South Dakota Coyotes host CS Fullerton on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Coyotes the clear favourite, giving them an 85% chance to win because of their 1-1 record and an average of 94.5 points scored against 79.5 allowed, placing them 204th in the league; Fullerton, with a 0-1 record and 78.0 points scored versus 102.0 allowed, sits 343rd. South Dakota's season has been mixed, with a 1-1 record over all games and the same at home, while their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 94-102 defeat to Northern Kentucky at home and a 95-57 victory over Mount Marty. Fullerton's single game has been a loss, 78-102 to San Diego State, and their last five games also contain three wins and two losses, with a recent 82-70 win over UC Davis at home. The Pythia model projects a 88-76 score, 163.5 total points, a 1.5-point home line with an 83% chance the Coyotes cover, an over-168.5 line with a 38% chance of going over, and a 3% probability of overtime. The Coyotes' recent 94-102 loss to Northern Kentucky shows they can be vulnerable, but their higher scoring average and defensive record give them the edge in this matchup.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
South Dakota Coyotes winLost
84.8%fair 1.18
Best odds1.94
Implied51.9%
Edge+32.8pp
CS Fullerton winWon
15.2%fair 6.56
Best odds2.00
Implied48.1%
Edge-32.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (South Dakota Coyotes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
49.5%
@ 1.38-17.6pp
Under 163.5
50.5%
@ 2.85+17.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
Under
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.77
Over/Under 168.5 · main lineActual: Over 168.5
Over 168.5
37.5%
@ 1.87-13.4pp
Under 168.5
62.5%
@ 3.05+13.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.39
Under
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.72
WilliamHill
1.91
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Over/Under 173.5Actual: Under 173.5
Over 173.5
26.7%
@ 1.86-24.3pp
Under 173.5
73.3%
@ 2.20+24.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
📊 3. Team Totals
South Dakota Coyotes total 80.5Actual: South Dakota Coyotes over 80.5
Over 80.5
76.2%
@ 1.32+7.7pp
Under 80.5
23.8%
@ 2.87-7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
2.87
South Dakota Coyotes total 84.5 · main lineActual: South Dakota Coyotes over 84.5
Over 84.5
62.3%
@ 1.85+11.5pp
Under 84.5
37.7%
@ 2.57-11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
South Dakota Coyotes total 88.5Actual: South Dakota Coyotes under 88.5
Over 88.5
46.4%
@ 1.91-3.8pp
Under 88.5
53.6%
@ 1.91+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
CS Fullerton total 79.5Actual: CS Fullerton over 79.5
Over 79.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
Under 79.5
no forecast
@ 5.00
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
4.50
Betano
2.85
CS Fullerton total 83.5 · main lineActual: CS Fullerton over 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.37
Under
Betano
2.67
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
CS Fullerton total 87.5Actual: CS Fullerton under 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
BetVictor
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread South Dakota Coyotes -4Actual: CS Fullerton +4
SOUT -4
77.0%
@ 2.22+35.4pp
CS F +4
23.0%
@ 1.58-35.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Bet365
2.22
CS F
Bet365
1.58
Spread South Dakota Coyotes -1 · main lineActual: CS Fullerton +1
SOUT -1
84.5%
@ 1.91+34.1pp
CS F +1
15.5%
@ 1.94-34.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.84
CS F
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.87
Spread South Dakota Coyotes +2Push
SOUT +2
88.0%
@ 1.74+31.0pp
CS F -2
12.0%
@ 2.25-31.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
SBO
1.74
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.62
CS F
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
SBO
2.00
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
South Dakota CoyotesCS Fullerton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
South Dakota Coyotes -3
79.6%
2.15
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
+37.0pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -2
82.5%
2.01
Pinnacle
2.06
SBO
2.00
Bet365
1.96
-
-
+36.0pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -2.5
80.1%
2.08
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.01
-
-
+35.7pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -4
77.0%
2.22
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
-
+35.4pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -4.5
74.7%
2.33
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.30
-
-
-
+35.2pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -6
70.6%
2.62
Bet365
2.62
-
-
-
-
+35.1pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -5
73.9%
2.40
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
-
+35.1pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes (regulation)
82.9%
1.87
Betano
1.87
-
-
-
-
+35.0pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -5.5
71.5%
2.54
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
+34.8pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -3.5
77.7%
2.15
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.12
-
-
-
+34.7pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -1.5
83.0%
1.92
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.94
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.92
1xBet
1.91
+34.2pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes -1
84.5%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.84
-
-
+34.1pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes win
84.8%
1.84
Bet365
1.94
WilliamHill
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
+32.8pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes +1
86.0%
1.75
Pinnacle
1.79
SBO
1.74
Bet365
1.71
-
-
+32.5pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes +1.5
86.2%
1.73
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.74
SBO
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
+31.2pp
Lost
South Dakota Coyotes +2
88.0%
1.68
SBO
1.74
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.62
-
-
+31.0pp
Push
South Dakota Coyotes +3
89.5%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+30.8pp
Won
Under 174
74.7%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.13
Bet365
2.12
SBO
1.87
-
-
+30.2pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +3.5
89.7%
1.53
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
-
-
+29.5pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +2.5
88.3%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.57
-
-
+29.3pp
Won
Under 175
76.6%
2.01
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
SBO
1.96
-
-
+29.3pp
Won
Under 174.5
75.2%
1.92
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.82
+29.1pp
Won
Under 176
78.5%
1.91
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
-
-
+28.5pp
Won
Under 175.5
77.1%
1.93
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
+28.3pp
Won
Under 177
80.2%
1.80
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.78
-
-
+27.7pp
Won
Under 176.5
78.9%
1.85
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
+27.5pp
Won
Under 178
81.9%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.71
-
-
-
+27.3pp
Won
Under 178.5
82.1%
1.69
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.68
-
-
-
+27.2pp
Won
Under 177.5
80.5%
1.76
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Bet365
1.74
SBO
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
+27.1pp
Won
Under 179
83.4%
1.64
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +4
91.0%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+26.7pp
Won
Under 179.5
83.7%
1.61
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Won
Under 180
84.9%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+26.0pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +4.5
91.1%
1.43
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+25.9pp
Won
Under 180.5
85.1%
1.55
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+25.6pp
Won
Under 172
70.6%
2.17
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
2.11
SBO
2.00
-
-
+25.6pp
Push
South Dakota Coyotes +5
92.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+25.2pp
Won
Under 173
72.7%
2.06
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.00
SBO
1.96
-
-
+25.2pp
Won
Under 181
86.2%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+25.0pp
Won
Under 172.5
71.2%
2.05
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.05
SBO
2.00
WilliamHill
2.00
+24.8pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +5.5
92.4%
1.36
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+24.4pp
Won
Under 173.5
73.3%
1.97
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
+24.3pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +6
93.4%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +6.5
93.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+22.6pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +8.5
95.3%
1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +7.5
94.5%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +13.5
97.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +18.5
99.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes +23.5
99.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 80.5
76.2%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.9%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+7.3pp
-
South Dakota Coyotes under 93.5
72.3%
1.35
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 81.5
73.0%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes under 94.5
75.6%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes under 97.5
84.0%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 74.5
90.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 73.5
92.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 76.5
86.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 78.5
81.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 75.5
88.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 77.5
84.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.0pp
Won
South Dakota Coyotes over 79.5
79.2%
1.21
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Over 147.5
83.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-8.0pp
Won
CS Fullerton +21.5
80.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.9pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 65.5
84.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 66.5
82.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-11.6pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 67.5
79.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-13.4pp
Won
Over 152.5
74.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-14.0pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 68.5
76.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-16.4pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 69.5
73.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-19.6pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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