PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sloboda vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-73
21-18 12-15 30-20 25-20
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game75.0
Sloboda 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record2-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeABA League 2Round 4· Veliki Park Sports Hall
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SlobodaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Hercegovac
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
59avg 78
H08/11
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
83avg 78
A10/11
ABA League 2
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
104-77
104
77
+27
104avg 78
H12/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 78
A15/11
Prvenstvo BiH
OKK Beograd
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
96avg 78
A17/11
First League
Slavija
#9
W
97-81
97
81
+16
85avg 78
H22/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Mladost Zemun
#14
L
87-89
87
89
-2
73avg 78
A24/11
First League
Dynamic
#13
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H01/12
First League
Basket Zivinice
#11
W
82-65
82
65
+17
78avg 78
H05/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Sombor BC
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
75avg 78
A06/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
18-16
10-19
24-17
26-22
21-18
22-30
15-17
31-25
29-18
26-13
18-21
23-19
15-18
27-12
14-25
28-22
27-21
25-28
25-27
29-20
21-19
31-16
16-26
19-28
25-22
24-20
19-19
26-14
19-25
26-20
29-26
26-22
13-19
25-12
18-12
16-17
31-9
12-30
20-16
168.0Avg total
88.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.075.0160.0+10.033%
Season at home (1)91.056.0147.0+35.0100%
Season away (2)82.084.5166.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)88.779.3168.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)89.078.4167.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.079.0144.0-14.00%
vs Similar (9)75.180.2155.3-5.122%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.777.8165.5+9.979%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
83avg 66
A20/10
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
75-71
75
71
+4
60avg 66
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 66
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
77-91
77
91
-14
56avg 66
A29/10
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 66
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
97-67
97
67
+30
97avg 66
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Vrsac
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 66
H12/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
63avg 66
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
100-89
100
89
+11
84avg 66
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
24-20
20-19
13-18
21-18
11-27
11-20
32-6
29-19
24-22
22-20
16-18
16-20
20-30
18-21
23-20
22-15
12-19
19-31
18-18
23-16
24-15
31-12
19-24
16-19
21-22
20-17
23-18
22-20
12-15
17-27
20-21
25-13
19-20
25-22
13-29
32-30
31-26
18-17
19-16
161.6Avg total
82.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.078.7158.7+1.367%
Season at home (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)77.091.0168.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.579.1161.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)86.079.8165.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.293.3168.4-18.15%
vs Similar (4)90.075.2165.2+14.8100%
vs Weaker (5)80.077.0157.0+3.060%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
SlobodaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hercegovac
#3
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H08/11
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A10/11
ABA League 2
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H12/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/11
Prvenstvo BiH
OKK Beograd
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A17/11
First League
Slavija
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Mladost Zemun
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/11
First League
Dynamic
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/12
First League
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H05/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Sombor BC
#16
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A06/12
First League
84.8Avg total
46.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.679.9+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.336.677.9+4.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.240.481.6+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)46.138.784.8+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.538.573.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (9)36.037.673.6-1.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.439.283.6+5.374%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A20/10
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A29/10
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Vrsac
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H12/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A06/12
Prva A Liga
82.5Avg total
42.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.981.4-4.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.342.482.7-2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.643.580.1-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.782.5+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.284.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.645.180.8-9.525%-
vs Similar (4)46.540.587.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker (5)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.0
57.9%
55.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.9
34.3%
33.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.512.8
59.5%
72.6%12.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.6
52.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
33.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.813.6
68.7%
72.6%13.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sloboda
WWWLWWWWLW
Mornar Bar
WLLWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#14
+9.5
Net rating
-15.5
110.1
Offensive rating
98.8
100.5
Defensive rating
114.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.3%
3-point %
31.6%
57.7%
Assist %
53.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 98.8Defence100.5 · 114.3Shooting55.1% · 50.1%3-point %34.3% · 31.6%Ball care18.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.7% · 23.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Sloboda   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sloboda wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
No previous meetings.
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ASombor BC79-72
05/12/25HBasket Zivinice82-65
01/12/25HDynamic100-85
24/11/25AMladost Zemun87-89
22/11/25HSlavija97-81
17/11/25AOKK Beograd105-98
15/11/25AStudent Igokea79-74
12/11/25HMrkonjic Grad104-77
10/11/25AVojvodina Novi Sad84-87
08/11/25HHercegovac70-65
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AJedinstvo100-89
21/11/25HDecic82-84
16/11/25APrimorje71-83
12/11/25HVrsac80-76
08/11/25HStudentski Centar97-67
01/11/25ATivat71-83
29/10/25AJahorina77-91
25/10/25HVukovi Zeta91-79
22/10/25HUlcinj75-71
20/10/25AIbar Rozaje81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sloboda
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game85.091.082.0
Allowed / game75.056.084.5
Point differential+10.0+35.0-2.5
Avg total160.0147.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.081.577.0
Allowed / game78.772.591.0
Point differential+1.3+9.0-14.0
Avg total158.7154.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg43175%90.080.0+10.0
2 MZT Skopje43175%83.276.2+7.0
3 Helios Domzale43175%80.574.5+6.0
4 Zlatibor43175%89.284.0+5.2
5 Borac Banja Luka43175%80.275.8+4.5
6 Sutjeska43175%84.281.0+3.2
7 Mornar Bar32167%80.078.7+1.3
8 Student Igokea42250%80.077.8+2.2
9 Vojvodina Novi Sad42250%83.082.8+0.2
10 TFT Skopje42250%78.579.5-1.0
11 Jahorina42250%85.889.2-3.5
12 Sloboda31233%85.075.0+10.0
13 Vrsac41325%81.287.5-6.2
14 Primorje41325%77.286.8-9.5
15 Radnicki4040%78.892.0-13.2
16 Podgorica4040%69.082.5-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sloboda2112302588
Mornar Bar1815202073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.