PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sollentuna vs Wetterbygden Stars Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 83-78
Projected total 160.9
Final 70-67
14-20 17-14 20-16 19-17
Position#8
Record5-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game81.6
Sollentuna 🏆
Sweden
Vs
68%
32%
■ SOLL 68%■ WETT 32%
Pythia win probability
Wetterbygden Stars
Sweden
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.8
SwedenSuperettan· Sollentuna Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sollentuna v Wetterbygden Stars
14 Nov 2026
SOLL70
WETT67
07 Feb 2026
SOLL67
WETT68
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Sollentuna host Wetterbygden Stars on 14 November 2026 in the Superettan, with the Pythia model designating Sollentuna as the favourite and projecting an 83-78 win for the home side, a 68% chance of victory and a 32% chance for the visitors, while the model sees a 5% probability of overtime; the projected total of 160.9 points sits just below the main total line, giving Wetterbygden a over probability. Sollentuna finish the season 5-5, averaging 85.7 points scored and 81.6 points allowed per game, while Wetterbygden sit 6-3, scoring 84.6 and conceding 80.8, a better overall points-allowed figure that reflects their higher league position of 5th. At home, Sollentuna are 2-3, scoring 85.2 and allowing 81.6, and their last five games show a 3-2 record; recent results include a 78-104 loss to Alvik at home, a 100-84 win over Djurgarden away, and an 81-61 win over Huddinge away. Wetterbygden's road record is 3-1, with 80.0 points scored and 77.0 allowed, and their last five games are 3-2; recent outings include a 77-65 win over Cross Over away, a 68-87 loss to Fryshuset Basket at home, and a 92-107 defeat to Eskilstuna at home.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sollentuna winWon
67.6%fair 1.48
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wetterbygden Stars winLost
32.4%fair 3.09
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SollentunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSollentuna
Date
Competition
Cross Over
#14
W
90-60
90
60
+30
87avg 75
H20/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
82avg 75
A03/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
79avg 75
A04/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
67-93
67
93
-26
44avg 75
A10/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 75
H14/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 75
H18/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
74avg 75
H25/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
81-61
81
61
+20
74avg 75
A28/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
A01/11
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
78-104
78
104
-26
no box
H08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
19-18
30-13
17-16
19-28
16-20
31-17
18-19
21-16
18-18
21-20
25-13
10-18
23-19
19-34
15-22
24-21
20-32
23-19
18-15
22-25
26-23
21-23
22-23
21-23
19-5
22-11
20-24
20-19
26-20
18-6
17-16
13-15
29-29
30-22
28-18
23-29
20-21
18-19
17-35
167.3Avg total
85.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.781.6167.3+4.150%
Season at home (5)85.281.6166.8+3.640%
Season away (5)86.281.6167.8+4.660%
Last 10 (10)85.781.6167.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)86.481.2167.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.993.4175.3-11.614%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.783.6166.3-0.943%
vs Weaker (9)85.474.9160.3+10.667%
This opponent (Wetterbygden Stars) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wetterbygden StarsSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStars
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
60-81
60
81
-21
46avg 70
A26/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 70
A19/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 70
A26/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
92avg 70
H03/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
100-73
100
73
+27
100avg 70
H10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
72avg 70
A11/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
78-54
78
54
+24
71avg 70
H17/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
92-107
92
107
-15
94avg 70
H25/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
54avg 70
H01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
A04/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
21-18
11-16
13-19
12-28
19-21
28-9
28-19
18-29
22-12
14-19
19-26
28-19
20-16
17-31
19-18
34-22
29-17
20-19
17-15
12-24
29-16
12-21
17-9
22-16
18-13
25-13
13-12
21-17
24-30
32-30
15-30
27-26
15-25
19-22
7-14
18-14
16-23
21-12
22-16
162.9Avg total
82.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.680.8165.3+3.867%
Season at home (5)88.283.8172.0+4.460%
Season away (4)80.077.0157.0+3.075%
Last 10 (10)82.180.8162.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.678.6158.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.281.3158.5-4.150%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.384.3163.6-4.960%
vs Weaker (5)89.673.2162.8+16.480%
This opponent (Sollentuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
57.4%
Under 157.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
45.3%
Under 162.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
33.8%
Under 167.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sollentuna total 78.5Actual: Sollentuna under 78.5
Over 78.5
67.1%
Under 78.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sollentuna total 82.5Actual: Sollentuna under 82.5
Over 82.5
51.9%
Under 82.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sollentuna total 86.5Actual: Sollentuna under 86.5
Over 86.5
36.5%
Under 86.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wetterbygden Stars total 76Actual: Wetterbygden Stars under 76
Over 76
56.9%
Under 76
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wetterbygden Stars total 80Actual: Wetterbygden Stars under 80
Over 80
40.9%
Under 80
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wetterbygden Stars total 84Actual: Wetterbygden Stars under 84
Over 84
26.7%
Under 84
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sollentuna -3Push
SOLL -3
59.4%
WETT +3
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
SOLL
No market prices yet.
WETT
No market prices yet.
Spread Sollentuna 0Actual: Sollentuna 0
SOLL 0
67.6%
WETT 0
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
SOLL
No market prices yet.
WETT
No market prices yet.
Spread Sollentuna +3Actual: Sollentuna +3
SOLL +3
75.5%
WETT -3
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
SOLL
No market prices yet.
WETT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
SollentunaWetterbygden Stars
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SollentunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cross Over
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H14/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H18/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H25/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A28/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A01/11
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H08/11
Superettan
82.5Avg total
41.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.142.083.1-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.941.382.2-0.446%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.583.8-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.282.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.885.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.548.088.5-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.543.283.7-2.646%-
vs Weaker (9)42.336.278.6+6.156%-
This opponent (Wetterbygden Stars) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wetterbygden StarsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A26/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H03/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H17/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/11
Superettan
83.4Avg total
42.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.440.881.2-0.345%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.039.981.9+2.156%-
Last 30 away (13)38.541.880.4-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.483.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.442.781.1-4.329%-
vs Weaker (5)48.038.086.0+10.080%-
This opponent (Sollentuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sollentunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sollentuna: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.1
26.6%
29.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.717.1
66.5%
65.7%17.1
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wetterbygden Starstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wetterbygden Stars: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.8
47.8%
50.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.7%
29.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.916.2
67.8%
65.7%16.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sollentuna
LWWWLLLWLW
Wetterbygden Stars
WLLWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#5
+3.6
Net rating
+3.1
86.4
Offensive rating
87.5
82.7
Defensive rating
84.4
46.2%
Effective FG%
48.9%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
26.6%
3-point %
33.7%
58.1%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 87.5Defence82.7 · 84.4Shooting46.2% · 48.9%3-point %26.6% · 33.7%Ball care14.3% · 16.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sollentuna   ■ Wetterbygden Stars
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sollentuna wins
3
Wetterbygden Stars wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Wetterbygden Stars v Sollentuna103-98 OT
07/02/26Sollentuna v Wetterbygden Stars67-68
19/10/25Wetterbygden Stars v Sollentuna78-76
Sollentunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HAlvik78-104
01/11/26ADjurgarden100-84
28/10/26AHuddinge81-61
25/10/26HTrelleborg82-63
18/10/26HEskilstuna91-94
14/10/26HFryshuset Basket85-87
10/10/26ATrelleborg67-93
04/10/26ACross Over85-67
03/10/26AWetterbygden Stars98-103 OT
20/09/26HCross Over90-60
Wetterbygden Starslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26ACross Over77-65
01/11/26HFryshuset Basket68-87
25/10/26HEskilstuna92-107
17/10/26HHuddinge78-54
11/10/26AIK Eos83-80 OT
10/10/26HMalbas100-73
03/10/26HSollentuna103-98 OT
26/09/26ANorrort73-86
19/09/26ATrelleborg87-77
26/04/26AAlvik60-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sollentuna
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game85.785.286.2
Allowed / game81.681.681.6
Point differential+4.1+3.6+4.6
Avg total167.3166.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Wetterbygden Stars
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game84.688.280.0
Allowed / game80.883.877.0
Point differential+3.8+4.4+3.0
Avg total165.3172.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket65183%83.371.0+12.3
2 Fryshuset Basket108280%89.679.2+10.4
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars96367%84.680.8+3.8
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Trelleborg74357%80.179.3+0.9
8 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Sollentuna105550%85.781.6+4.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo93633%71.681.8-10.2
13 Malbas100100%70.085.9-15.9
14 Cross Over9090%70.293.8-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sollentuna1417201970
Wetterbygden Stars2014161767
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.