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Decin vs Brno Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-78
32-17 17-16 21-23 16-22
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game73.0
Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Position#7
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game92.7
Czech RepublicNBLRound 4· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Decin v Brno
30 Sep 2026
DECI86
BRNO78
08 May 2026
DECI81
BRNO86
02 May 2026
DECI84
BRNO75
01 May 2026
DECI82
BRNO66
25 Mar 2026
DECI77
BRNO81
10 Dec 2025
DECI77
BRNO73
13 May 2025
DECI82
BRNO55
07 May 2025
DECI103
BRNO67
06 May 2025
DECI73
BRNO77
15 Mar 2025
DECI74
BRNO70
30 Jan 2025
DECI88
BRNO64
18 Jan 2025
DECI78
BRNO80
17 Apr 2024
DECI94
BRNO92
16 Apr 2024
DECI69
BRNO64
06 Mar 2024
DECI91
BRNO85
30 Dec 2023
DECI70
BRNO58
15 Mar 2023
DECI78
BRNO86
19 Nov 2022
DECI63
BRNO67
02 Oct 2021
DECI63
BRNO79
16 Dec 2020
DECI95
BRNO86
30 Oct 2019
DECI68
BRNO66
23 Mar 2019
DECI62
BRNO60
20 Dec 2018
DECI69
BRNO63
20 Jan 2018
DECI76
BRNO67
26 Nov 2016
DECI81
BRNO71
09 Jan 2016
DECI90
BRNO83
14 Oct 2015
DECI78
BRNO56
28 Mar 2015
DECI92
BRNO73
17 Jan 2015
DECI91
BRNO62
13 Feb 2014
DECI86
BRNO77
06 Nov 2013
DECI84
BRNO57
03 Nov 2010
DECI58
BRNO43
23 Jan 2010
DECI92
BRNO82
10 Oct 2009
DECI77
BRNO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Brno
#3
L
94-107
94
107
-13
82avg 72
A27/04
NBL
Brno
#3
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 72
A28/04
NBL
Brno
#3
W
82-66
82
66
+16
70avg 72
H01/05
NBL
Brno
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 72
H02/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 72
A05/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 72
H08/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
78-98
78
98
-20
58avg 72
A11/05
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 72
A17/09
NBL
USK Prague
#8
W
74-57
74
57
+17
68avg 72
H23/09
NBL
Opava
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 72
A26/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
16-29
29-23
27-26
24-22
21-30
20-16
33-21
23-11
29-23
13-20
17-12
21-19
22-9
19-28
22-19
17-18
17-18
18-18
13-21
32-18
18-20
14-28
17-20
18-27
22-24
22-25
16-22
20-13
28-30
31-19
30-17
14-15
20-17
16-14
24-11
19-19
29-25
9-22
19-17
165.6Avg total
84.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.373.0159.3+13.367%
Season at home (1)74.057.0131.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)92.581.0173.5+11.550%
Last 10 (10)84.181.5165.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)83.680.6164.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.295.9176.1-15.612%
vs Similar (17)83.484.7168.1-1.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.675.6159.2+8.060%
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
Pardubice
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 77
H22/05
NBL
Karvina
#21
W
110-53
110
53
+57
no box
H24/05
1. Liga
Pardubice
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
68avg 77
A25/05
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
87-98
87
98
-11
84avg 77
H27/05
NBL
Opava
#5
W
99-97
99
97
+2
88avg 77
H01/06
NBL
Opava
#5
L
65-96
65
96
-31
54avg 77
A04/06
NBL
Opava
#5
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
96avg 77
H06/06
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
56avg 77
A19/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 77
A23/09
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
96-108
96
108
-12
98avg 77
H26/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
18-24
22-23
28-28
31-18
18-16
30-12
31-7
22-22
18-20
20-25
15-23
15-20
28-26
14-17
30-35
28-27
22-26
19-17
30-27
20-36
13-17
24-19
8-24
31-27
21-14
22-21
12-24
14-17
18-20
24-16
23-32
15-24
16-15
29-22
16-24
24-25
21-28
34-29
17-26
178.6Avg total
87.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.792.7176.3-9.00%
Season at home (1)96.0108.0204.0-12.00%
Season away (2)77.585.0162.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)87.890.8178.6-3.020%
Last 5 (5)83.495.2178.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.591.9174.4-9.417%
vs Similar (17)80.581.8162.3-1.247%
vs Weaker (1)102.077.0179.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
DecinBrno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A27/04
NBL
Brno
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A28/04
NBL
Brno
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H01/05
NBL
Brno
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H02/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/05
NBL
Brno
#3
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H08/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A11/05
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A17/09
NBL
USK Prague
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/09
NBL
Opava
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/09
NBL
84.8Avg total
43.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.586.0-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.241.685.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.147.186.2-7.919%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.685.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.048.489.4-7.412%-
vs Similar (17)41.943.885.6-1.941%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.041.082.0+0.060%-
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/05
NBL
Karvina
#21
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H24/05
1. Liga
Pardubice
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A25/05
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/05
NBL
Opava
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H01/06
NBL
Opava
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A04/06
NBL
Opava
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H06/06
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A19/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A23/09
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H26/09
NBL
85.6Avg total
41.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.844.786.4-2.934%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.244.189.3+1.147%-
Last 30 away (14)38.145.483.4-7.321%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.185.6-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.683.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.645.183.7-6.58%-
vs Similar (16)43.144.887.9-1.650%-
vs Weaker (1)58.039.097.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.1
49.9%
52.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.4
28.9%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws29.121.5
73.9%
68.8%21.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.7
51.4%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.9
27.7%
32.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws28.720.1
70.0%
68.8%20.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Decin
LWWLLLWWWL
Brno
LLLLLWLLWL
#5
League position
#7
+2.9
Net rating
-12.1
93.8
Offensive rating
86.7
90.9
Defensive rating
98.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
47.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.44
28.9%
3-point %
27.7%
61.5%
Assist %
68.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 86.7Defence90.9 · 98.8Shooting47.3% · 47.6%3-point %28.9% · 27.7%Ball care12.7% · 18.4%Free throws0.44 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Decin   ■ Brno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Decin wins
5
Brno wins
DateGameScore
11/05/26Brno v Decin98-78
08/05/26Decin v Brno81-86
05/05/26Brno v Decin75-65
02/05/26Decin v Brno84-75
01/05/26Decin v Brno82-66
28/04/26Brno v Decin89-98
27/04/26Brno v Decin107-94
25/03/26Decin v Brno77-81
31/01/26Brno v Decin76-90
13/12/25Brno v Decin80-97
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26AOpava76-83
23/09/26HUSK Prague74-57
17/09/26APlzen109-79
11/05/26ABrno78-98
08/05/26HBrno81-86
05/05/26ABrno65-75
02/05/26HBrno84-75
01/05/26HBrno82-66
28/04/26ABrno98-89
27/04/26ABrno94-107
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK96-108
23/09/26ANH Ostrava76-85
19/09/26APardubice79-85
06/06/26HOpava101-102 OT
04/06/26AOpava65-96
01/06/26HOpava99-97
27/05/26HPardubice87-98
25/05/26APardubice75-90
24/05/26HKarvina110-53
22/05/26HPardubice90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Decin
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.374.092.5
Allowed / game73.057.081.0
Point differential+13.3+17.0+11.5
Avg total159.3131.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brno
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.796.077.5
Allowed / game92.7108.085.0
Point differential-9.0-12.0-7.5
Avg total176.3204.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pardubice330100%91.070.3+20.7
2 Slavia Prague ERA NBK330100%103.385.7+17.7
3 Srsni Pisek330100%93.082.0+11.0
4 Usti n. Labem32167%94.078.0+16.0
5 Decin32167%86.373.0+13.3
6 NH Ostrava32167%83.376.7+6.7
7 Hradec Kralove31233%86.093.3-7.3
8 Opava31233%80.393.0-12.7
9 Olomoucko31233%70.789.7-19.0
10 Brno3030%83.792.7-9.0
11 USK Prague3030%72.383.7-11.3
12 Plzen3030%78.0104.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Decin3217211686
Brno1716232278
← all games of the day
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