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SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-71
28-34 48-37
Position#44
Record20-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game67.2
SMU Mustangs 🏆
USA
vs
Cincinnati
USA
Position#174
Record17-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati
14 Jan 2023
SMU 52
CINC54
03 Mar 2022
SMU 76
CINC71
12 Mar 2021
SMU 71
CINC74
07 Jan 2021
SMU 69
CINC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#78
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A21/01
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A27/01
NCAA
Temple
#137
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A05/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H10/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#201
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A12/02
NCAA
Temple
#137
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H20/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H24/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-21
38-41
36-25
38-29
31-28
38-33
23-39
34-33
40-51
45-32
33-30
47-36
28-22
29-42
37-32
36-25
30-27
45-34
22-37
39-38
135.6Avg total
70.1Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.467.2141.6+7.274%
Season at home (15)78.264.8143.0+13.493%
Season away (12)69.770.2139.9-0.650%
Last 10 (10)70.165.5135.6+4.670%
Last 5 (5)69.264.6133.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.079.0152.0-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.065.8138.8+7.283%
vs Weaker (21)74.666.3140.9+8.371%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#201
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H06/02
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A10/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H16/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H18/02
NCAA
Temple
#137
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H20/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A24/02
NCAA
South Florida
#332
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-26
28-33
31-42
27-38
35-26
35-33
34-39
43-44
26-41
48-40
42-35
43-41
33-47
38-28
25-38
36-37
27-25
27-31
34-38
19-33
137.8Avg total
66.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.765.6135.3+4.157%
Season at home (19)72.763.3135.9+9.468%
Season away (11)64.569.6134.1-5.236%
Last 10 (10)66.371.5137.8-5.230%
Last 5 (5)64.870.6135.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.374.7134.0-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.766.4135.1+2.347%
vs Weaker (11)73.662.8136.5+10.882%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -1.4-1.4
SMU MustangsCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#78
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A21/01
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A27/01
NCAA
Temple
#137
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A05/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H10/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#201
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Temple
#137
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A27/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
31.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.867.1+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.330.868.1+6.575%-
Last 30 away (14)33.033.066.0+0.057%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.262.4+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)30.029.659.6+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.028.865.8+8.283%-
vs Weaker (21)34.930.865.7+4.171%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#201
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A30/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H06/02
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A10/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H16/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Temple
#137
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H20/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A24/02
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/03
NCAA
67.6Avg total
31.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.565.3+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.130.865.9+4.279%-
Last 30 away (11)31.532.764.2-1.345%-
Last 10 (10)31.935.767.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.668.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.735.367.0-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.734.166.9-1.453%-
vs Weaker (11)35.627.963.5+7.791%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
4
Cincinnati wins
DateGameScore
07/01/22Cincinnati v SMU Mustangs77-60
12/03/21SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati71-74
08/01/21SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati69-76
29/01/20Cincinnati v SMU Mustangs65-43
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22AHouston61-75
24/02/22HTulsa75-61
20/02/22HMemphis73-57
17/02/22ATemple57-64
12/02/22AEast Carolina80-66
10/02/22HHouston85-83
05/02/22AWichita State57-72
29/01/22HTemple69-61
27/01/22ASouth Florida74-54
21/01/22AMemphis70-62
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22AHouston53-71
27/02/22HSouth Florida54-56
24/02/22AUCF Knights61-75
20/02/22HTemple71-75
18/02/22HWichita State85-76
16/02/22HMemphis74-81
13/02/22ATulsa77-83
10/02/22ASouth Florida70-59
06/02/22HHouston58-80
30/01/22AEast Carolina60-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL74%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %74%93%50%
Points / game74.478.269.7
Allowed / game67.264.870.2
Point differential+7.2+13.4-0.6
Avg total141.6143.0139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL57%
HomeLLWLL68%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %57%68%36%
Points / game69.772.764.5
Allowed / game65.663.369.6
Point differential+4.1+9.4-5.2
Avg total135.3135.9134.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3026487%80.365.1+15.3
2 Wake Forest3123874%79.569.8+9.7
3 SMU Mustangs2720774%74.467.2+7.2
4 North Carolina3022873%78.172.4+5.7
5 Notre Dame3021970%72.166.6+5.5
6 Miami (FL)3021970%74.970.8+4.1
7 Virginia Tech30191163%70.061.2+8.8
8 Virginia29171259%63.360.4+2.9
9 Florida State29161355%70.971.0-0.1
10 Stanford28151354%66.067.8-1.8
11 Clemson30151550%72.068.7+3.3
12 Syracuse30151550%76.975.2+1.6
13 California29121741%63.965.1-1.2
14 Louisville29121741%67.670.6-3.0
15 Boston College29111838%66.068.0-2.0
16 NC State30111937%73.275.3-2.1
17 Pittsburgh30111937%62.367.8-5.5
18 Georgia Tech30102033%67.670.4-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2926390%84.766.8+17.8
2 Houston2925486%76.158.8+17.3
3 Baylor3025583%76.963.2+13.7
4 Kansas2923679%79.168.8+10.3
5 Texas Tech3023777%73.161.0+12.2
6 Brigham Young3021970%73.767.9+5.8
7 TCU2819968%68.664.4+4.2
8 Iowa State30201067%67.362.3+5.0
9 Colorado29191066%70.466.4+4.0
10 UCF Knights2617965%70.367.3+3.0
11 Cincinnati30171357%69.765.6+4.1
12 Oklahoma State29141548%68.966.2+2.8
13 Kansas State29141548%69.066.9+2.1
14 West Virginia30141647%68.468.6-0.2
15 Arizona State28121643%65.068.3-3.3
16 Utah Utes29111838%69.770.0-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs284876
Cincinnati343771
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