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Sloboda vs Primorje Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-64
21-16 18-15 22-16 23-17
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game74.5
Sloboda 🏆
vs
Primorje
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game86.8
EuropeABA League 2Round 5· Veliki Park Sports Hall
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Primorje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SlobodaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Slavija
#9
W
97-81
97
81
+16
85avg 78
H22/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Mladost Zemun
#14
L
87-89
87
89
-2
73avg 78
A24/11
First League
Dynamic
#13
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H01/12
First League
Basket Zivinice
#11
W
82-65
82
65
+17
78avg 78
H05/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Sombor BC
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
75avg 78
A06/12
First League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
87avg 78
H10/12
ABA League 2
KK Metalac
#10
W
100-67
100
67
+33
100avg 78
H12/12
First League
Siroki Brijeg
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
76avg 78
A13/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
105avg 78
H18/12
Prvenstvo BiH
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 78
A20/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
21-19
31-16
16-26
19-28
25-22
24-20
19-19
26-14
19-25
26-20
29-26
26-22
13-19
25-12
18-12
16-17
31-9
12-30
20-16
21-18
12-15
30-20
25-20
30-13
24-21
26-18
20-15
23-15
24-25
15-30
27-22
21-18
30-20
24-20
22-16
20-20
13-20
20-25
29-26
169.0Avg total
90.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.874.5160.2+11.250%
Season at home (2)89.564.5154.0+25.0100%
Season away (2)82.084.5166.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)90.178.9169.0+11.270%
Last 5 (5)91.279.4170.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.582.0157.5-6.50%
vs Similar (8)73.680.9154.5-7.212%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.176.1164.2+12.075%
This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrimorjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrimorje
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
97-88
97
88
+9
94avg 87
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 87
H05/11
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
L
90-94
90
94
-4
90avg 87
A10/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 87
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
56-86
56
86
-30
44avg 87
A19/11
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
85-61
85
61
+24
94avg 87
A24/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 87
H05/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 87
A09/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 87
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H20/12
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
22-18
22-22
26-28
26-20
18-21
10-21
21-24
19-21
30-19
18-33
23-21
20-22
15-12
27-17
21-20
16-27
12-16
17-19
11-24
23-10
21-14
18-26
23-11
27-17
25-18
14-29
26-22
18-20
32-20
19-10
16-22
17-18
23-29
26-18
23-28
25-19
18-12
27-17
21-20
164.8Avg total
84.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.286.8164.0-9.525%
Season at home (2)85.581.0166.5+4.550%
Season away (2)69.092.5161.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)84.380.5164.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)88.476.0164.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.388.9168.1-9.614%
vs Similar (5)91.490.6182.0+0.840%
vs Weaker (17)94.678.8173.4+15.994%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
SlobodaPrimorje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slavija
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Mladost Zemun
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/11
First League
Dynamic
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/12
First League
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H05/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Sombor BC
#16
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A06/12
First League
Mornar Bar
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/12
ABA League 2
KK Metalac
#10
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H12/12
First League
Siroki Brijeg
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A13/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H18/12
Prvenstvo BiH
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/12
First League
82.3Avg total
44.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.536.679.1+5.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.080.3+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.082.3+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.080.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.037.076.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (8)34.838.573.2-3.812%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.438.482.7+6.070%-
This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrimorjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/11
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A19/11
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A24/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H05/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A09/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/12
Prva A Liga
80.7Avg total
43.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.586.3+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.838.286.1+9.681%-
Last 30 away (14)43.443.186.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.437.380.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.481.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.345.684.9-6.329%-
vs Similar (5)45.844.490.2+1.440%-
vs Weaker (17)49.036.785.7+12.394%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.4
58.6%
55.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.8
41.3%
33.1%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.511.3
64.6%
72.6%11.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Primorjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Primorje: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.5
56.5%
55.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.6%
33.1%23.2
🏀 Free throws22.214.5
65.2%
72.6%14.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sloboda
LWLWWWWWLW
Primorje
WLWWWLWLLW
#8
League position
#11
+16.5
Net rating
-12.4
119.3
Offensive rating
105.5
102.8
Defensive rating
117.9
60.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
41.3%
3-point %
31.6%
59.1%
Assist %
49.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 105.5Defence102.8 · 117.9Shooting60.1% · 52.8%3-point %41.3% · 31.6%Ball care16.9% · 19.1%Off. rebounds32.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sloboda   ■ Primorje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sloboda wins
0
Primorje wins
No previous meetings.
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ABKK Radnicki82-91
18/12/25HZrinjski Mostar97-74
13/12/25ASiroki Brijeg89-92
12/12/25HKK Metalac100-67
10/12/25HMornar Bar88-73
06/12/25ASombor BC79-72
05/12/25HBasket Zivinice82-65
01/12/25HDynamic100-85
24/11/25AMladost Zemun87-89
22/11/25HSlavija97-81
Primorjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HPodgorica91-68
14/12/25ASutjeska89-93
09/12/25AUlcinj85-72
05/12/25HKotor92-86
24/11/25ALovcen Cetinje85-61
19/11/25AHelios Domzale56-86
16/11/25HMornar Bar83-71
10/11/25AJedinstvo90-94
05/11/25HSiroki Brijeg75-86
01/11/25HDecic97-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sloboda
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.889.582.0
Allowed / game74.564.584.5
Point differential+11.2+25.0-2.5
Avg total160.2154.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Primorje
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.285.569.0
Allowed / game86.881.092.5
Point differential-9.5+4.5-23.5
Avg total164.0166.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg54180%92.476.6+15.8
2 Zlatibor54180%91.882.0+9.8
3 Helios Domzale54180%83.475.0+8.4
4 Borac Banja Luka43175%80.275.8+4.5
5 Sutjeska43175%84.281.0+3.2
6 Vojvodina Novi Sad53260%81.879.6+2.2
7 MZT Skopje53260%81.481.4+0.0
8 Sloboda42250%85.874.5+11.2
9 TFT Skopje42250%78.579.5-1.0
10 Jahorina42250%85.889.2-3.5
11 Student Igokea52340%80.881.8-1.0
12 Vrsac52340%84.686.8-2.2
13 Mornar Bar52340%75.285.2-10.0
14 Primorje41325%77.286.8-9.5
15 Podgorica5050%68.681.4-12.8
16 Radnicki5050%78.492.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sloboda2118222384
Primorje1615161764
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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