San Diego State faces CS Fullerton in the NCAA on 3 November 2026, with the model rating San Diego State as the favourite at 80% because of their 3-2 recent form and a projected 80-71 win; the team has a season record of 3-2, averaging 80 points scored and 71 allowed per game, while CS Fullerton also sits at 3-2, averaging 71 points scored and 80 allowed, showing a balanced matchup. San Diego State's last five games include a loss to Utah State 62-73 away, a 64-62 home win over New Mexico, and a 71-62 home victory over Colorado State, and their road record is 3-2; CS Fullerton's recent five feature a 63-78 loss to Hawaii away, an 82-70 home win over UC Davis, and a 90-77 away win over CS Northridge, with a road record of 3-2. Their head-to-head history shows San Diego State winning all three meetings, most recently 83-57 on 6 November 2023. Pythia projects a total of 150.5 points with a spread of -16.5 for San Diego State and a 26% chance of covering, while the over on 155.5 points has a 37% probability, and the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next contest will see San Diego State try to extend its winning streak against CS Fullerton.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
San Diego State winWon
79.5%fair 1.26
Best odds1.10
Implied88.3%
Edge-8.8pp
CS Fullerton winLost
20.5%fair 4.88
Best odds9.00
Implied11.7%
Edge+8.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Over 150.5
Over 150.5
49.4%
@ 1.50-12.9pp
Under 150.5
50.6%
@ 2.55+12.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 155.5 · main lineActual: Over 155.5
Over 155.5
37.5%
@ 1.93-12.3pp
Under 155.5
62.5%
@ 1.93+12.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
Under
Bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
26.7%
@ 2.60-9.7pp
Under 160.5
73.3%
@ 1.47+9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
📊 3. Team Totals
San Diego State total 82Actual: San Diego State over 82
Over 82
41.4%
Under 82
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Diego State total 86 · main lineActual: San Diego State over 86
Over 86
26.3%
@ 1.85-23.7pp
Under 86
73.7%
@ 1.85+23.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
San Diego State total 90Actual: San Diego State over 90
Over 90
14.8%
Under 90
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CS Fullerton total 65Actual: CS Fullerton over 65
Over 65
71.0%
Under 65
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CS Fullerton total 69 · main lineActual: CS Fullerton over 69
Over 69
55.7%
@ 1.85+5.7pp
Under 69
44.3%
@ 1.85-5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
CS Fullerton total 73Actual: CS Fullerton over 73
Over 73
39.6%
Under 73
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread San Diego State -16.5Actual: San Diego State -16.5
SAN -16.5
26.1%
@ 2.39-14.0pp
CS F +16.5
73.9%
@ 1.87+14.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SAN
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.30
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.91
SBO
1.87
CS F
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.69
Spread San Diego State -13.5 · main lineActual: San Diego State -13.5
SAN -13.5
35.4%
@ 1.89-15.7pp
CS F +13.5
64.6%
@ 1.96+15.7pp
Best 5 market prices
SAN
Bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.83
CS F
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.92
SBO
1.92
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Spread San Diego State -10.5Actual: San Diego State -10.5
SAN -10.5
45.8%
@ 1.54-19.0pp
CS F +10.5
54.2%
@ 3.00+19.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SAN
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.33
CS F
Betano
3.00
Bet365
2.35
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
San Diego StateCS Fullerton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (CS Fullerton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CS FullertonLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H20/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H06/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A08/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A14/03
NCAA
87.4Avg total
45.1Scored
42.3Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)
45.4
42.9
88.2
+2.5
57%
67%
Last 30 at home (14)
45.0
41.1
86.1
+3.9
57%
57%
Last 30 away (16)
45.7
44.4
90.1
+1.3
56%
75%
Last 10 (10)
45.1
42.3
87.4
+2.8
50%
60%
Last 5 (5)
46.6
44.2
90.8
+2.4
40%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)
44.4
44.9
89.3
-0.5
50%
60%
vs Similar (9)
49.6
44.8
94.3
+4.8
56%
100%
vs Weaker (11)
42.8
39.5
82.3
+3.4
64%
45%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: San Diego State win
SAN win
no forecast
@ 1.30
CS F win
no forecast
@ 3.55
2nd half Spread San Diego State -7.5 · main lineActual: San Diego State -7.5
SAN -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
CS F +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
San Diego State 2nd half total 44.5 · main lineActual: San Diego State over 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
CS Fullerton 2nd half total 37.5 · main lineActual: CS Fullerton under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Spread San Diego State -6.5Actual: San Diego State -6.5
SAN -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
CS F +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Spread San Diego State -5.5Actual: San Diego State -5.5
SAN -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
CS F +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: San Diego State (regulation)
SAN
no forecast
@ 1.34
Draw
no forecast
@ 20.00
CS F
no forecast
@ 3.55
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
San Diego State under 86
73.7%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +18
78.6%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +19
81.1%
1.47
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +18.5
79.2%
1.56
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.40
-
-
+20.4pp
Lost
San Diego State under 89.5
83.2%
1.44
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.38
-
-
+20.2pp
Lost
San Diego State under 85
70.2%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Lost
San Diego State under 86.5
74.5%
1.77
Bet365
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.69
-
+18.8pp
Lost
San Diego State under 88.5
80.5%
1.48
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.44
-
-
-
+18.4pp
Lost
San Diego State under 87.5
77.6%
1.57
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.53
-
-
+17.9pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +17
76.0%
1.66
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.50
-
+17.8pp
Lost
San Diego State under 85.5
71.2%
1.81
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
+17.7pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +24
90.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Push
CS Fullerton +19.5
81.5%
1.45
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +17.5
76.6%
1.68
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.78
BetVictor
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.60
+16.7pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +24.5
90.5%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
San Diego State under 90.5
85.5%
1.33
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +20.5
83.7%
1.38
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +22.5
87.5%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +21.5
85.7%
1.31
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +16
73.1%
1.68
SBO
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.58
-
+15.0pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +15
70.0%
1.74
SBO
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.68
-
+14.2pp
Lost
San Diego State under 91.5
87.7%
1.26
Bet365
1.27
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
+14.2pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +16.5
73.9%
1.75
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.69
+14.0pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +22
87.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +23.5
89.1%
1.23
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +15.5
71.0%
1.77
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
SBO
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.69
+13.3pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +23
88.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+12.7pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +20
83.4%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Lost
Under 159
70.7%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+10.9pp
Lost
CS Fullerton +21
85.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Lost
Under 159.5
71.3%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Lost
Under 160
72.8%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Lost
Under 161
74.8%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Lost
Under 160.5
73.3%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Lost
Under 161.5
75.2%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Under 162
76.7%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Lost
Under 162.5
77.1%
1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Lost
Under 163
78.5%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Lost
Under 163.5
78.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Lost
Under 165.5
82.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Lost
Under 170.5
88.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Lost
Under 164.5
80.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Lost
Under 175.5
93.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Lost
Under 169.5
87.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Lost
Under 174.5
92.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Lost
Overtime: no
96.2%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2pp
-
CS Fullerton under 79.5
80.9%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 55.5
93.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 62.5
78.3%
1.20
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 59.5
86.0%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 56.5
91.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 57.5
90.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
CS Fullerton under 84.5
90.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 63.5
75.3%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 58.5
88.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 60.5
83.7%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
CS Fullerton under 82.5
87.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
San Diego State over 65.5
92.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
CS Fullerton under 76.5
72.2%
1.26
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Lost
San Diego State +6.5
90.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 64.5
72.0%
1.27
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
San Diego State over 66.5
90.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
CS Fullerton over 61.5
81.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
CS Fullerton under 78.5
78.2%
1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Over 129.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
San Diego State over 67.5
89.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
CS Fullerton under 80.5
83.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Over 130.5
88.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
San Diego State over 68.5
87.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
CS Fullerton under 77.5
75.3%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Lost
San Diego State (regulation)
77.3%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Marathon Bet
1.08
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
San Diego State over 69.5
85.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Over 134.5
83.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Won
San Diego State over 70.5
82.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Won
San Diego State +1.5
81.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.4pp
Won
Over 135.5
81.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
San Diego State +2.5
83.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
San Diego State over 71.5
79.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-8.4pp
Won
San Diego State win
79.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Pinnacle
1.09
Marathon Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
WilliamHill
1.07
-8.8pp
Won
Over 139.5
74.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Won
San Diego State over 72.5
77.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-10.1pp
Won
San Diego State -3.5
71.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Won
San Diego State over 73.5
73.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
Over 140.5
72.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-11.8pp
Won
San Diego State over 74.5
70.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-13.2pp
Won
San Diego State -2.5
73.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-14.8pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.