
Podgorica hosts Sloboda in the ABA League 2 on 3 November 2026, with Sloboda the favourite as the model assigns a 71% chance of victory against Podgorica's 29% win probability, and a projected score of 76-83. Podgorica, positioned 14th after a 0-1 record, averages 64.0 points scored and 76.0 points allowed per game, while Sloboda, 1st place with a 1-0 record, averages 106.0 points scored and 61.0 points allowed. In recent form, Podgorica has won 2 of its last 5 games, including a 86-78 home win over Jedinstvo, but has also suffered losses to Hercegovac and Mornar Bar, whereas Sloboda has won 4 of 5, highlighted by a 106-61 home victory over TFT Skopje and a 91-66 away win against Gradina Tesanj, though a narrow 70-72 home loss to Slavija remains. Their head-to-head history is even, with each side winning one of the two meetings, the most recent being Sloboda's 91-56 win on 21 October 2025. The model sets the home line at 6.5 with a 50% probability that Podgorica covers, and the total line at 158.5 with a 51% chance of the over, while the chance of overtime is 5%. The game will hinge on whether Sloboda can maintain its high scoring output against Podgorica's defensive resilience.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 64.0 | 76.0 | 140.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 64.0 | 76.0 | 140.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.7 | 83.1 | 169.8 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.6 | 88.0 | 174.6 | -1.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 74.6 | 83.0 | 157.6 | -8.4 | 12% |
| vs Similar (9) | 80.3 | 80.3 | 160.7 | +0.0 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 84.8 | 76.1 | 160.9 | +8.8 | 77% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 106.0 | 61.0 | 167.0 | +45.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 106.0 | 61.0 | 167.0 | +45.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 79.9 | 74.1 | 154.0 | +5.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.4 | 73.4 | 166.8 | +20.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 73.2 | 80.0 | 153.2 | -6.8 | 40% |
| vs Similar (8) | 78.8 | 80.5 | 159.2 | -1.8 | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 86.7 | 75.4 | 162.1 | +11.4 | 76% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 37.4 | 77.1 | +2.4 | 53% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.2 | 38.9 | 80.1 | +2.3 | 53% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.3 | 35.8 | 74.1 | +2.5 | 53% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 40.3 | 83.3 | +2.7 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.4 | 40.4 | 83.8 | +3.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 35.9 | 39.8 | 75.6 | -3.9 | 25% | 38% |
| vs Similar (9) | 40.9 | 37.9 | 78.8 | +3.0 | 56% | 56% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 41.3 | 35.5 | 76.8 | +5.8 | 69% | 54% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 37.9 | 79.8 | +4.0 | 67% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.7 | 36.1 | 78.8 | +6.7 | 73% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 39.7 | 80.7 | +1.4 | 60% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.7 | 35.7 | 76.4 | +5.0 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.2 | 36.0 | 82.2 | +10.2 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 38.4 | 36.8 | 75.2 | +1.6 | 60% | 40% |
| vs Similar (8) | 40.1 | 38.2 | 78.4 | +1.9 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 43.8 | 38.0 | 81.8 | +5.8 | 76% | 59% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sloboda +4 | 81.2% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Won |
| Sloboda +3.5 | 79.2% | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +21.9pp | Won |
| Sloboda +3 | 78.7% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +19.4pp | Won |
| Sloboda +2 | 76.1% | 1.66 | 1.77 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Sloboda +2.5 | 76.9% | 1.39 | 1.50 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +16.4pp | Won |
| Sloboda +1.5 | 73.5% | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.58 | 1.34 | +16.0pp | Won |
| Sloboda +1 | 72.9% | 1.63 | 1.73 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| Sloboda -1 | 70.5% | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.59 | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Sloboda win | 71.2% | 1.51 | 1.64 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.51 | 1.49 | +8.5pp | Won |
| Sloboda over 76.5 | 73.0% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Sloboda over 75.5 | 76.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Podgorica under 83.5 | 75.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Podgorica under 82.5 | 72.6% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.0 | 22.0 | 52.7% | 44.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.1 | 7.4 | 33.2% | 22.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.6 | 16.8 | 70.8% | 16.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.2 | 19.4 | 52.7% | 38.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.3 | 7.9 | 33.2% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.0 | 15.8 | 70.8% | 15.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/10/25 | Sloboda v Podgorica | 91-56 |
| 24/03/21 | Sloboda v Podgorica | 51-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/26 | A | Hercegovac | 64-76 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Mornar Bar | 109-117 OT |
| 26/03/26 | H | Jedinstvo | 86-78 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Decic | 84-85 |
| 15/03/26 | H | Primorje | 90-84 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Studentski Centar | 92-73 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Tivat | 82-73 |
| 03/03/26 | H | Helios Domzale | 93-99 OT |
| 15/02/26 | A | Vukovi Zeta | 86-79 |
| 11/02/26 | H | Ibar Rozaje | 81-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 | H | Slavija | 70-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Gradina Tesanj | 91-66 |
| 20/10/26 | H | TFT Skopje | 106-61 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Igman | 105-86 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Basket Zivinice | 95-82 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Orlovik | 81-84 |
| 25/05/26 | A | KK Bosna | 45-88 |
| 23/05/26 | H | KK Bosna | 66-73 |
| 20/05/26 | A | Borac Banja Luka | 63-57 |
| 17/05/26 | H | Jahorina | 77-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 64.0 | - | 64.0 |
| Allowed / game | 76.0 | - | 76.0 |
| Point differential | -12.0 | - | -12.0 |
| Avg total | 140.0 | - | 140.0 |
| Over 158.5 | 0% | - | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 106.0 | 106.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 61.0 | 61.0 | - |
| Point differential | +45.0 | +45.0 | - |
| Avg total | 167.0 | 167.0 | - |
| Over 158.5 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 106.0 | 61.0 | +45.0 | |
| 2 | Hercegovac | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 64.0 | +12.0 |
| 3 | Zlatibor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 89.0 | +11.0 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 77.5 | +8.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 77.5 | 69.0 | +8.5 | |
| 6 | Primorje | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 94.5 | 91.0 | +3.5 |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 78.5 | 75.0 | +3.5 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 79.0 | 81.5 | -2.5 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 74.0 | 77.0 | -3.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 71.5 | 79.5 | -8.0 | |
| 11 | Sloboda Uzice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 78.0 | -2.0 |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 70.5 | 77.0 | -6.5 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 67.5 | 76.5 | -9.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 75.0 | 85.0 | -10.0 | |
| 15 | Podgorica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 76.0 | -12.0 |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 61.0 | 106.0 | -45.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podgorica | 25 | 27 | 21 | 23 | 96 |
| 20 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 112 |
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