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TX A&M Commerce vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-81
32-38 40-43
Position#363
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#83
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A05/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
55-87
55
87
-32
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
32-47
32-32
51-59
24-50
31-37
37-35
33-33
20-42
26-39
33-38
23-46
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
142.3Avg total
63.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)63.179.2142.3-16.110%
Season at home (2)63.572.5136.0-9.050%
Season away (8)63.080.9143.9-17.90%
Last 10 (10)63.179.2142.3-16.110%
Last 5 (5)62.075.2137.2-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.577.7139.2-16.26%
vs Similar (12)73.374.8148.2-1.550%
vs Weaker (2)81.577.0158.5+4.550%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H05/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#503
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
74-65 OT
74
65
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-37
37-39
23-38
47-36
30-24
40-40
26-38
28-26
42-32
33-34
52-25
43-36
39-30
45-33
25-41
38-23
29-32
32-29
39-30
37-44
140.3Avg total
73.2Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.466.1139.6+7.367%
Season at home (7)76.766.7143.4+10.071%
Season away (2)62.064.0126.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)73.267.1140.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)78.465.4143.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.883.7155.5-11.817%
vs Similar (15)74.472.9147.3+1.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.066.5138.5+5.562%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.4-9.41st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -6.7-6.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.4-9.41st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -6.7-6.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
TX A&M CommerceSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
29.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.535.065.4-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.633.264.8-1.545%-
Last 30 away (19)29.836.065.8-6.221%-
Last 10 (10)29.538.968.4-9.420%-
Last 5 (5)29.437.667.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.636.665.2-8.119%-
vs Similar (12)31.132.863.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H05/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#503
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/12
NCAA
66.6Avg total
33.9Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.069.4-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.133.769.8+2.347%-
Last 30 away (11)31.537.168.6-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.766.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.668.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.037.870.8-4.817%-
vs Similar (15)35.134.569.7+0.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)31.934.966.8-3.038%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
0
South Alabama wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67
22/11/24AOklahoma56-84
20/11/24AUconn46-81
14/11/24HSouthern Univ.70-68
09/11/24ATexas A&M55-87
07/11/24ASouth Dakota Coyotes83-91
05/11/24AIowa67-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HJacksonville State76-74
29/11/24HAlcorn State74-65 OT
27/11/24HWestern Illinois63-64
26/11/24HIncarnate Word84-63
19/11/24HSpring Hill95-61
16/11/24HMercer75-66
13/11/24AOle Miss54-64
09/11/24ANicholls State70-64
05/11/24HCentral Michigan70-74
07/03/24HGeorgia Southern71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %10%50%0%
Points / game63.163.563.0
Allowed / game79.272.580.9
Point differential-16.1-9.0-17.9
Avg total142.3136.0143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game73.476.762.0
Allowed / game66.166.764.0
Point differential+7.3+10.0-2.0
Avg total139.6143.4126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %11%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nicholls State117464%74.566.4+8.2
2 UTRGV106460%80.575.3+5.2
3 Texas A&M-CC116555%79.968.2+11.7
4 Lamar105550%77.365.7+11.6
5 McNeese State105550%76.767.8+8.9
6 Incarnate Word105550%75.571.2+4.3
7 Stephen F. Austin105550%64.462.1+2.3
8 Northwestern St.115645%73.068.3+4.7
9 SE Louisiana104640%69.468.1+1.3
10 Houston Christian103730%68.572.1-3.6
11 New Orleans82625%68.480.6-12.2
12 TX A&M Commerce101910%63.179.2-16.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State118373%77.670.4+7.3
2 South Alabama96367%73.466.1+7.3
3 Texas State117464%76.967.6+9.3
4 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
5 Appalachian State106460%71.464.4+7.0
6 Troy106460%72.368.0+4.3
7 Marshall116555%76.973.5+3.5
8 Georgia Southern116555%74.578.4-3.8
9 Coastal Carolina105550%68.566.7+1.8
10 Georgia State104640%74.378.0-3.7
11 Southern Miss104640%72.578.5-6.0
12 Louisiana Monroe124833%73.071.6+1.4
13 Old Dominion103730%67.678.1-10.5
14 Louisiana Lafayette112918%66.378.1-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce324072
South Alabama384381
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