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Slovenia vs Israel Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-79
8-20 32-17 25-16 23-26
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Arena Bonifika
Other2023
Meetings · Slovenia v Israel
25 Feb 2024
SLOV88
ISRA79
27 Feb 2023
SLOV79
ISRA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovenia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
71-100
71
100
-29
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
W
87-73
87
73
+14
86avg 86
H22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
22-20
25-13
16-32
31-33
25-18
22-12
22-22
16-17
29-16
18-17
25-17
24-21
21-17
24-17
23-22
28-18
21-22
17-22
25-18
25-11
9-27
18-30
19-32
24-26
26-24
21-30
18-20
21-33
22-20
20-22
21-25
15-18
27-23
28-19
19-25
21-22
18-18
25-13
23-20
172.4Avg total
87.0Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.073.0160.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)87.073.0160.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.085.4172.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.091.6175.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.290.8172.0-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.183.2170.3+3.967%
vs Weaker (9)90.380.3170.7+10.067%
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A05/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#24
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 63
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
24-13
21-18
18-21
18-18
14-22
18-11
24-16
16-23
17-16
23-29
20-17
18-24
20-26
20-15
20-24
17-26
20-27
25-14
15-21
18-15
16-23
17-18
11-19
16-17
24-20
8-16
20-18
28-13
18-22
24-25
13-23
22-16
20-22
13-25
32-16
19-19
19-17
18-17
16-17
158.6Avg total
77.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.070.0142.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)72.070.0142.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.880.8158.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)76.878.4155.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.285.0165.2-4.827%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.179.4157.5-1.340%
vs Weaker (9)80.173.7153.8+6.478%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
SloveniaIsrael
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H26/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A28/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H01/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/02
EuroBasket
86.7Avg total
44.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.585.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.544.289.7+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.538.880.3+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.686.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.942.585.4+0.560%-
vs Weaker (9)45.840.085.8+5.878%-
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A03/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A05/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A08/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#24
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A22/02
EuroBasket
78.6Avg total
38.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.378.4-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.940.979.7-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.877.2-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.876.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.842.880.6-5.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.138.675.7-1.540%-
vs Weaker (9)39.439.178.6+0.356%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀23%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀36%
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws31.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
50.6%20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.012.0
44.4%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws41.031.0
75.6%
71.4%31.0
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.0
52.9%
50.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.05.0
22.7%
32.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws28.019.0
67.9%
71.4%19.0
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Slovenia
WWLLLWWWWL
Israel
WWLLLLLLWW
#11
League position
#5
+21.5
Net rating
+0.0
116.7
Offensive rating
93.3
95.3
Defensive rating
93.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
45.5%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
40.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
24.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.76
Free-throw rate
0.50
44.4%
3-point %
22.7%
86.4%
Assist %
52.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 93.3Defence95.3 · 93.3Shooting51.9% · 45.5%3-point %44.4% · 22.7%Ball care17.8% · 24.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 32.4%Free throws0.76 · 0.50Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Slovenia   ■ Israel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Slovenia wins
1
Israel wins
DateGameScore
27/02/23Slovenia v Israel79-87
11/11/22Israel v Slovenia62-75
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HUkraine87-73
09/09/23AItaly89-85
07/09/23ALithuania84-100
06/09/23ACanada89-100
03/09/23AGermany71-100
01/09/23HAustralia91-80
30/08/23HCape Verde92-77
28/08/23AGeorgia88-67
26/08/23HVenezuela100-85
27/02/23HIsrael79-87
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24APortugal72-70
27/02/23ASlovenia87-79
24/02/23HFinland95-97 OT
14/11/22ASweden68-71
11/11/22HSlovenia62-75
08/09/22ACzech Republic77-88
06/09/22HSerbia78-89
05/09/22APoland76-85
03/09/22ANetherlands74-67
02/09/22HFinland89-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Slovenia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Israel
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game72.0-72.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Slovenia110100%87.073.0+14.0
5 Sweden110100%84.070.0+14.0
6 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
7 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
10 Italy110100%87.080.0+7.0
11 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
12 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
13 Israel110100%72.070.0+2.0
14 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
15 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
16 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
17 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
18 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
19 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
20 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
21 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
22 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
23 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
24 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
31 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
32 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
33 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
34 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
35 Hungary1010%65.070.0-5.0
36 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
39 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
40 Montenegro1010%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Slovenia832252388
Israel2017162679
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