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SMU Mustangs vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-66
46-27 29-39
Position#44
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#146
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Sam Houston St.
24 Nov 2021
SMU 75
SAM 66
25 Nov 2020
SMU 97
SAM 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#198
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Boise State
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A19/03
NIT
McNeese State
#303
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Oregon
#148
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
95-48
95
48
+47
H16/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-23
0-0
36-40
0-0
30-24
0-0
41-32
0-0
23-30
0-0
48-44
0-0
42-48
0-0
42-37
0-0
39-31
0-0
47-31
0-0
35-50
0-0
28-36
0-0
50-20
0-0
45-28
0-0
50-27
0-0
28-34
0-0
29-18
0-0
33-44
0-0
45-38
0-0
25-38
144.9Avg total
75.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.868.8146.7+9.050%
Season at home (4)82.261.8144.0+20.575%
Season away (2)69.083.0152.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)75.869.1144.9+6.750%
Last 5 (5)76.270.2146.4+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.372.0132.3-11.733%
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.466.0132.4+0.438%
vs Weaker (18)76.767.4144.1+9.267%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#14
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H04/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Lamar
#280
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H12/03
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
97-54
97
54
+43
H11/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H18/11
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A21/11
NCAA
Boston University
#107
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
34-43
44-30
39-40
47-25
37-36
19-28
40-36
41-41
28-29
49-33
48-21
32-27
33-47
22-33
33-44
36-21
41-38
20-30
39-42
140.7Avg total
72.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.667.2137.8+3.440%
Season at home (2)76.065.5141.5+10.550%
Season away (3)67.068.3135.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)72.068.7140.7+3.340%
Last 5 (5)70.667.2137.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.071.5139.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (6)61.776.3138.0-14.70%
vs Weaker (22)86.565.3151.8+21.191%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.4-0.4
SMU MustangsSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#198
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A04/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Boise State
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A19/03
NIT
McNeese State
#303
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Oregon
#148
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H16/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
29-18
29
18
+11
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.064.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.928.867.7+10.294%-
Last 30 away (14)29.031.460.4-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.968.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.830.672.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.029.361.3+2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.227.257.5+3.062%-
vs Weaker (18)36.130.366.3+5.872%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
19-28
19
28
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Lamar
#280
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/03
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H18/11
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A21/11
NCAA
Boston University
#107
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A22/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
34.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.732.071.7+7.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.230.973.1+11.362%-
Last 30 away (14)36.933.370.2+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.165.9+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.828.860.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.535.574.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)26.736.563.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (22)43.430.573.9+13.082%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Sam Houston St. wins
DateGameScore
26/11/20SMU Mustangs v Sam Houston St.97-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/21HLoyola Marymount70-76
22/11/21AMissouri75-80 OT
19/11/21HSE Louisiana78-61
16/11/21HNorthwestern St.95-48
13/11/21AOregon63-86
10/11/21HMcNeese State86-62
19/03/21ABoise State84-85
12/03/21HCincinnati71-74
08/02/21AEast Carolina71-56
04/02/21ATulsa65-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/21ABoston University59-72
21/11/21AUALR77-59
18/11/21HMissouri State55-77
13/11/21ANebraska65-74
11/11/21HLeTourneau97-54
12/03/21HLamar69-70
06/03/21HStephen F. Austin59-64
04/03/21HTexas A&M-CC84-61
02/03/21AHouston Christian83-70
25/02/21AAbilene Christian72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game77.882.269.0
Allowed / game68.861.883.0
Point differential+9.0+20.5-14.0
Avg total146.7144.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game70.676.067.0
Allowed / game67.265.568.3
Point differential+3.4+10.5-1.3
Avg total137.8141.5135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech550100%76.248.2+28.0
2 Wake Forest550100%87.663.4+24.2
3 Duke660100%85.861.8+24.0
4 Florida State65183%75.763.0+12.7
5 Georgia Tech54180%78.867.6+11.2
6 NC State54180%75.468.0+7.4
7 Notre Dame43175%71.859.8+12.0
8 Miami (FL)43175%80.071.8+8.2
9 Louisville43175%73.566.8+6.8
10 Clemson64267%72.062.2+9.8
11 Virginia64267%61.555.3+6.2
12 North Carolina64267%83.278.7+4.5
13 Stanford64267%68.568.5+0.0
14 SMU Mustangs63350%77.868.8+9.0
15 Boston College63350%67.562.0+5.5
16 Syracuse42250%78.072.5+5.5
17 Pittsburgh42250%61.065.5-4.5
18 California62433%64.769.2-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Middle Tenn. St.65183%76.862.3+14.5
2 Louisiana Tech54180%80.872.0+8.8
3 New Mexico State54180%70.667.4+3.2
4 Missouri State64267%81.568.5+13.0
5 Delaware64267%78.076.3+1.7
6 UTEP53260%71.460.6+10.8
7 Liberty52340%62.455.8+6.6
8 Sam Houston St.52340%70.667.2+3.4
9 Jacksonville State52340%66.863.6+3.2
10 Western Kentucky52340%72.471.6+0.8
11 Kennesaw State62433%75.773.2+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs462975
Sam Houston St.273966
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