PythiaBasketballBETA
European Championship WomenRound 3· Sportna dvorana Kodeljevo
Slovenia W will host Austria W on 17 November 2026 in the European Championship Women, with the Pythia model designating Slovenia W as the favourite thanks to a 90% win probability that reflects their 5-3 record, 75.8 points per game and 70.1 points allowed per game, both better than Austria W's 5-3 record, 73.9 points per game and 70.2 points allowed per game. Slovenia W has gone undefeated at home, 4-0 with 82.0 points per game and 66.0 points allowed, while Austria W has a 2-1 road record, 83.0 points per game and 71.7 points allowed. Slovenia's last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent 70-64 victory over Latvia W at home, whereas Austria's last five contain two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 79-66 win over Switzerland W at home. The teams have met once before, with Slovenia winning that encounter. Pythia projects a 81-66 scoreline, 147.1 total points, and a 90% chance that Slovenia will win, while Austria has a 10% chance of victory; the model also estimates a 2% overtime probability. The home team's line is 81-66, and the probability that Slovenia covers it is 90%.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 75.8 | 70.1 | 145.9 | +5.6 | 62% |
| Season at home (4) | 82.0 | 66.0 | 148.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 69.5 | 74.2 | 143.8 | -4.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.6 | 70.7 | 146.3 | +4.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.2 | 68.8 | 142.0 | +4.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 69.6 | 71.8 | 141.4 | -2.1 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 67.9 | 77.2 | 145.1 | -9.4 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 87.4 | 63.3 | 150.6 | +24.1 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 73.9 | 70.2 | 144.1 | +3.6 | 62% |
| Season at home (5) | 68.4 | 69.4 | 137.8 | -1.0 | 60% |
| Season away (3) | 83.0 | 71.7 | 154.7 | +11.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.3 | 70.3 | 139.6 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.2 | 71.0 | 140.2 | -1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 54.6 | 73.0 | 127.6 | -18.4 | 8% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 78.0 | 82.0 | 160.0 | -4.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 80.0 | 61.5 | 141.5 | +18.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.0 | 35.9 | 73.9 | +2.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.0 | 33.4 | 71.4 | +4.6 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.1 | 38.3 | 76.4 | -0.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.1 | 35.6 | 73.7 | +2.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.6 | 34.8 | 73.4 | +3.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 35.0 | 35.4 | 70.4 | -0.4 | 38% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 33.5 | 42.0 | 75.5 | -8.5 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker (14) | 42.4 | 32.6 | 75.0 | +9.7 | 71% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (18) | 31.8 | 36.6 | 68.4 | -4.8 | 28% | - |
| Last 30 at home (10) | 33.6 | 37.8 | 71.4 | -4.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 away (8) | 29.6 | 35.1 | 64.8 | -5.5 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.2 | 35.7 | 70.9 | -0.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.2 | 36.8 | 75.0 | +1.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 27.2 | 38.4 | 65.7 | -11.2 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 36.0 | 36.0 | 72.0 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 43.5 | 31.5 | 75.0 | +12.0 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 18.3 | 52.2% | - | 36.7 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 9.4 | 37.6% | - | 28.3 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.2 | 11.7 | 71.9% | - | 11.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.8 | 12.2 | 34.9% | - | 24.3 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.7 | 6.3 | 25.7% | - | 19.0 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 11.8 | 9.0 | 76.1% | - | 9.0 |
Slovenia W
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Latvia W | 70-64 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Italy W | 62-67 |
| 17/03/26 | H | Netherlands W | 97-80 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Estonia W | 84-54 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Latvia W | 53-79 |
| 18/11/25 | A | Netherlands W | 76-86 |
| 15/11/25 | A | Estonia W | 87-65 |
| 12/11/25 | H | Latvia W | 77-66 |
| 21/06/25 | H | Serbia W | 84-69 |
| 19/06/25 | A | Italy W | 66-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Italy W | 49-71 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Latvia W | 66-81 |
| 17/03/26 | H | Switzerland W | 79-66 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Great Britain W | 71-83 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Norway W | 81-54 |
| 18/11/25 | A | Switzerland W | 97-78 |
| 15/11/25 | H | Great Britain W | 85-81 |
| 12/11/25 | H | Norway W | 63-48 |
| 09/02/25 | A | Croatia W | 57-65 |
| 06/02/25 | H | Spain W | 45-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLW | 62% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 62% | 100% | 25% |
| Points / game | 75.8 | 82.0 | 69.5 |
| Allowed / game | 70.1 | 66.0 | 74.2 |
| Point differential | +5.6 | +16.0 | -4.8 |
| Avg total | 145.9 | 148.0 | 143.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 62% |
| Home | WWWLL | 60% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 62% | 60% | 67% |
| Points / game | 73.9 | 68.4 | 83.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.2 | 69.4 | 71.7 |
| Point differential | +3.6 | -1.0 | +11.3 |
| Avg total | 144.1 | 137.8 | 154.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 102.0 | 53.0 | +49.0 |
| 2 |  Serbia W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 82.8 | 65.0 | +17.8 |
| 3 |  Italy W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 69.0 | 55.5 | +13.5 |
| 4 |  Turkey W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 77.5 | 64.5 | +13.0 |
| 5 |  Spain W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 67.5 | +11.5 |
| 6 |  Hungary W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 67.5 | 60.0 | +7.5 |
| 7 |  Poland W | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 75.4 | 53.2 | +22.1 |
| 8 |  Bulgaria W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 88.6 | 63.1 | +25.5 |
| 9 |  Latvia W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 77.9 | 64.2 | +13.6 |
| 10 |  Israel W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 82.4 | 71.2 | +11.1 |
| 11 |  Great Britain W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 78.4 | 71.0 | +7.4 |
| 12 |  Belgium W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 86.0 | 74.3 | +11.7 |
| 13 |  Lithuania W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.0 | 70.0 | +8.0 |
| 14 |  Finland W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.0 | 82.3 | -4.3 |
| 15 |  Montenegro W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 74.6 | 62.0 | +12.6 |
| 16 |  Greece W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 89.5 | 77.4 | +12.1 |
| 17 |  Croatia W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 80.2 | 73.0 | +7.2 |
| 18 | Slovenia W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 75.8 | 70.1 | +5.6 |
| 19 | Austria W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 73.9 | 70.2 | +3.6 |
| 20 |  Ukraine W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 72.0 | 66.4 | +5.6 |
| 21 |  Germany W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 76.0 | 70.5 | +5.5 |
| 22 |  Slovakia W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 70.1 | 64.6 | +5.5 |
| 23 |  Netherlands W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.1 | 78.0 | +1.1 |
| 24 |  Denmark W | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 83.2 | 79.6 | +3.6 |
| 25 |  Luxembourg W | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 65.0 | 70.4 | -5.4 |
| 26 |  Portugal W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 67.3 | 67.8 | -0.5 |
| 27 |  Switzerland W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 69.7 | 73.2 | -3.5 |
| 28 |  Ireland W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 73.5 | 80.3 | -6.8 |
| 29 |  Romania W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 58.7 | 75.0 | -16.3 |
| 30 |  Iceland W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 84.0 | -19.8 |
| 31 | Bosnia & Herzegovina W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 71.2 | 85.8 | -14.7 |
| 32 |  North Macedonia W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 62.5 | 96.5 | -34.0 |
| 33 |  Czech Republic W | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 70.0 | 77.5 | -7.5 |
| 34 | Sweden W | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 73.3 | 88.7 | -15.3 |
| 35 |  Estonia W | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 62.0 | 86.8 | -24.8 |
| 36 |  Norway W | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 51.0 | 75.8 | -24.8 |
| 37 |  Cyprus W | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 54.2 | 80.2 | -26.0 |
| 38 |  Azerbaijan W | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 45.7 | 105.0 | -59.3 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.