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Slovenia W vs Netherlands W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-80
20-28 28-18 25-14 24-20
Position#18
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#23
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Sportna dvorana Kodeljevo
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovenia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Slovenia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#23
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
96-47
96
47
+49
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 76
H18/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
63avg 76
A19/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
93avg 76
H21/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
87-65
87
65
+22
no box
A15/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A18/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
53-79
53
79
-26
no box
A11/03
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
84-54
84
54
+30
no box
H14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-21
23-17
25-21
21-14
18-14
33-4
24-15
19-27
15-15
21-16
16-19
17-22
5-23
26-16
18-16
30-23
19-10
20-18
15-18
12-19
20-14
22-19
23-14
33-17
14-12
17-16
23-20
19-21
19-21
13-25
25-19
21-20
17-18
7-27
8-14
15-9
26-16
27-19
16-10
149.1Avg total
78.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.470.0145.4+5.460%
Season at home (2)80.560.0140.5+20.5100%
Season away (3)72.076.7148.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)78.870.3149.1+8.560%
Last 5 (5)75.470.0145.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.873.8144.7-3.050%
vs Similar (8)67.977.2145.1-9.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.662.6148.2+23.175%
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Netherlands WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Croatia W
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
59-66
59
66
-7
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
92-54
92
54
+38
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
62-89
62
89
-27
no box
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H18/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H11/03
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
no box
H14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
15-26
15-6
13-18
7-16
18-15
16-19
18-16
25-23
11-10
17-6
20-18
19-19
20-29
16-19
10-25
15-19
16-17
13-28
20-17
23-19
18-13
25-20
26-2
15-18
15-25
13-21
19-25
21-19
21-19
25-13
19-25
15-20
18-20
30-21
24-16
19-16
10-17
15-21
20-19
145.5Avg total
70.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.273.8152.0+4.460%
Season at home (3)79.075.3154.3+3.767%
Season away (2)77.071.5148.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)70.974.6145.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)78.273.8152.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.875.0139.8-10.225%
vs Similar (2)57.072.5129.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (6)76.258.2134.3+18.0100%
This opponent (Slovenia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Slovenia WNetherlands W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Slovenia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#23
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A19/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H21/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A15/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A18/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H14/03
European Championship Women
74.6Avg total
38.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.373.6+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.131.970.0+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.677.2+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.074.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.472.6+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.736.372.0-0.733%-
vs Similar (8)33.542.075.5-8.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.831.573.2+10.275%-
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Netherlands WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia W
#8
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H18/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/03
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H14/03
European Championship Women
72.6Avg total
33.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)31.734.566.2-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.633.566.1-0.930%-
Last 30 away (10)30.835.466.2-4.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.172.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.272.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.836.967.7-6.225%-
vs Similar (2)32.032.564.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)33.530.263.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Slovenia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Slovenia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia W: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.3
52.2%
-36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.6%
-28.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
71.9%
-11.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlands Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands W: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.7
43.8%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.8
25.4%
-17.5
🏀 Free throws17.310.2
58.7%
-10.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Slovenia W
WLLWWWLLWW
Netherlands W
LWWLWLLWLL
#18
League position
#23
+13.1
Net rating
-8.7
106.1
Offensive rating
86.3
93.0
Defensive rating
95.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
41.7%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
23.0%
Turnover %
22.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.6%
3-point %
25.4%
84.0%
Assist %
80.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Slovenia W   ■ Netherlands W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Slovenia W wins
1
Netherlands W wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Netherlands W v Slovenia W86-76
Slovenia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HEstonia W84-54
11/03/26ALatvia W53-79
18/11/25ANetherlands W76-86
15/11/25AEstonia W87-65
12/11/25HLatvia W77-66
21/06/25HSerbia W84-69
19/06/25AItaly W66-77
18/06/25HLithuania W71-77
09/02/25HFinland W96-47
06/02/25ABulgaria W94-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HLatvia W64-73
11/03/26HEstonia W87-77
18/11/25HSlovenia W86-76
15/11/25ALatvia W62-89
12/11/25AEstonia W92-54
09/02/25HSpain W64-81
06/02/25HCroatia W65-92
10/11/24AAustria W73-57
07/11/24ASpain W59-66
12/11/23ACroatia W57-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Slovenia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game75.480.572.0
Allowed / game70.060.076.7
Point differential+5.4+20.5-4.7
Avg total145.4140.5148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Netherlands W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.279.077.0
Allowed / game73.875.371.5
Point differential+4.4+3.7+5.5
Avg total152.0154.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Poland W550100%76.450.6+25.8
2 Serbia W440100%81.058.5+22.5
3 Israel W660100%88.069.8+18.2
4 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
5 Bulgaria W65183%92.357.7+34.7
6 Latvia W54180%79.260.6+18.6
7 Great Britain W54180%83.465.2+18.2
8 Austria W54180%79.468.8+10.6
9 Montenegro W64267%79.060.2+18.8
10 Greece W64267%90.777.5+13.2
11 Slovakia W53260%68.656.8+11.8
12 Luxembourg W53260%69.263.6+5.6
13 Slovenia W53260%75.470.0+5.4
14 Croatia W53260%79.074.2+4.8
15 Netherlands W53260%78.273.8+4.4
16 Denmark W63350%88.878.3+10.5
17 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
18 Ukraine W63350%71.565.7+5.8
19 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
20 Switzerland W52340%70.472.0-1.6
21 Romania W52340%59.474.2-14.8
22 Portugal W31233%69.772.7-3.0
23 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%69.288.4-19.2
27 Cyprus W5050%55.478.2-22.8
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Norway W5050%50.277.4-27.2
30 Estonia W5050%59.487.8-28.4
31 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Slovenia W2028252497
Netherlands W2818142080
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