Southern Hoiho W host Mid-North Whai W on 13 November 2026 in the Tauihi Women, and the Pythia model names the home side as the clear favourite, rating them 76% to win because they sit first in the league with a 7-2 record, averaging 80.1 points and allowing 75.9, and have won three of four home games while scoring 83.0 points per contest. Mid-North Whai W, positioned fourth, have struggled with a 3-5 record, 74.4 points scored and 79.4 allowed, and have lost three of their last five outings, including a 65-79 defeat away to Southern Hoiho W on 24 October. In their ten meetings the Whai have won seven, the most recent being that 79-65 loss, but the Hoiho's recent 83-100 loss to Mainland Pouakai W at home shows they can be vulnerable. Pythia projects an 83-75 win for Southern Hoiho W, a total of 158.2 points, and a 46% chance the home team will cover the -9.0 spread while the over on 154.5 has a 58% probability; overtime is a 4% risk. The game will be decided by the Hoiho's ability to maintain their offensive edge.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 80.1 | 75.9 | 156.0 | +4.2 | 78% |
| Season at home (4) | 83.0 | 78.8 | 161.8 | +4.2 | 75% |
| Season away (5) | 77.8 | 73.6 | 151.4 | +4.2 | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.3 | 78.2 | 159.5 | +3.1 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.4 | 78.0 | 160.4 | +4.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 72.5 | 87.0 | 159.5 | -14.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar (13) | 83.9 | 87.4 | 171.3 | -3.5 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 82.2 | 70.6 | 152.8 | +11.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 74.4 | 79.4 | 153.8 | -5.0 | 38% |
| Season at home (4) | 70.0 | 78.5 | 148.5 | -8.5 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 78.8 | 80.2 | 159.0 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.0 | 77.7 | 154.7 | -0.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.6 | 86.0 | 160.6 | -11.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 71.7 | 81.7 | 153.3 | -10.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar (15) | 82.9 | 76.7 | 159.6 | +6.1 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 86.8 | 70.9 | 157.7 | +15.9 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 42.7 | 82.4 | -2.9 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.7 | 43.6 | 84.3 | -2.9 | 43% | 86% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.9 | 41.9 | 80.8 | -3.0 | 38% | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.4 | 39.3 | 80.7 | +2.1 | 70% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.4 | 38.8 | 82.2 | +4.6 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 35.0 | 43.9 | 78.9 | -8.9 | 25% | 75% |
| vs Similar (13) | 42.2 | 45.9 | 88.2 | -3.7 | 23% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 40.3 | 36.9 | 77.2 | +3.4 | 78% | 56% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 38.5 | 79.2 | +2.3 | 57% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.7 | 38.1 | 76.9 | +0.6 | 57% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.6 | 38.8 | 81.3 | +3.8 | 56% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.1 | 38.5 | 73.6 | -3.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.8 | 42.4 | 76.2 | -8.6 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 33.7 | 42.2 | 75.8 | -8.5 | 17% | 50% |
| vs Similar (15) | 40.7 | 39.0 | 79.7 | +1.7 | 60% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 45.6 | 35.1 | 80.7 | +10.4 | 78% | 56% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-North Whai W over 69.5 | 70.4% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Lost |
| Mid-North Whai W over 68.5 | 73.7% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Mid-North Whai W over 67.5 | 76.9% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Lost |
| Mid-North Whai W over 66.5 | 79.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Lost |
| Over 148.5 | 71.8% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Mid-North Whai W over 65.5 | 82.5% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Won |
| Southern Hoiho W over 77.5 | 71.0% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Won |
| Southern Hoiho W over 76.5 | 74.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Won |
| Southern Hoiho W over 75.5 | 77.4% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Southern Hoiho W over 74.5 | 80.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Southern Hoiho W (regulation) | 73.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Mid-North Whai W +14.5 | 72.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Southern Hoiho W win | 75.8% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.18 | -1.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.8 | 22.2 | 50.4% | 44.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 8.1 | 31.7% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.2 | 12.3 | 73.0% | 12.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.8 | 18.6 | 50.4% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.7 | 9.6 | 31.7% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.3 | 13.8 | 73.0% | 13.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | Southern Hoiho W v Mid-North Whai W | 79-65 |
| 02/10/26 | Mid-North Whai W v Southern Hoiho W | 59-67 |
| 29/11/25 | Mid-North Whai W v Southern Hoiho W | 93-84 |
| 07/11/25 | Southern Hoiho W v Mid-North Whai W | 81-83 |
| 03/10/25 | Mid-North Whai W v Southern Hoiho W | 89-74 |
| 07/12/24 | Southern Hoiho W v Mid-North Whai W | 53-94 |
| 02/11/24 | Mid-North Whai W v Southern Hoiho W | 90-71 |
| 20/10/24 | Southern Hoiho W v Mid-North Whai W | 83-76 |
| 10/09/23 | Mid-North Whai W v Southern Hoiho W | 82-72 |
| 01/09/23 | Mid-North Whai W v Southern Hoiho W | 89-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Mainland Pouakai W | 83-100 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Tokomanawa Queens W | 82-81 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Northern Kahu W | 86-69 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Mid-North Whai W | 79-65 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Mainland Pouakai W | 82-75 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Tokomanawa Queens W | 84-81 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Northern Kahu W | 78-66 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Mid-North Whai W | 67-59 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Mainland Pouakai W | 80-87 |
| 07/12/25 | A | Mainland Pouakai W | 92-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Tokomanawa Queens W | 65-97 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Mainland Pouakai W | 75-90 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Southern Hoiho W | 65-79 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Northern Kahu W | 84-85 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Tokomanawa Queens W | 84-79 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Mainland Pouakai W | 82-78 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Southern Hoiho W | 59-67 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Northern Kahu W | 81-60 |
| 14/12/25 | A | Mainland Pouakai W | 93-66 |
| 06/12/25 | A | Tokomanawa Queens W | 82-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 78% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | LWWWW | 80% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Points / game | 80.1 | 83.0 | 77.8 |
| Allowed / game | 75.9 | 78.8 | 73.6 |
| Point differential | +4.2 | +4.2 | +4.2 |
| Avg total | 156.0 | 161.8 | 151.4 |
| Over 153 | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 38% |
| Home | WLLL | 25% |
| Away | WWLL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Points / game | 74.4 | 70.0 | 78.8 |
| Allowed / game | 79.4 | 78.5 | 80.2 |
| Point differential | -5.0 | -8.5 | -1.5 |
| Avg total | 153.8 | 148.5 | 159.0 |
| Over 153 | 62% | 50% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | - | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Hoiho W | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 80.1 | 75.9 | +4.2 |
| 2 | Mainland Pouakai W | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 90.6 | 83.3 | +7.2 |
| 3 | Mid-North Whai W | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 74.4 | 79.4 | -5.0 |
| 4 | Northern Kahu W | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.9 | 83.0 | -7.1 |
| 5 | Tokomanawa Queens W | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.8 | 83.5 | -0.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Hoiho W | 29 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 101 |
| Mid-North Whai W | 27 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 66 |
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