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Boise State vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-84
0-0 48-42 0-0 37-42
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#9
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANIT
Other2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
66-78 OT
66
78
-12
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H11/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-28
0-0
39-46
0-0
31-32
0-0
31-41
0-0
42-30
0-0
36-36
0-0
27-28
0-0
34-31
0-0
37-39
0-0
42-31
0-0
30-37
0-0
51-40
0-0
17-29
0-0
46-34
0-0
20-24
0-0
38-38
0-0
29-35
0-0
35-32
0-0
45-51
0-0
37-38
141.8Avg total
70.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.371.5141.8-1.240%
Last 5 (5)70.274.6144.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.074.5137.5-11.50%
vs Similar (11)71.669.4141.0+2.364%
vs Weaker (17)78.665.0143.6+13.676%
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H11/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A23/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A31/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-32
0-0
27-42
0-0
37-32
0-0
32-44
0-0
37-34
0-0
42-34
0-0
32-33
0-0
46-32
0-0
31-34
0-0
41-42
0-0
33-23
0-0
34-42
0-0
24-28
0-0
24-42
0-0
29-23
0-0
36-40
0-0
30-24
0-0
41-32
0-0
23-30
0-0
48-44
136.7Avg total
68.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.068.7136.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)64.465.6130.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.372.0132.3-11.733%
vs Similar (11)66.167.1133.2-1.045%
vs Weaker (16)77.367.6144.9+9.875%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
Boise StateSMU Mustangs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
20-24
20
24
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H11/03
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.066.9+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.232.869.0+3.346%-
Last 30 away (17)33.931.465.3+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.364.4-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)28.235.263.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.537.066.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (11)29.530.960.5-1.436%-
vs Weaker (17)38.932.271.1+6.865%-
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H08/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H11/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A04/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H12/03
NCAA
60.2Avg total
30.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.661.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.628.864.4+6.981%-
Last 30 away (14)28.530.659.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)30.929.360.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)27.825.653.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.029.361.3+2.767%-
vs Similar (11)30.129.559.5+0.655%-
vs Weaker (16)33.929.863.6+4.162%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boise State wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21HNevada82-89
03/03/21HFresno State64-67
27/02/21ASan Diego State58-62
26/02/21ASan Diego State66-78 OT
20/02/21HUtah State81-77
18/02/21HUtah State79-70
14/02/21HUNLV61-59
12/02/21HUNLV78-66
07/02/21ANevada62-73
06/02/21ANevada72-74
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21HCincinnati71-74
08/02/21AEast Carolina71-56
04/02/21ATulsa65-63
31/01/21AHouston48-70
29/01/21HMemphis67-65
27/01/21AMemphis72-76
23/01/21AUCF Knights78-65
11/01/21HTemple79-68
08/01/21HCincinnati69-76
04/01/21HHouston60-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NIT 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
SMU Mustangs
NIT 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State110100%75.061.0+14.0
2 Richmond Spiders110100%76.066.0+10.0
3 Western Kentucky110100%69.067.0+2.0
4 St. Marys (CA)1010%67.069.0-2.0
5 Toledo1010%66.076.0-10.0
6 Davidson1010%61.075.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boise State04803785
SMU Mustangs04204284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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