last 30 away (18)32.632.164.7+0.556%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.071.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.069.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.335.164.4-5.720%-
vs Weaker (15)38.529.768.1+8.887%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Siena wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Siena v Merrimack Warriors59-63
18/01/25Merrimack Warriors v Siena64-58
Merrimack Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AQuinnipiac56-49
13/02/26HMarist81-56
08/02/26ARider73-47
06/02/26AMount St. Mary's87-70
01/02/26HSacred Heart75-58
24/01/26HSt. Peters67-59
23/01/26AIona60-61
19/01/26AMarist68-55
17/01/26HQuinnipiac83-71
11/01/26ASt. Peters63-76
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AMarist67-63
14/02/26HQuinnipiac62-74
07/02/26ASt. Peters65-70
06/02/26HIona79-72
01/02/26ACanisius78-63
30/01/26ANiagara82-79
23/01/26HMarist69-50
19/01/26HFairfield85-77
17/01/26AManhattan74-59
15/01/26HSacred Heart80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271017
Win %67%90%53%
Points / game68.473.465.4
Allowed / game66.764.468.0
Point differential+1.7+9.0-2.6
Avg total135.0137.8133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siena
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %67%64%69%
Points / game71.074.168.9
Allowed / game66.166.366.0
Point differential+4.9+7.8+2.9
Avg total137.1140.4134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (2)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena2718967%71.066.1+4.9
2 Merrimack Warriors2718967%68.466.7+1.7
3 Quinnipiac28181064%75.571.4+4.1
4 Marist27171063%70.663.7+6.9
5 Fairfield28171161%75.672.7+3.0
6 St. Peters25151060%71.968.7+3.2
7 Iona28161257%73.172.8+0.4
8 Mount St. Mary's28131546%68.471.8-3.4
9 Sacred Heart29121741%76.077.4-1.4
10 Manhattan29121741%75.179.7-4.6
11 Canisius2891932%63.471.0-7.6
12 Niagara2772026%63.371.1-7.8
13 Rider2632312%63.676.4-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Merrimack Warriors32341379
Siena3729672
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