Slavia Prague ERA NBK host Decin in the NBL on 4 November 2026, and the model rates Slavia as the favourite, a 77% chance of victory, because they are first in the league with a 9-1 record, averaging 98.4 points scored and allowing only 81.1 per game, while Decin sit third with a 6-3 record, 85.2 points scored and 77.9 allowed. Slavia's home form is flawless, 3-0 at home with 102.3 points per game and 67.7 allowed, and they have won three of their last five games, including a 121-96 win over Opava and a 91-89 victory over Usti n. Labem, though they suffered a 72-77 loss to Igokea. Decin's road record is 3-3, 86.7 points scored and 81.7 allowed, and they have also won three of their last five, with wins over NH Ostrava and Pardubice but a 84-99 loss to Srsni Pisek. The Pythia model gives Slavia a 77% win probability against Decin's 23%, projects a 90-82 score for a 171.8 total, and a 14% chance that Slavia will cover the home line of -20.5; the game has a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 98.4 | 81.1 | 179.5 | +17.3 | 90% |
| Season at home (3) | 102.3 | 67.7 | 170.0 | +34.7 | 100% |
| Season away (7) | 96.7 | 86.9 | 183.6 | +9.9 | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.8 | 83.8 | 175.6 | +8.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.4 | 86.8 | 177.2 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 81.3 | 94.7 | 176.0 | -13.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 98.4 | 81.1 | 179.5 | +17.3 | 90% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 85.2 | 77.9 | 163.1 | +7.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.3 | 70.3 | 152.7 | +12.0 | 100% |
| Season away (6) | 86.7 | 81.7 | 168.3 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.5 | 79.9 | 164.4 | +4.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.4 | 80.8 | 165.2 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 78.6 | 96.3 | 174.9 | -17.7 | 14% |
| vs Similar (15) | 82.6 | 84.1 | 166.7 | -1.5 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 84.1 | 75.8 | 159.9 | +8.4 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 88.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (13) | 48.9 | 41.6 | 90.5 | +7.3 | 54% | 62% |
| Last 30 at home (4) | 51.0 | 37.2 | 88.2 | +13.8 | 75% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (9) | 48.0 | 43.6 | 91.6 | +4.4 | 44% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.2 | 41.6 | 89.8 | +6.6 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.6 | 44.6 | 94.2 | +5.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 38.7 | 45.0 | 83.7 | -6.3 | 0% | 33% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 52.0 | 40.6 | 92.6 | +11.4 | 70% | 70% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 88.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 43.5 | 85.0 | -1.9 | 37% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.8 | 39.8 | 84.6 | +4.9 | 54% | 23% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 39.1 | 46.2 | 85.4 | -7.1 | 24% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 41.5 | 84.5 | +1.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 42.4 | 84.6 | -0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 39.1 | 50.0 | 89.1 | -10.9 | 0% | 57% |
| vs Similar (15) | 42.9 | 42.6 | 85.5 | +0.3 | 40% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 41.2 | 39.4 | 80.6 | +1.9 | 62% | 25% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decin +20.5 | 85.8% | 1.98 | 2.31 | 2.07 | 2.02 | 2.00 | 1.91 | +45.8pp | Won |
| Decin +21 | 87.3% | 1.91 | 2.23 | 1.95 | 1.81 | 1.66 | - | +45.7pp | Won |
| Decin +20 | 85.5% | 2.02 | 2.26 | 2.07 | 1.74 | - | - | +44.5pp | Won |
| Decin +21.5 | 87.5% | 1.90 | 2.14 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.89 | 1.87 | +44.2pp | Won |
| Decin +22 | 89.0% | 1.83 | 2.06 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.58 | - | +43.9pp | Won |
| Decin +22.5 | 89.1% | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.81 | 1.81 | +42.1pp | Won |
| Decin +23 | 90.4% | 1.75 | 1.90 | 1.81 | 1.75 | 1.52 | - | +41.2pp | Won |
| Decin +18 | 81.2% | 2.06 | 2.29 | 1.95 | 1.95 | - | - | +40.7pp | Won |
| Decin +17.5 | 79.3% | 2.38 | 2.68 | 2.50 | 2.35 | 2.00 | - | +39.8pp | Won |
| Decin +19 | 83.4% | 2.03 | 2.13 | 2.12 | 1.83 | - | - | +39.8pp | Won |
| Decin +18.5 | 81.6% | 2.09 | 2.42 | 2.35 | 2.21 | 1.89 | 1.86 | +39.6pp | Won |
| Decin +23.5 | 90.6% | 1.72 | 1.81 | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.63 | - | +39.1pp | Won |
| Decin +24 | 91.7% | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.65 | - | - | - | +38.5pp | Won |
| Decin +19.5 | 83.8% | 2.04 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.91 | +38.5pp | Won |
| Decin +24.5 | 91.8% | 1.58 | 1.68 | 1.67 | 1.61 | 1.53 | 1.43 | +36.6pp | Won |
| Decin +17 | 78.7% | 2.15 | 2.19 | 2.10 | - | - | - | +36.4pp | Won |
| Decin +25 | 92.9% | 1.60 | 1.63 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +36.0pp | Won |
| Decin +16.5 | 76.7% | 2.42 | 2.99 | 2.67 | 2.27 | 2.15 | 2.00 | +36.0pp | Won |
| Decin +16 | 76.1% | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | - | +35.0pp | Won |
| Decin +15.5 | 74.0% | 2.48 | 2.87 | 2.42 | 2.34 | 2.30 | - | +34.4pp | Won |
| Decin +15 | 73.2% | 2.35 | 2.40 | 2.30 | - | - | - | +32.9pp | Won |
| Decin +14.5 | 71.1% | 2.48 | 3.00 | 2.55 | 2.38 | 1.99 | - | +32.2pp | Won |
| Decin +14 | 70.1% | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.30 | - | - | - | +29.9pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 97 | 76.4% | 1.85 | 1.91 | 1.80 | - | - | - | +28.6pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 98 | 79.4% | 1.73 | 1.79 | 1.67 | - | - | - | +28.2pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 95.5 | 70.7% | 2.00 | 2.15 | 2.03 | 1.83 | - | - | +28.0pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 98.5 | 80.0% | 1.74 | 1.83 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.63 | - | +27.8pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 97.5 | 77.1% | 1.83 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.74 | +27.7pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 99.5 | 82.7% | 1.57 | 1.62 | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | +26.2pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 100.5 | 85.1% | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.46 | - | - | - | +25.6pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 96.5 | 74.0% | 1.87 | 2.00 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.80 | +24.8pp | Won |
| Decin over 74 | 77.9% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +24.7pp | Won |
| Decin over 76 | 71.4% | 1.88 | 1.92 | 1.84 | - | - | - | +24.3pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 101.5 | 87.3% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.39 | - | - | +24.2pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK under 96 | 73.1% | 1.81 | 1.85 | 1.76 | - | - | - | +24.1pp | Won |
| Decin over 75 | 74.7% | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.70 | - | - | - | +24.0pp | Won |
| Decin over 75.5 | 72.3% | 1.85 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.76 | +23.5pp | Won |
| Decin over 74.5 | 75.6% | 1.70 | 1.78 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.54 | +23.5pp | Won |
| Decin over 73.5 | 78.6% | 1.61 | 1.67 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +23.1pp | Won |
| Decin over 72.5 | 81.3% | 1.48 | 1.57 | 1.46 | 1.40 | - | - | +22.0pp | Won |
| Decin over 71.5 | 83.9% | 1.43 | 1.47 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Decin over 70.5 | 86.2% | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.27 | - | - | +20.1pp | Won |
| Decin over 69.5 | 88.2% | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| Decin over 68.5 | 90.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Decin over 67.5 | 91.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 76.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 84.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Under 198.5 | 94.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 90.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK over 73.5 | 94.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 92.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK over 75.5 | 92.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Decin under 96.5 | 91.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Decin under 97.5 | 93.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK over 76.5 | 90.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 86.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 78.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK +8.5 | 92.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Decin under 94.5 | 88.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK over 77.5 | 89.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
| Decin under 92.5 | 85.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -4.0pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK over 79.5 | 85.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -5.1pp | Won |
| Decin under 90.5 | 80.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -6.3pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK +3.5 | 83.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -7.1pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK +4.5 | 85.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -7.9pp | Won |
| Decin under 88.5 | 74.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -8.3pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK over 81.5 | 80.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -8.6pp | Won |
| Decin under 87.5 | 71.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -8.8pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK over 83.5 | 74.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -12.5pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK (regulation) | 74.5% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | -12.6pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK -1.5 | 74.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -13.4pp | Won |
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK win | 76.8% | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.02 | -14.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.2 | 20.4 | 52.9% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.6 | 12.1 | 32.4% | 36.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.3 | 16.2 | 68.6% | 16.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.1 | 19.8 | 52.9% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.2 | 7.5 | 32.4% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 28.5 | 21.7 | 68.6% | 21.7 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Usti n. Labem | 91-89 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Opava | 121-96 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Igokea | 72-77 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Srsni Pisek | 89-81 |
| 17/10/26 | A | NH Ostrava | 79-91 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Bilbao | 86-97 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Pardubice | 105-60 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Alba Berlin | 86-110 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Hradec Kralove | 101-75 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Olomoucko | 88-62 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Srsni Pisek | 84-99 |
| 24/10/26 | H | NH Ostrava | 87-76 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Pardubice | 82-79 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Hradec Kralove | 93-99 OT |
| 04/10/26 | A | Olomoucko | 76-51 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Brno | 86-78 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Opava | 76-83 |
| 23/09/26 | H | USK Prague | 74-57 |
| 17/09/26 | A | Plzen | 109-79 |
| 11/05/26 | A | Brno | 78-98 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 90% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WLWWW | 86% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 86% |
| Points / game | 98.4 | 102.3 | 96.7 |
| Allowed / game | 81.1 | 67.7 | 86.9 |
| Point differential | +17.3 | +34.7 | +9.9 |
| Avg total | 179.5 | 170.0 | 183.6 |
| Over 173 | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 100% | 43% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 67% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LWLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 85.2 | 82.3 | 86.7 |
| Allowed / game | 77.9 | 70.3 | 81.7 |
| Point differential | +7.3 | +12.0 | +5.0 |
| Avg total | 163.1 | 152.7 | 168.3 |
| Over 173 | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 67% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 11% | 0% | 17% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 98.4 | 81.1 | +17.3 |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 82% | 89.5 | 78.4 | +11.2 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 85.2 | 77.9 | +7.3 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 85.3 | 79.2 | +6.1 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 90.3 | 86.1 | +4.2 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.8 | 79.5 | +8.3 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 83.7 | 85.7 | -2.0 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 83.4 | 89.4 | -6.0 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 80.9 | 84.8 | -3.9 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 85.3 | 92.7 | -7.4 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 65.0 | 87.7 | -22.7 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10% | 76.2 | 90.7 | -14.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 27 | 18 | 25 | 19 | 89 |
| 22 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 78 |
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