Sodertalje vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 18:04

Projected 89-75

Projected total 164.2

Final 91-69

16-23 28-16 19-13 28-17

Position#1

Record8-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game74.8

Sodertalje 🏆

89%

■ SOD 89%■ NASS 11%

Pythia win probability

Nassjo

Position#8

Record3-6

FormLWWLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game83.6

Basketligan· Taljehallen

Other2026-27

Meetings · Sodertalje v Nassjo

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Sodertalje host Nassjo on 10 November 2026 in the Basketligan, and the Pythia model names Sodertalje as the favourite with an 89% chance of victory, driven by their 8-1 record, 87.7 points per game and 74.8 allowed per game, the best in the league, and a perfect 5-0 home record with 92.4 points per game; Nassjo, meanwhile, sit 8th with a 3-6 record, 79.2 points per game and 83.6 allowed per game, and have struggled on the road, winning only 1 of 4 away games and averaging 77.0 points while conceding 85.8. The teams have split their ten previous meetings, with the last encounter ending 83-79 in favour of Sodertalje on 30 January 2026. Pythia projects a 89-75 score, a 164.5 total, and a 64% probability that Sodertalje will cover the -10.0 line, while the over on the 159.5 line has a 62% chance; the game carries a 2% overtime probability. The most recent result for Sodertalje was a 104-57 home win over Uppsala on 27 October 2026, and Nassjo's last game was a 74-92 loss to Jamtland on 30 October 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje winWon

89.4%fair 1.12

Best odds1.16

Implied82.1%

Edge+7.3pp

Nassjo winLost

10.6%fair 9.47

Best odds5.85

Implied17.9%

Edge-7.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sodertalje Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSodertalje

Date

Competition

Boras

89-97

-8

75avg 77

H27/03

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#10

89-67

+22

80avg 77

H25/09

Basketligan

Umea

#11

78-64

+14

68avg 77

A29/09

Basketligan

Jamtland

91-76

+15

82avg 77

H03/10

Basketligan

Norrkoping

94-85

87avg 77

A09/10

Basketligan

Hogsbo

93-85

74avg 77

H13/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

85-82

82avg 77

H16/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

79-76

74avg 77

A23/10

Basketligan

Uppsala

104-57

104

+47

108avg 77

H27/10

Basketligan

Boras

76-81

-5

no box

A06/11

Basketligan

19-26

24-22

15-20

31-29

23-12

23-17

28-17

15-21

22-18

12-24

24-9

20-13

15-11

22-11

24-15

30-39

21-17

31-19

19-25

23-24

29-19

26-17

12-26

26-23

26-21

20-22

22-17

17-22

19-16

16-20

23-19

21-21

19-21

30-10

30-8

25-18

16-22

13-10

26-25

21-24

164.8Avg total

87.8Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	87.7	74.8	162.4	+12.9	89%
Season at home (5)	92.4	73.4	165.8	+19.0	100%
Season away (4)	81.8	76.5	158.2	+5.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	77.0	164.8	+10.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	76.2	163.6	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	80.9	89.1	170.0	-8.3	29%
vs Similar (6)	74.7	77.7	152.3	-3.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.2	72.2	160.4	+15.9	88%

This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nassjo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNassjo

Date

Competition

Norrkoping

82-113

113

-31

72avg 79

H30/03

Basketligan

Boras

79-75

64avg 79

A25/09

Basketligan

Norrkoping

79-89

-10

72avg 79

H29/09

Basketligan

Hogsbo

81-85

-4

72avg 79

A09/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

74-91

-17

66avg 79

A13/10

Basketligan

Uppsala

74-80

-6

64avg 79

H16/10

Basketligan

Umea

#11

88-78

+10

82avg 79

H19/10

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#10

83-73

+10

78avg 79

H27/10

Basketligan

Jamtland

74-92

-18

62avg 79

A30/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

81-89

-8

no box

H06/11

Basketligan

22-25

9-30

26-30

25-28

22-19

20-19

12-18

25-19

20-21

19-27

12-25

28-16

17-17

25-23

15-28

24-17

16-21

14-28

13-25

31-17

16-28

25-24

22-21

11-7

27-25

20-17

21-19

20-17

23-19

25-10

9-21

26-23

18-25

18-30

23-19

15-18

17-21

18-18

12-28

34-22

166.0Avg total

79.5Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.2	83.6	162.8	-4.3	33%
Season at home (5)	81.0	81.8	162.8	-0.8	40%
Season away (4)	77.0	85.8	162.8	-8.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	86.5	166.0	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	82.4	162.4	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	80.9	94.1	174.9	-13.2	21%
vs Similar (5)	90.6	92.6	183.2	-2.0	40%
vs Weaker (6)	98.3	84.8	183.2	+13.5	83%

This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 153Actual: Over 153

Over 153

75.8%

Under 153

24.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 158 · main lineActual: Over 158

Over 158

64.9%

@ 1.88+15.3pp

Under 158

35.1%

@ 1.95-15.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.75

Bet365

1.74

Under

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.75

Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163

Over 163

52.7%

@ 2.22+11.1pp

Under 163

47.3%

@ 1.58-11.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.22

Under

Bet365

1.58

Marathon Be

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Sodertalje total 80.5Actual: Sodertalje over 80.5

Over 80.5

81.2%

@ 1.40+15.2pp

Under 80.5

18.8%

@ 2.75-15.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.37

Under

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.45

Sodertalje total 84.5 · main lineActual: Sodertalje over 84.5

Over 84.5

68.6%

@ 1.83+17.6pp

Under 84.5

31.4%

@ 1.90-17.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.70

Under

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Sodertalje total 88.5Actual: Sodertalje over 88.5

Over 88.5

53.2%

@ 2.42+15.4pp

Under 88.5

46.8%

@ 1.54-15.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.35

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.39

Nassjo total 70.5Actual: Nassjo under 70.5

Over 70.5

66.5%

@ 1.46+1.1pp

Under 70.5

33.5%

@ 2.72-1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.46

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.13

Nassjo total 74.5 · main lineActual: Nassjo under 74.5

Over 74.5

51.1%

@ 1.90+1.1pp

Under 74.5

48.9%

@ 1.88-1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.90

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

Under

Betano

1.88

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.75

1xBet

1.58

Nassjo total 78.5Actual: Nassjo under 78.5

Over 78.5

35.6%

@ 2.74-1.1pp

Under 78.5

64.4%

@ 1.50+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.74

Betano

2.50

Bet365

2.50

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.31

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sodertalje -14.5Actual: Sodertalje -14.5

SOD -14.5

49.3%

@ 2.50+9.4pp

NASS +14.5

50.7%

@ 1.67-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

SOD

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.32

1xBet

2.25

Betano

2.02

NASS

Betano

1.67

Pinnacle

1.54

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

1xBet

1.46

Spread Sodertalje -11.5 · main lineActual: Sodertalje -11.5

SOD -11.5

60.0%

@ 2.00+8.9pp

NASS +11.5

40.0%

@ 1.91-8.9pp

Best 5 market prices

SOD

Betfair

2.00

Bet365

1.95

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.84

NASS

Pinnacle

1.91

1xBet

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.82

Spread Sodertalje -8.5Actual: Sodertalje -8.5

SOD -8.5

70.0%

@ 1.67+13.1pp

NASS +8.5

30.0%

@ 2.23-13.1pp

Best 5 market prices

SOD

Betano

1.67

Bet365

1.64

Pinnacle

1.63

Marathon Be

1.50

1xBet

1.47

NASS

1xBet

2.23

Pinnacle

2.15

Bet365

2.12

Betano

2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SodertaljeNassjo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.8	39.9	+2.2	60%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.7	67%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	53%	40%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	22.4	45.1	+0.3	29%	86%
vs Similar (6)	18.3	18.8	37.2	-0.5	33%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.3	17.4	38.6	+3.9	82%	35%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.9	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	23.7	46.9	-0.4	47%	87%
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	23.4	43.3	-3.5	20%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.4	23.7	44.1	-3.3	21%	68%
vs Similar (5)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.4	40%	80%
vs Weaker (6)	23.7	22.5	46.2	+1.2	67%	83%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.7	40.9	+3.6	67%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.9	40.9	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.2	38.9	+4.5	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	24.3	43.1	-5.4	29%	71%
vs Similar (6)	21.7	21.8	43.5	-0.2	33%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.8	17.2	39.1	+4.6	71%	59%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.4	44.5	-2.3	40%	83%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.3	53%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	24.7	44.3	-5.0	27%	93%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.3	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.2	25.2	44.4	-6.0	21%	89%
vs Similar (5)	25.6	22.2	47.8	+3.4	60%	100%
vs Weaker (6)	23.2	18.7	41.8	+4.5	83%	50%

SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boras

43-48

-5

H27/03

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#10

46-29

+17

H25/09

Basketligan

Umea

#11

34-42

-8

A29/09

Basketligan

Jamtland

37-22

+15

H03/10

Basketligan

Norrkoping

52-36

+16

A09/10

Basketligan

Hogsbo

55-36

+19

H13/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

46-43

H16/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

35-36

-1

A23/10

Basketligan

Uppsala

49-31

+18

H27/10

Basketligan

Boras

29-32

-3

A06/11

Basketligan

78.1Avg total

42.6Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.75
Last 30 (30)	42.1	38.6	80.8	+3.5	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	36.9	81.0	+7.3	80%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	40.4	80.5	-0.3	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	42.6	35.5	78.1	+7.1	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.6	78.4	+7.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.6	46.7	88.3	-5.1	29%	71%
vs Similar (6)	40.0	40.7	80.7	-0.7	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.1	34.6	77.7	+8.5	76%	41%

This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norrkoping

31-55

-24

H30/03

Basketligan

Boras

42-38

A25/09

Basketligan

Norrkoping

39-48

-9

H29/09

Basketligan

Hogsbo

42-40

A09/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

30-49

-19

A13/10

Basketligan

Uppsala

41-52

-11

H16/10

Basketligan

Umea

#11

47-42

H19/10

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#10

48-29

+19

H27/10

Basketligan

Jamtland

36-55

-19

A30/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

35-39

-4

H06/11

Basketligan

83.8Avg total

39.1Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.75
Last 30 (30)	42.7	46.9	89.6	-4.3	37%	87%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	45.8	91.5	-0.1	47%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	48.1	87.7	-8.5	27%	93%
Last 10 (10)	39.1	44.7	83.8	-5.6	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.4	84.8	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.6	48.9	88.5	-9.3	21%	84%
vs Similar (5)	49.4	46.4	95.8	+3.0	60%	100%
vs Weaker (6)	46.8	41.2	88.0	+5.7	67%	83%

This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Sodertalje win

SOD win

no forecast

@ 1.34

NASS win

no forecast

@ 3.75

1st half Spread Sodertalje -6 · main lineActual: Nassjo +6

SOD -6

no forecast

@ 1.89

NASS +6

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 78.75 · main lineActual: Over 78.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Sodertalje 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Sodertalje over 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Nassjo 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Nassjo over 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half: SOD + total 80.5

SOD & over

no forecast

@ 2.65

SOD & under

no forecast

@ 2.65

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: NASS + total 80.5

NASS & over

no forecast

@ 6.00

NASS & under

no forecast

@ 6.00

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Over 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.60

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 80Actual: Over 80

Over

no forecast

@ 2.06

Under

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half Spread Sodertalje -7Actual: Nassjo +7

SOD -7

no forecast

@ 2.02

NASS +7

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Sodertalje -5Push

SOD -5

no forecast

@ 1.74

NASS +5

no forecast

@ 2.01

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.07

Under

no forecast

@ 1.71

1st half Spread Sodertalje -8Actual: Nassjo +8

SOD -8

no forecast

@ 2.10

NASS +8

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Sodertalje -3.5Actual: Sodertalje -3.5

SOD -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.64

NASS +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.27

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sodertalje (regulation)

SOD

no forecast

@ 1.38

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.50

NASS

no forecast

@ 4.14

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.1	38.9	+4.8	60%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.2	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.3	21.1	36.4	-5.9	14%	43%
vs Similar (6)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	50%	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.9	16.9	39.8	+5.9	65%	47%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.0	23.6	43.6	-3.6	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	24.5	44.9	-4.1	33%	80%
Last 10 (10)	16.5	23.4	39.9	-6.9	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.2	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.5	26%	68%
vs Similar (5)	19.4	24.4	43.8	-5.0	20%	80%
vs Weaker (6)	23.3	23.0	46.3	+0.3	67%	83%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.4	60%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	21.1	45.3	+3.1	73%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.5	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	24.0	21.3	45.3	+2.7	86%	57%
vs Similar (6)	16.3	17.5	33.8	-1.2	50%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	53%	65%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	60%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	20.7	44.4	+2.9	67%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	53%	73%
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.4	42.3	+5.5	80%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	53%	68%
vs Similar (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	100%
vs Weaker (6)	25.7	20.2	45.8	+5.5	100%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.25
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.2	79.5	+3.2	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	38.1	84.2	+7.9	67%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.2	74.9	-1.5	27%	33%
Last 10 (10)	45.2	41.5	86.7	+3.7	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.6	85.2	+4.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.3	42.4	81.7	-3.1	29%	43%
vs Similar (6)	34.7	37.0	71.7	-2.3	33%	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.6	36.8	81.4	+7.8	59%	65%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.25
Last 30 (30)	42.8	44.9	87.8	-2.1	43%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	43.5	86.8	-0.3	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	46.3	88.7	-3.9	40%	73%
Last 10 (10)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.3	45.2	86.5	-3.8	42%	68%
vs Similar (5)	41.2	46.2	87.4	-5.0	0%	80%
vs Weaker (6)	49.0	43.2	92.2	+5.8	83%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SOD win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

NASS win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SOD leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NASS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SOD:NASS): SOD wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Sodertalje over 84	71.1%	1.65	1xBet 1.65	-	-	-	-	+18.9pp	Won
Sodertalje over 83.5	72.1%	1.62	Betano 1.65	1xBet 1.60	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Won
Sodertalje over 79.5	83.8%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Won
Sodertalje over 81.5	78.4%	1.44	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Won
Sodertalje over 82.5	75.4%	1.53	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.53	1xBet 1.51	-	-	+15.6pp	Won
Sodertalje over 80.5	81.2%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Sodertalje -6	78.2%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
Sodertalje over 78.5	86.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Over 155	71.7%	1.60	Pinnacle 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.59	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Sodertalje -5.5	78.8%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Sodertalje -7	75.3%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Won
Over 155.5	70.2%	1.59	Pinnacle 1.66	Marathon Bet 1.62	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.52	-	+13.8pp	Won
Sodertalje -8	72.2%	1.59	Bet365 1.60	Pinnacle 1.58	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Sodertalje -4.5	81.5%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Sodertalje -6.5	76.1%	1.44	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Sodertalje -3.5	83.9%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Sodertalje -8.5	70.0%	1.58	Betano 1.67	Bet365 1.64	Pinnacle 1.63	Marathon Bet 1.50	1xBet 1.47	+13.1pp	Won
Sodertalje -7.5	73.1%	1.52	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.57	Pinnacle 1.54	1xBet 1.39	-	+13.0pp	Won
Sodertalje over 73.5	94.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Sodertalje over 74.5	93.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
Sodertalje over 76.5	90.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Sodertalje over 75.5	91.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Over 154.5	72.3%	1.52	Marathon Bet 1.56	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Over 152.5	76.3%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Sodertalje over 72.5	95.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Over 149.5	81.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Over 153.5	74.3%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Over 144.5	88.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Sodertalje +4.5	94.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Sodertalje +9.5	97.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Over 150.5	79.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Nassjo over 69.5	70.1%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Sodertalje win	89.4%	1.12	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.15	WilliamHill 1.14	Betfair 1.14	BetVictor 1.13	+7.3pp	Won
Over 145.5	87.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Sodertalje +14.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Sodertalje (regulation)	88.0%	1.12	Betano 1.17	1xBet 1.09	Marathon Bet 1.09	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	-
Nassjo under 92.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Nassjo under 95.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Nassjo under 94.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Nassjo under 96.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Nassjo under 90.5	93.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Nassjo under 85.5	85.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Nassjo under 88.5	90.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Nassjo under 86.5	87.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Nassjo under 84.5	82.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Nassjo under 82.5	77.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Nassjo under 80.5	71.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Sodertalje under 102.5	90.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Under 185.5	90.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Sodertalje under 100.5	87.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Under 184.5	89.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Under 180.5	84.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Sodertalje under 98.5	82.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Under 175.5	75.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Under 179.5	82.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
Sodertalje under 96.5	76.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won
Sodertalje under 95.5	73.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
Under 174.5	73.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-6.6pp	Won
Nassjo +20.5	70.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-6.8pp	Lost
Sodertalje under 94.5	70.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-7.7pp	Won
Over 154	73.8%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 87.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game

48%

32%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	22.6	57.7%	52.7%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.3	35.2%	33.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.1	14.0	77.3%	74.1%	14.0

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game

48%

32%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.1	51.7%	52.7%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	8.2	35.5%	33.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.2	69.4%	74.1%	15.2

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	17.6	49.3%	52.7%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	9.1	35.4%	33.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.6	68.9%	74.1%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.5	16.4	52.1%	52.7%	32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	11.8	38.3%	33.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.4	73.4%	74.1%	17.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	20.7	54.9%	52.7%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.0	36.7%	33.9%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.8	74.1%	74.1%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.0	54.7%	52.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.8	36.7%	33.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.5%	74.1%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	16.6	50.8%	52.7%	33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	8.1	35.2%	33.9%	24.2
🏀 Free throws	23.6	17.1	72.4%	74.1%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.2%	52.7%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	11.8	37.8%	33.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.1	73.6%	74.1%	16.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sodertalje

LWWWWWWWWL

Nassjo

LLWWLLLLWL

League position

+11.7

Net rating

-6.5

102.2

Offensive rating

93.2

90.5

Defensive rating

99.7

55.7%

Effective FG%

52.3%

50.9%

Opp. effective FG%

54.7%

12.6%

Turnover %

16.1%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.35

35.2%

3-point %

35.5%

48.3%

Assist %

55.5%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Sodertalje ■ Nassjo

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sodertalje wins

Nassjo wins

Date	Game	Score
30/01/26	Nassjo v Sodertalje	79-83
16/12/25	Nassjo v Sodertalje	73-88
28/09/25	Sodertalje v Nassjo	63-79
28/02/25	Nassjo v Sodertalje	89-82
03/01/25	Nassjo v Sodertalje	77-80
12/10/24	Sodertalje v Nassjo	92-75
15/02/24	Sodertalje v Nassjo	86-88
02/02/24	Nassjo v Sodertalje	86-84
17/11/23	Nassjo v Sodertalje	99-74
25/09/23	Sodertalje v Nassjo	86-76

Sodertaljelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	A	Boras	76-81
27/10/26	H	Uppsala	104-57
23/10/26	A	Koping Stars	79-76
16/10/26	H	BC Lulea	85-82
13/10/26	H	Hogsbo	93-85
09/10/26	A	Norrkoping	94-85
03/10/26	H	Jamtland	91-76
29/09/26	A	Umea	78-64
25/09/26	H	Sloga Uppsala	89-67
27/03/26	H	Boras	89-97

Nassjolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	H	Koping Stars	81-89
30/10/26	A	Jamtland	74-92
27/10/26	H	Sloga Uppsala	83-73
19/10/26	H	Umea	88-78
16/10/26	H	Uppsala	74-80
13/10/26	A	BC Lulea	74-91
09/10/26	A	Hogsbo	81-85
29/09/26	H	Norrkoping	79-89
25/09/26	A	Boras	79-75
30/03/26	H	Norrkoping	82-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje

Basketligan 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	89%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	89%	100%	75%
Points / game	87.7	92.4	81.8
Allowed / game	74.8	73.4	76.5
Point differential	+12.9	+19.0	+5.2
Avg total	162.4	165.8	158.2
Over 158	56%	80%	25%
Win by 10+	44%	60%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nassjo

Basketligan 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	33%
Home	LLWWL	40%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	40%	25%
Points / game	79.2	81.0	77.0
Allowed / game	83.6	81.8	85.8
Point differential	-4.3	-0.8	-8.8
Avg total	162.8	162.8	162.8
Over 158	67%	60%	75%
Win by 10+	22%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sodertalje	9	8	1	89%	87.7	74.8	+12.9
2	BC Lulea	10	8	2	80%	97.6	82.7	+14.9
3	Jamtland	9	7	2	78%	90.3	81.1	+9.2
4	Norrkoping	9	6	3	67%	90.8	83.3	+7.4
5	Boras	10	6	4	60%	87.3	83.6	+3.7
6	Koping Stars	9	4	5	44%	85.7	86.8	-1.1
7	Uppsala	9	4	5	44%	74.1	86.0	-11.9
8	Nassjo	9	3	6	33%	79.2	83.6	-4.3
9	Hogsbo	9	2	7	22%	81.1	89.0	-7.9
10	Sloga Uppsala	10	2	8	20%	80.7	94.0	-13.3
11	Umea	9	1	8	11%	77.8	88.0	-10.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sodertalje	16	28	19	28	91
Nassjo	23	16	13	17	69

← all games of the day

Sodertalje vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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