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Hogsbo vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 85-81
17-17 23-25 28-15 17-24
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.0
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo v Nassjo
09 Oct 2026
HOGS85
NASS81
06 Feb 2026
HOGS93
NASS75
24 Mar 2025
HOGS104
NASS98
02 Dec 2024
HOGS84
NASS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 75
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
83avg 75
A13/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
78-92
78
92
-14
67avg 75
H16/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
80-115
80
115
-35
58avg 75
A20/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 75
A06/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 75
H10/03
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 75
H14/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
69avg 75
A17/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
66avg 75
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 75
A02/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
25-21
17-12
22-24
24-35
21-27
22-25
29-23
26-20
13-25
20-20
19-27
12-31
24-29
24-26
20-29
27-33
11-30
13-27
24-20
23-20
18-32
22-25
16-16
33-20
9-19
22-17
17-21
14-21
15-12
18-24
27-28
20-18
27-28
28-16
21-28
25-18
22-23
23-28
18-23
177.9Avg total
84.0Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.091.0183.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)88.092.0180.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)84.093.9177.9-9.930%
Last 5 (5)83.687.4171.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.594.1172.6-15.612%
vs Similar ◀ (9)92.991.9184.8+1.056%
vs Weaker (4)88.088.5176.5-0.525%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
86avg 82
H17/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 82
A06/03
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
118-87
118
87
+31
118avg 82
H10/03
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
58avg 82
A17/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 82
A21/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
88-118
88
118
-30
74avg 82
A23/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 82
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
82-113
82
113
-31
72avg 82
H30/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
64avg 82
A25/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 82
H29/09
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
20-30
24-20
19-13
18-18
23-31
27-23
32-21
28-19
30-24
34-19
26-25
19-25
14-29
19-21
19-9
16-34
21-23
17-30
14-32
20-32
24-23
22-34
22-29
25-18
21-24
19-19
21-19
22-25
9-30
26-30
25-28
22-19
20-19
12-18
25-19
20-21
19-27
12-25
28-16
180.7Avg total
85.8Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.082.0161.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)79.089.0168.0-10.00%
Season away (1)79.075.0154.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.894.9180.7-9.140%
Last 5 (5)82.895.0177.8-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)81.996.7178.6-14.825%
vs Similar ◀ (4)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (6)106.389.7196.0+16.783%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
HogsboNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A20/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A06/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/03
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/03
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A17/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/10
Basketligan
89.8Avg total
41.8Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.747.489.1-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.344.584.9-4.247%-
Last 30 away (15)43.150.393.3-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)41.848.089.8-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.283.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.848.587.4-9.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.446.293.7+1.256%-
vs Weaker (4)41.045.286.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H17/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/03
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/03
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A17/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A21/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A23/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H30/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A25/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H29/09
Basketligan
91.4Avg total
41.5Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.948.392.2-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.948.295.1-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.948.389.2-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)41.549.991.4-8.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.688.0-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.850.491.2-9.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)51.248.099.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker (6)49.341.590.8+7.867%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.8
52.8%
52.7%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.2
34.2%
33.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
74.1%17.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.8
52.3%
52.7%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.5
41.1%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
74.1%11.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LWLWLLLLLW
Nassjo
LWLWLLLWWL
#9
League position
#8
-14.5
Net rating
-10.4
93.7
Offensive rating
97.7
108.3
Defensive rating
108.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.5%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.2%
3-point %
41.1%
67.4%
Assist %
55.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 97.7Defence108.3 · 108.0Shooting52.1% · 55.5%3-point %34.2% · 41.1%Ball care15.4% · 13.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hogsbo wins
4
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
06/02/26Hogsbo v Nassjo93-75
09/01/26Nassjo v Hogsbo111-98
10/10/25Nassjo v Hogsbo95-104
24/03/25Hogsbo v Nassjo104-98
13/03/25Nassjo v Hogsbo121-80
02/12/24Hogsbo v Nassjo84-104
12/11/24Nassjo v Hogsbo111-103
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26AUppsala88-92
29/09/26HBoras96-90
17/03/26AJamtland74-85
14/03/26HUmea81-77
10/03/26HUppsala79-93
06/03/26ASodertalje75-110
20/02/26ABoras80-115
16/02/26HBC Lulea78-92
13/02/26AKoping Stars96-110
06/02/26HNassjo93-75
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HNorrkoping79-89
25/09/26ABoras79-75
30/03/26HNorrkoping82-113
28/03/26HNorrkoping86-80
23/03/26ANorrkoping88-118
21/03/26ANorrkoping68-119
17/03/26ABoras71-84
10/03/26HSloga Uppsala118-87
06/03/26ABC Lulea100-93
17/02/26HNorrkoping87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game92.096.088.0
Allowed / game91.090.092.0
Point differential+1.0+6.0-4.0
Avg total183.0186.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.079.079.0
Allowed / game82.089.075.0
Point differential-3.0-10.0+4.0
Avg total161.0168.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje440100%88.073.0+15.0
2 Norrkoping32167%94.082.7+11.3
3 BC Lulea32167%96.788.0+8.7
4 Uppsala32167%84.380.7+3.7
5 Jamtland32167%83.383.3+0.0
6 Hogsbo21150%92.091.0+1.0
7 Nassjo21150%79.082.0-3.0
8 Boras31233%84.785.0-0.3
9 Koping Stars2020%85.592.0-6.5
10 Sloga Uppsala3030%73.395.3-22.0
11 Umea2020%69.593.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo1723281785
Nassjo1725152481
← all games of the day
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