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South Florida vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 88-62
49-26 39-36
Position#282
Record5-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#363
Record2-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#47
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H13/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A14/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
39-53
50-34
35-35
37-24
37-31
38-33
36-35
33-51
55-44
32-34
41-38
35-29
39-43
38-35
34-39
31-37
36-51
29-32
40-45
150.3Avg total
74.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.577.6153.1-2.245%
Season at home (5)78.073.6151.6+4.460%
Season away (6)73.381.0154.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)74.775.6150.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)71.076.6147.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.588.8166.2-11.20%
vs Similar (10)72.971.7144.6+1.270%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.867.3143.1+8.587%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
55-87
55
87
-32
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-50
31-37
37-35
33-33
20-42
26-39
33-38
23-46
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
32-38
40-43
20-27
48-40
138.1Avg total
62.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)64.278.3142.6-14.117%
Season at home (4)66.873.2140.0-6.550%
Season away (8)63.080.9143.9-17.90%
Last 10 (10)62.176.0138.1-13.920%
Last 5 (5)65.874.6140.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.277.5139.7-15.412%
vs Similar (11)72.373.6145.9-1.455%
vs Weaker (2)81.577.0158.5+4.550%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -3.9-3.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -3.9-3.9
South FloridaTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#47
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H13/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H22/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A24/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H19/12
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.170.3+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.934.071.9+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)34.434.368.7+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.269.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.466.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.540.576.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (10)33.134.167.2-1.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.532.469.9+5.173%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
66.0Avg total
28.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.935.064.9-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.333.563.8-3.233%-
Last 30 away (18)29.635.965.6-6.322%-
Last 10 (10)28.038.066.0-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)26.837.063.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)27.836.664.5-8.812%-
vs Similar (11)30.932.463.3-1.536%-
vs Weaker (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HBethune-Cookman69-77
14/12/24AUtah State67-88
07/12/24ALoyola Chicago72-74
04/12/24HStetson74-72
24/11/24AWright State73-72
22/11/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-95
21/11/24APortland74-68
16/11/24HWest Georgia74-55
13/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff85-69
09/11/24ACharleston71-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67
22/11/24AOklahoma56-84
20/11/24AUconn46-81
14/11/24HSouthern Univ.70-68
09/11/24ATexas A&M55-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game75.578.073.3
Allowed / game77.673.681.0
Point differential-2.2+4.4-7.7
Avg total153.1151.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game64.266.863.0
Allowed / game78.373.280.9
Point differential-14.1-6.5-17.9
Avg total142.6140.0143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis129375%78.476.0+2.4
2 North Texas118373%68.557.5+11.0
3 Wichita State118373%76.974.1+2.8
4 East Carolina128467%77.169.4+7.7
5 Rice128467%70.767.2+3.4
6 Temple117464%77.372.4+4.9
7 Charlotte106460%72.470.7+1.7
8 UTSA Roadrunners116555%81.077.3+3.7
9 Florida Atlantic137654%84.877.5+7.2
10 UAB126650%85.676.8+8.8
11 Tulane136746%75.067.2+7.8
12 South Florida115645%75.577.6-2.2
13 Tulsa114736%74.277.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTRGV117464%80.375.1+5.2
2 Incarnate Word127558%79.169.8+9.2
3 Nicholls State127558%74.369.3+5.0
4 Texas A&M-CC137654%80.569.2+11.3
5 McNeese State105550%76.767.8+8.9
6 Lamar126650%74.968.6+6.3
7 Northwestern St.126650%74.369.2+5.2
8 SE Louisiana126650%72.167.3+4.8
9 Stephen F. Austin126650%65.663.0+2.6
10 Houston Christian124833%67.072.2-5.2
11 New Orleans102820%66.684.7-18.1
12 TX A&M Commerce1221017%64.278.3-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida493988
TX A&M Commerce263662
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