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Sloboda vs Drina Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 90-71
Projected total 161.3
Final 80-66
24-10 15-20 24-17 17-19
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.0
Sloboda 🏆
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Vs
95%
■ SLOB 95%■ DRIN 5%
Pythia win probability
Drina
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.2
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 7· SKPC Mejdan
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Sloboda hosts Drina in the Prvenstvo BiH on 13 November 2026, and the Pythia model rates Sloboda the clear favourite, assigning them a 95% chance of victory largely because of their 3-2 season record, 88.4 points per game and 78.0 allowed per game, placing them seventh in the league, while Drina sits tenth with a 2-4 record, 77.0 points per game and 81.2 allowed per game; Sloboda's home form is 1-2 with 85.3 points and 80.7 allowed, yet they have won four of their last five games, including a 112-96 win over Podgorica and a 91-66 win over Gradina Tesanj, whereas Drina's road record is 0-2, 65.0 points and 87.0 allowed, and they have won only two of their last five, most recently beating Mrkonjic Grad 99-72 but losing to Leotar Trebinje 68-70 and Siroki Brijeg 57-87; the head-to-head history shows no prior meetings, with the last encounter listed as a 112-96 victory for Sloboda over Podgorica; Pythia projects a 90-71 score, a total of 161.3 points, a home line of -13.5 with a 69% chance of covering, an over line of 161.5 with a 49% chance of the over, and a 1% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda winWon
94.9%fair 1.05
Best odds1.10
Implied84.3%
Edge+10.6pp
Drina winLost
5.1%fair 19.76
Best odds6.50
Implied15.7%
Edge-10.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SlobodaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
W
63-57
63
57
+6
59avg 77
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
57avg 77
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
45-88
45
88
-43
31avg 77
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
59avg 77
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 77
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 77
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
106-61
106
61
+45
109avg 77
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
94avg 77
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 77
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
W
112-96
112
96
+16
no box
A03/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
15-13
9-7
20-15
13-18
18-14
19-24
16-17
14-22
15-23
4-22
12-21
23-19
17-12
19-25
22-28
20-19
32-15
28-20
15-28
30-20
29-25
24-20
22-21
27-12
27-14
26-20
26-15
21-21
20-18
26-13
24-14
12-18
13-18
20-15
25-21
20-25
30-27
31-21
31-23
159.9Avg total
83.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.478.0166.4+10.460%
Season at home (3)85.380.7166.0+4.733%
Season away (2)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.476.5159.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)96.876.2173.0+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.280.0153.2-6.840%
vs Similar (8)78.880.5159.2-1.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.677.2165.8+11.476%
This opponent (Drina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrinaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDrina
Date
Competition
Igman
#9
L
76-88
76
88
-12
45avg 54
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#12
L
73-87
73
87
-14
52avg 54
A11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
75avg 54
H17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
57-87
57
87
-30
44avg 54
A25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#5
L
68-70
68
70
-2
no box
H01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
99-72
99
72
+27
no box
H08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
14-27
25-22
14-17
19-19
17-31
20-20
17-17
30-13
16-21
25-19
18-30
13-24
19-13
16-23
9-27
12-16
21-15
22-29
13-10
18-20
29-24
21-11
31-17
158.2Avg total
77.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.081.2158.2-4.233%
Season at home (4)83.078.2161.2+4.850%
Season away (2)65.087.0152.0-22.00%
Last 10 (6)77.081.2158.2-4.233%
Last 5 (5)77.279.8157.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.086.0160.0-12.033%
vs Similar (2)70.578.5149.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (1)99.072.0171.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Under 156.5
Over 156.5
61.5%
Under 156.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5 · main lineActual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
49.3%
@ 1.85-0.8pp
Under 161.5
50.7%
@ 1.85+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
BetVictor
1.85
SBO
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
37.2%
Under 166.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sloboda total 83.5Actual: Sloboda under 83.5
Over 83.5
75.4%
Under 83.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda total 87.5 · main lineActual: Sloboda under 87.5
Over 87.5
61.1%
@ 1.94+12.1pp
Under 87.5
38.9%
@ 1.85-12.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
BetVictor
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.77
Sloboda total 91.5Actual: Sloboda under 91.5
Over 91.5
45.0%
Under 91.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drina total 70.5Actual: Drina under 70.5
Over 70.5
51.8%
Under 70.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drina total 74.5 · main lineActual: Drina under 74.5
Over 74.5
36.1%
@ 1.79-13.9pp
Under 74.5
63.9%
@ 1.79+13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Drina total 78.5Actual: Drina under 78.5
Over 78.5
22.6%
Under 78.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sloboda -16.5Actual: Drina +16.5
SLOB -16.5
59.5%
DRIN +16.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
SLOB
No market prices yet.
DRIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Sloboda -13.5 · main lineActual: Sloboda -13.5
SLOB -13.5
69.4%
@ 1.85+19.6pp
DRIN +13.5
30.6%
@ 1.83-19.6pp
Best 5 market prices
SLOB
BetVictor
1.85
DRIN
BetVictor
1.83
Spread Sloboda -10.5Actual: Sloboda -10.5
SLOB -10.5
78.0%
DRIN +10.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
SLOB
No market prices yet.
DRIN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
SlobodaDrina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A03/11
ABA League 2
79.0Avg total
41.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)42.138.780.8+3.463%43%
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.178.8+6.773%33%
Last 30 away (15)41.541.382.8+0.153%53%
Last 10 (10)41.537.579.0+4.050%30%
Last 5 (5)45.839.685.4+6.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%40%
vs Similar (8)40.138.278.4+1.950%25%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.139.583.6+4.671%53%
This opponent (Drina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igman
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#12
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
79.3Avg total
38.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (6)38.540.879.3-2.350%50%
Last 30 at home (4)40.839.580.2+1.275%50%
Last 30 away (2)34.043.577.5-9.50%50%
Last 10 (6)38.540.879.3-2.350%50%
Last 5 (5)38.839.278.0-0.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.340.078.3-1.733%33%
vs Similar (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%50%
vs Weaker (1)47.044.091.0+3.0100%100%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Sloboda win
SLOB win
no forecast
@ 1.20
DRIN win
no forecast
@ 4.41
1st half Spread Sloboda -7.5 · main lineActual: Sloboda -7.5
SLOB -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
DRIN +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Sloboda -12.572.4%1.78
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
SBO
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75		-+20.0ppWon
Sloboda (regulation)94.1%1.11
1xBet
1.11		----+16.6ppWon
Sloboda win94.9%1.08
1xBet
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
Pinnacle
1.06		--+10.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
53.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
67.4%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Drinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Drina: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.8
48.1%
53.9%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
32.0%
32.9%23.2
🏀 Free throws13.89.2
67.3%
67.4%9.2
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sloboda
WLWWWWLLLW
Drina
WLLWLL
#4
League position
#10
+7.4
Net rating
-15.5
95.1
Offensive rating
81.0
87.7
Defensive rating
96.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
32.0%
52.7%
Assist %
70.2%
60%
Form (last 10/6)
33%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 81.0Defence87.7 · 96.5Shooting52.5% · 48.0%3-point %31.2% · 32.0%Ball care15.8% · 20.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/6)60% · 33%
■ Sloboda   ■ Drina
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sloboda wins
0
Drina wins
No previous meetings.
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26APodgorica112-96
28/10/26HSlavija70-72
24/10/26AGradina Tesanj91-66
20/10/26HTFT Skopje106-61
16/10/26HIgman105-86
09/10/26ABasket Zivinice95-82
03/10/26HOrlovik81-84
25/05/26AKK Bosna45-88
23/05/26HKK Bosna66-73
20/05/26ABorac Banja Luka63-57
Drinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HMrkonjic Grad99-72
01/11/26HLeotar Trebinje68-70
25/10/26ASiroki Brijeg57-87
17/10/26HSlavija89-83
11/10/26AGradina Tesanj73-87
03/10/26HIgman76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sloboda
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game88.485.393.0
Allowed / game78.080.774.0
Point differential+10.4+4.7+19.0
Avg total166.4166.0167.0
Over 161.560%67%50%
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drina
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.083.065.0
Allowed / game81.278.287.0
Point differential-4.2+4.8-22.0
Avg total158.2161.2152.0
Over 161.550%75%0%
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zivinice65183%76.271.5+4.7
2 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
3 Slavija64267%85.581.8+3.7
4 Orlovik64267%81.578.5+3.0
5 Leotar Trebinje64267%69.771.7-2.0
6 Sloboda53260%88.478.0+10.4
7 Borac Banja Luka74357%80.075.9+4.1
8 Igman74357%86.785.9+0.9
9 Zrinjski Mostar63350%77.573.7+3.8
10 Drina62433%77.081.2-4.2
11 Gradina Tesanj62433%75.080.3-5.3
12 Radnicki Gorazde61517%81.887.3-5.5
13 Promo61517%68.578.7-10.2
14 Mrkonjic Grad61517%72.785.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sloboda2415241780
Drina1020171966
← all games of the day
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